The Toronto Maple Leafs (31-19-2) travel to the Scotiabank Saddledome to take on the Calgary Flames (26-19-7) in what promises to be an intriguing cross-conference matchup on Tuesday night.
Toronto enters the contest riding high in the Atlantic Division, powered by their dynamic offense that averages 3.06 goals per game, with the duo of Mitch Marner and William Nylander contributing an impressive 46 goals and 76 assists combined this season.
The Flames, meanwhile, are battling to maintain their grip on the Western Conference's final wild card spot, relying heavily on their sturdy defense that allows just 2.90 goals per game and the stellar goaltending of Dustin Wolf, who boasts a .917 save percentage.
Both teams bring contrasting styles to the ice, with Toronto's high-powered offense facing off against Calgary's defensive prowess and emerging netminder Wolf, who has been particularly impressive with 13.3 goals saved above average.
The matchup presents an interesting tactical battle between the Maple Leafs' offensive firepower and the Flames' defensive structure, with both teams desperate for points as they pursue their playoff ambitions.
As these two Canadian franchises prepare to face off, hockey fans across North America will be watching closely to see which team's strategy prevails in this compelling NHL prediction matchup.
Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple Leafs: who will win?
For tonight's Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 65% chance of defeating the Flames.
Toronto Maple Leafs: 65% win probability
- Higher league position (4th in Eastern Conference vs 8th in Western)
- Superior goal-scoring efficiency (159 goals in 52 games vs 141 in 52)
- Better overall record (31 wins vs 26 wins in comparable games played)
Calgary Flames: 35% win probability
- Poor defensive record (152 goals against vs Toronto's 150)
- Inconsistent recent form (WLWLL vs Toronto's WLLLW)
- Lower points total (59 points vs Toronto's 64 in comparable games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds
| Calgary Flames | Toronto Maple Leafs | |
|---|---|---|
| moneyline | +125 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) | -145 (via Caesars Sportsbook) |
Key stats
- 1The Calgary Flames have won 26 out of 52 matches this season.
- 2The Toronto Maple Leafs have won 31 out of 52 matches this season.
- 3With 59 points, the Calgary Flames holds the 8th position in the league standings.
- 4Toronto Maple Leafs's 64 points place them 4th in the rankings.
Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple Leafs form
Calgary Flames vs. Toronto Maple Leafs head to head
Calgary Flames
17%
Toronto Maple Leafs
83%
Jan 19, 2024
Calgary Flames
3 : 4
Toronto Maple Leafs
Nov 11, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs
5 : 4
Calgary Flames
Mar 3, 2023
Calgary Flames
1 : 2
Toronto Maple Leafs
Dec 11, 2022
Toronto Maple Leafs
5 : 4
Calgary Flames
Feb 11, 2022
Calgary Flames
5 : 2
Toronto Maple Leafs
Nov 13, 2021
Toronto Maple Leafs
2 : 1
Calgary Flames
