The New York Rangers (26-23-4) welcome the Pittsburgh Penguins (22-24-9) to Madison Square Garden on Friday night in what promises to be a pivotal Metropolitan Division matchup with playoff implications.

The Rangers enter the contest riding a two-game winning streak and sitting just outside the Eastern Conference wild card spot, while the Penguins have managed just four wins in their last ten games and find themselves near the bottom of the division.

New York's recent defensive improvement has been notable, allowing only four goals in their last two games, with goaltender Igor Shesterkin posting a solid .906 save percentage on the season.

The Penguins' offensive struggles continue to be a concern, averaging just 2.87 goals per game and managing only 11 goals in their last six contests, despite the consistent production from Sidney Crosby and Rickard Rakell.

The contrast between the teams' current trajectories sets up an intriguing battle, with the Rangers' improving defense facing off against a Penguins squad desperate to find their scoring touch.

As these longtime rivals prepare to face off at Madison Square Garden, both teams recognize the crucial importance of securing two points in the tight Eastern Conference playoff race.

New York Rangers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins: who will win?

For tonight's New York Rangers vs Pittsburgh Penguins matchup, our predictive model gives the Rangers a 57.33% chance of defeating the Penguins.

New York Rangers: 57.33% win probability

  • Better offensive efficiency (159 goals scored in 53 games vs Penguins' 159 in 55)
  • Stronger defensive record (162 goals against vs Penguins' 196)
  • Higher points percentage (56 points in 53 games vs Penguins' 53 in 55)

Pittsburgh Penguins: 42.67% win probability

  • Poor defensive record (196 goals against, among worst in Eastern Conference)
  • Negative goal differential (-37, significantly worse than Rangers' -3)
  • Lower win percentage (22 wins in 55 games vs Rangers' 26 in 53)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

New York Rangers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins odds

New York RangersPittsburgh Penguins
moneyline-190 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)+172 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Key stats

  • 1
    The New York Rangers have won 26 out of 53 matches this season.
  • 2
    The Pittsburgh Penguins have won 22 out of 55 matches this season.
  • 3
    With 56 points, the New York Rangers holds the 12th position in the league standings.
  • 4
    Pittsburgh Penguins's 53 points place them 14th in the rankings.

New York Rangers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins form

New York Rangers
New York Rangers
Latest matches
W
W
L
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Feb 6, 2025
Boston Bruins2:3New York Rangers
Feb 2, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights2:4New York Rangers
Feb 1, 2025
Boston Bruins6:3New York Rangers
Jan 29, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes4:0New York Rangers
Jan 26, 2025
Colorado Avalanche5:4New York Rangers
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Latest matches
L
W
W
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Feb 5, 2025
New Jersey Devils3:2Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 2, 2025
Nashville Predators0:3Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 30, 2025
Utah Hockey Club2:3Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 28, 2025
San Jose Sharks2:1Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 25, 2025
Seattle Kraken4:1Pittsburgh Penguins

New York Rangers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins head to head

New York Rangers

83%

Pittsburgh Penguins

17%

Dec 7, 2024

New York Rangers

4 : 2

Pittsburgh Penguins

Oct 9, 2024

Pittsburgh Penguins

0 : 6

New York Rangers

Apr 1, 2024

New York Rangers

2 : 5

Pittsburgh Penguins

Mar 16, 2024

Pittsburgh Penguins

4 : 7

New York Rangers

Nov 23, 2023

Pittsburgh Penguins

0 : 1

New York Rangers

Mar 19, 2023

New York Rangers

6 : 0

Pittsburgh Penguins