The Toronto Maple Leafs (33-20-2) are set to face off against the Carolina Hurricanes (33-19-4) at Scotiabank Arena in what promises to be a compelling matchup between two of the NHL's top performing teams.

Both teams enter the contest with impressive records, as the Hurricanes hold second place in the Metropolitan Division while averaging 3.29 goals per game, and the Maple Leafs maintain their strong position in the Atlantic Division with a solid 3.07 goals per game average.

The Hurricanes' dynamic duo of Sebastian Aho and Seth Jarvis have combined for an impressive 42 goals and 58 assists this season, while the Maple Leafs counter with the formidable pairing of William Nylander and Mitch Marner, who have accumulated 49 goals and 77 assists.

The defensive battle could prove decisive, with Carolina allowing just 2.71 goals per game behind Pyotr Kotchetkov's steady presence in net, while Toronto's Anthony Stolarz has posted exceptional numbers with a .929 save percentage.

This matchup features two teams with remarkably similar statistical profiles, suggesting a tightly contested game that could come down to special teams and goaltending.

As these Eastern Conference heavyweights prepare to clash, fans and analysts alike will be watching closely to see which team can gain the upper hand in what could be a preview of a potential playoff matchup.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina Hurricanes prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Carolina Hurricanes matchup, our predictive model gives the Hurricanes a 50.67% chance of defeating the Leafs.

Carolina Hurricanes: 50.67% win probability

  • Strong defensive record (154 goals against in 56 games)
  • Better recent form (WLLLW vs Leafs' LWWWL)
  • Higher points total (70 points vs 68 points)

Toronto Maple Leafs: 49.33% win probability

  • Inconsistent defensive performance (156 goals against)
  • Lower win percentage (33 wins in 55 games vs Hurricanes' 33 in 56)
  • Recent form slump (LWWWL in last 5 games)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina Hurricanes odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the visiting Carolina Hurricanes and home team Toronto Maple Leafs, set to face off on Saturday, February 22.

Toronto Maple LeafsCarolina Hurricanes
Moneyline+100 (via Caesars Sportsbook)-120 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina Hurricanes preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are set to host the Carolina Hurricanes in what promises to be an electrifying matchup between two of the NHL's top performers this season at Scotiabank Arena.

Both teams enter the contest with impressive records, as the Hurricanes (33-19-4) hold second place in the Metropolitan Division while the Maple Leafs (33-20-2) maintain their strong position as second in the Atlantic Division.

The Hurricanes' offense has been particularly potent this season, averaging 3.29 goals per game, with the dynamic duo of Sebastian Aho and Seth Jarvis leading the charge with a combined 42 goals and 58 assists.

Toronto's defensive prowess has been their cornerstone, allowing just 2.84 goals per game, anchored by the stellar performance of goaltender Anthony Stolarz, who boasts an impressive .929 save percentage and 2.08 goals-against average.

The Leafs' offensive threats William Nylander and Mitch Marner have been exceptional, contributing 49 goals and 77 assists between them, while Auston Matthews continues to be a force in the attacking zone.

Carolina's defensive unit, led by Jaccob Slavin and Dmitry Orlov, has been equally impressive, limiting opponents to 2.71 goals per game while contributing significantly to the team's offensive output from the blue line.

The goaltending battle will be one to watch, with Carolina's Pyotr Kochetkov (.904 save percentage) facing off against Toronto's Stolarz, who has saved 13.8 goals above average this season.

Both teams' special teams units will play a crucial role, with the Maple Leafs converting 23.18% of their power play opportunities and the Hurricanes successfully defending against opposing power plays with their robust penalty-killing unit.

While the odds slightly favor the Hurricanes at -182, the home-ice advantage and Toronto's recent defensive stability make this an intriguingly balanced matchup that could go either way.

Key stats

  • 1
    Both teams are closely matched with Carolina at 70 points and Toronto at 68 points
  • 2
    Carolina has better goal difference (+30) compared to Toronto (+13)
  • 3
    Toronto's recent form (LWWWL) is slightly better than Carolina's (WLLLW)
  • 4
    Both teams have identical win records with 33 victories, though Carolina has played one more game (56 vs 55)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina Hurricanes form

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest matches
L
W
W
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Feb 9, 2025
Vancouver Canucks2:1Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 7, 2025
Seattle Kraken1:3Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 5, 2025
Calgary Flames3:6Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 2, 2025
Edmonton Oilers3:4Toronto Maple Leafs
Jan 30, 2025
Minnesota Wild3:1Toronto Maple Leafs
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes
Latest matches
W
L
L
L
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Feb 8, 2025
Utah Hockey Club3:7Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 7, 2025
Minnesota Wild2:1Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 5, 2025
Winnipeg Jets3:0Carolina Hurricanes
Feb 2, 2025
Los Angeles Kings4:2Carolina Hurricanes
Jan 31, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks2:3Carolina Hurricanes

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Carolina Hurricanes head to head

Toronto Maple Leafs

17%

Carolina Hurricanes

83%

Jan 10, 2025

Carolina Hurricanes

6 : 3

Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 24, 2024

Carolina Hurricanes

2 : 1

Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 16, 2024

Toronto Maple Leafs

4 : 5

Carolina Hurricanes

Dec 31, 2023

Toronto Maple Leafs

2 : 3

Carolina Hurricanes

Mar 25, 2023

Carolina Hurricanes

5 : 3

Toronto Maple Leafs

Mar 17, 2023

Toronto Maple Leafs

5 : 2

Carolina Hurricanes