The Metropolitan Division clash between the Washington Capitals and Philadelphia Flyers at Wells Fargo Center sets up an intriguing battle between teams heading in opposite directions.

The Capitals (35-11-7) enter Thursday's matchup riding high after a convincing 6-3 victory over Florida, maintaining their nine-point lead atop the Metropolitan Division while showcasing their league-second-best offense averaging 3.55 goals per game.

Philadelphia (23-25-7) continues to search for answers amid a challenging stretch, having lost six of their last seven games and struggling to find offensive consistency with just 1.8 goals per game over their last ten outings.

Recent history heavily favors Washington, who have won the last four meetings between these teams and hold a commanding 7-2-1 record in their last ten matchups, including a 6-3 victory in their most recent encounter.

The contrast between Washington's high-powered offense and Philadelphia's defensive struggles could prove decisive, though the Flyers' home-ice advantage might help narrow the gap.

As these division rivals prepare to face off in the City of Brotherly Love, both teams recognize the crucial importance of securing two points in an increasingly competitive Metropolitan Division race.

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Washington Capitals: who will win?

For tonight's Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals matchup, our predictive model gives the Caps a 67.33% chance of defeating the Flyers.

Washington Capitals: 67.33% win probability

  • League-leading defense (Only 132 goals against in 53 games)
  • Superior offensive output (188 goals for vs Flyers' 156)
  • Better overall record (35-11 vs Flyers' 23-25)

Philadelphia Flyers: 32.67% win probability

  • Poor recent form (LLLLW in last 5 games)
  • Defensive struggles (186 goals against, 15th in Eastern Conference)
  • Low win percentage (23 wins in 55 games, 0.418 win rate)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Washington Capitals odds

Philadelphia FlyersWashington Capitals
moneyline+126 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)-145 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)

Key stats

  • 1
    The Philadelphia Flyers have won 23 out of 55 matches this season.
  • 2
    The Washington Capitals have won 35 out of 53 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 53 points, the Philadelphia Flyers holds the 15th position in the league standings.
  • 4
    Washington Capitals's 77 points place them 1st in the rankings.

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Washington Capitals form

Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Latest matches
L
L
L
L
W
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Feb 5, 2025
Utah Hockey Club3:2Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 2, 2025
Colorado Avalanche2:0Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 31, 2025
New York Islanders3:0Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 30, 2025
New Jersey Devils5:0Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 28, 2025
New Jersey Devils2:4Philadelphia Flyers
Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals
Latest matches
W
L
L
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Feb 5, 2025
Florida Panthers3:6Washington Capitals
Feb 2, 2025
Winnipeg Jets5:4Washington Capitals
Jan 31, 2025
Ottawa Senators5:4Washington Capitals
Jan 29, 2025
Calgary Flames1:3Washington Capitals
Jan 26, 2025
Vancouver Canucks2:1Washington Capitals

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Washington Capitals head to head

Philadelphia Flyers

33%

Washington Capitals

67%

Oct 23, 2024

Washington Capitals

6 : 3

Philadelphia Flyers

Oct 22, 2024

Philadelphia Flyers

1 : 4

Washington Capitals

Sep 22, 2024

Washington Capitals

2 : 6

Philadelphia Flyers

Apr 16, 2024

Philadelphia Flyers

1 : 2

Washington Capitals

Mar 2, 2024

Washington Capitals

5 : 2

Philadelphia Flyers

Dec 15, 2023

Philadelphia Flyers

4 : 3

Washington Capitals