The Washington Capitals (34-11-5) bring their impressive eight-game hot streak to Canadian Tire Centre as they face off against the Ottawa Senators (26-20-4) in a crucial Eastern Conference matchup on Thursday night.

Both teams enter the contest in remarkable form, with the Capitals and Senators combining for an outstanding 15-3-2 record in their last 20 games.

Washington's league-leading defense, allowing just 2.34 goals per game, will be tested against an Ottawa squad that has found their rhythm at home with a solid 14-7-2 record this season.

The Senators have held the upper hand in recent meetings, posting a 5-2-3 record in their last 10 encounters, including a tight 1-0 overtime victory in their most recent clash on January 16.

While the Capitals boast the NHL's third-best offense averaging 3.48 goals per game, Ottawa's defensive improvements have resulted in allowing just 1.80 goals per game over their last ten outings.

This compelling matchup between two of the Eastern Conference's hottest teams sets the stage for what could be another classic chapter in their growing rivalry, with both sides looking to strengthen their playoff positioning.

Ottawa Senators vs. Washington Capitals: who will win?

For tonight's Ottawa Senators vs Washington Capitals matchup, our predictive model gives the Capitals a 67% chance of defeating the Senators.

Washington Capitals: 67% win probability

  • League-leading defense (Only 119 goals against in 50 games)
  • Strong overall record (34 wins in 50 games, 73 points)
  • Excellent recent form (WLWWW in last 5 games)

Ottawa Senators: 33% win probability

  • Inconsistent scoring (Only 137 goals in 50 games)
  • Lower points total (56 points vs Capitals' 73)
  • Weaker win record (26 wins vs Capitals' 34)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Ottawa Senators vs. Washington Capitals odds

Ottawa SenatorsWashington Capitals
moneyline-105 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)-105 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Key stats

  • 1
    The Ottawa Senators have won 26 out of 50 matches this season.
  • 2
    The Washington Capitals have won 34 out of 50 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 56 points, the Ottawa Senators holds the 6th position in the league standings.
  • 4
    Washington Capitals's 73 points place them 1st in the rankings.

Ottawa Senators vs. Washington Capitals form

Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators
Latest matches
W
W
L
L
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Jan 26, 2025
Utah Hockey Club1:3Ottawa Senators
Jan 26, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs1:2Ottawa Senators
Jan 24, 2025
Boston Bruins2:0Ottawa Senators
Jan 22, 2025
New York Rangers5:0Ottawa Senators
Jan 19, 2025
New Jersey Devils1:2Ottawa Senators
Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals
Latest matches
W
L
W
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Jan 29, 2025
Calgary Flames1:3Washington Capitals
Jan 26, 2025
Vancouver Canucks2:1Washington Capitals
Jan 24, 2025
Seattle Kraken0:3Washington Capitals
Jan 22, 2025
Edmonton Oilers2:3Washington Capitals
Jan 19, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins1:4Washington Capitals

Ottawa Senators vs. Washington Capitals head to head

Ottawa Senators

50%

Washington Capitals

50%

Jan 17, 2025

Ottawa Senators

0 : 1

Washington Capitals

Apr 7, 2024

Washington Capitals

2 : 3

Ottawa Senators

Feb 27, 2024

Washington Capitals

6 : 3

Ottawa Senators

Oct 18, 2023

Ottawa Senators

6 : 1

Washington Capitals

Dec 30, 2022

Washington Capitals

3 : 4

Ottawa Senators

Dec 23, 2022

Ottawa Senators

2 : 3

Washington Capitals