The surging New York Islanders bring their impressive six-game winning streak to Amalie Arena as they face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning in a pivotal Eastern Conference matchup on February 1.

The Islanders (23-20-7) have found their rhythm through stellar defensive play, allowing just seven goals during their win streak while relying on goaltender Ilya Sorokin's outstanding .907 save percentage.

The Lightning (27-20-3) counter with their potent offense, averaging 3.48 goals per game led by the dynamic duo of Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel, who have combined for 45 goals and 84 assists this season.

Both teams find themselves in the thick of the wild card race, with Tampa Bay currently holding onto a playoff spot while the Islanders sit just a few points behind.

The contrast in styles between the Islanders' defensive prowess and the Lightning's high-powered offense sets the stage for an intriguing battle, with both teams showcasing strong goaltending from their respective netminders Sorokin and Andrei Vasilevskiy.

As these Eastern Conference rivals prepare to face off in Tampa Bay, this matchup could prove crucial in determining the playoff picture and potentially shift the momentum for both teams' postseason aspirations.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders: who will win?

For tonight's Tampa Bay Lightning vs New York Islanders matchup, our predictive model gives the Lightning a 69.67% chance of defeating the Islanders.

Tampa Bay Lightning: 69.67% win probability

  • Superior offensive output (175 goals scored vs Islanders' 138)
  • Better overall record (27 wins in 50 games vs Islanders' 23 in 50)
  • Higher points total (57 points vs Islanders' 53)

New York Islanders: 30.33% win probability

  • Lower scoring efficiency (138 goals in 50 games, 2.76 goals/game)
  • Fewer wins overall (23 wins vs Lightning's 27)
  • Lower points percentage (1.06 points/game vs Lightning's 1.14)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders odds

Tampa Bay LightningNew York Islanders
moneyline-165 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)+146 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Key stats

  • 1
    The Tampa Bay Lightning have won 27 out of 50 matches this season.
  • 2
    The New York Islanders have won 23 out of 50 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 57 points, the Tampa Bay Lightning holds the 8th position in the league standings.
  • 4
    New York Islanders's 53 points place them 11th in the rankings.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders form

Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest matches
W
L
L
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Jan 31, 2025
Los Angeles Kings0:3Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 29, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks4:1Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 26, 2025
Detroit Red Wings2:0Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 25, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks3:4Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 22, 2025
Montreal Canadiens3:2Tampa Bay Lightning
New York Islanders
New York Islanders
Latest matches
W
W
W
W
W
Victories
5/5 (100%)
Defeats
0/5 (0%)
Jan 31, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers0:3New York Islanders
Jan 29, 2025
Colorado Avalanche2:5New York Islanders
Jan 26, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes2:3New York Islanders
Jan 25, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers1:3New York Islanders
Jan 21, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets1:3New York Islanders

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. New York Islanders head to head

Tampa Bay Lightning

67%

New York Islanders

33%

Mar 30, 2024

Tampa Bay Lightning

4 : 1

New York Islanders

Feb 24, 2024

New York Islanders

2 : 4

Tampa Bay Lightning

Feb 9, 2024

New York Islanders

6 : 2

Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 6, 2023

New York Islanders

6 : 1

Tampa Bay Lightning

Apr 1, 2023

Tampa Bay Lightning

5 : 0

New York Islanders

Oct 22, 2022

Tampa Bay Lightning

5 : 3

New York Islanders