The Toronto Maple Leafs (30-18-2) are set to welcome the Minnesota Wild (29-17-4) to Scotiabank Arena for what promises to be an intriguing cross-conference matchup between two teams enjoying strong seasons.

The Atlantic Division-leading Maple Leafs, powered by their dynamic offense averaging 3.08 goals per game, have been thriving behind the stellar performances of Mitch Marner and William Nylander, who have combined for an impressive 43 goals and 75 assists this season.

Minnesota enters the contest with a formidable defensive record, allowing just 2.86 goals per game, though their offense has shown recent signs of struggle with only 17 goals in their last seven outings.

Both teams have demonstrated exceptional defensive capabilities this season, with Toronto's Chris Tanev and Morgan Rielly forming a stalwart defensive unit, while Minnesota's Brock Faber and Jonas Brodin continue to excel at limiting opposing opportunities.

The goaltending battle between Toronto's Joseph Woll (.907 save percentage) and Minnesota's Filip Gustavsson (.913 save percentage) could prove to be the decisive factor in what shapes up to be a tightly contested affair.

As these two playoff contenders prepare to face off, fans can expect a strategic chess match between teams that have found success through distinctly different approaches to the game.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota Wild: who will win?

For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Minnesota Wild matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 54.67% chance of defeating the Wild.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 54.67% win probability

  • Division Leadership (1st in Atlantic Division with 62 points)
  • Strong Offensive Output (154 goals scored in 50 games)
  • Recent Success (LLWWW - won 3 of last 5 games)

Minnesota Wild: 45.33% win probability

  • Defensive Struggles (145 goals against in 50 games)
  • Inconsistent Form (WLLWL - lost 3 of last 5 games)
  • Road Performance (Lower points total of 62 despite similar games played)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota Wild odds

Toronto Maple LeafsMinnesota Wild
Moneyline+1.61 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)+2.46 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Key stats

  • 1
    The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 30 out of 50 matches this season.
  • 2
    The Minnesota Wild have won 29 out of 50 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 62 points, the Toronto Maple Leafs holds the 3rd position in the league standings.
  • 4
    Minnesota Wild's 62 points place them 5th in the rankings.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota Wild form

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest matches
L
L
W
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Jan 26, 2025
Ottawa Senators2:1Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 23, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets5:1Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 21, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning3:5Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 19, 2025
Montreal Canadiens3:7Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 17, 2025
New Jersey Devils3:4Toronto Maple Leafs
Minnesota Wild
Minnesota Wild
Latest matches
W
L
L
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Jan 27, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks2:4Minnesota Wild
Jan 26, 2025
Calgary Flames5:4Minnesota Wild
Jan 24, 2025
Utah Hockey Club4:0Minnesota Wild
Jan 20, 2025
Colorado Avalanche1:3Minnesota Wild
Jan 19, 2025
Nashville Predators6:2Minnesota Wild

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota Wild head to head

Toronto Maple Leafs

83%

Minnesota Wild

17%

Nov 3, 2024

Minnesota Wild

2 : 1

Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 19, 2023

Minnesota Wild

3 : 4

Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 14, 2023

Toronto Maple Leafs

7 : 4

Minnesota Wild

Feb 25, 2023

Toronto Maple Leafs

2 : 1

Minnesota Wild

Nov 25, 2022

Minnesota Wild

3 : 4

Toronto Maple Leafs

Feb 25, 2022

Toronto Maple Leafs

3 : 1

Minnesota Wild