The Eastern Conference-leading Washington Capitals (36-11-8) head to PPG Paints Arena for a crucial Metropolitan Division showdown against the Pittsburgh Penguins (23-25-9) on Saturday afternoon.

The Capitals, powered by Alex Ovechkin's 26 goals this season and Logan Thompson's stellar 2.23 goals-against average, have established themselves as one of the NHL's most formidable teams, ranking third in scoring and fourth in defense.

Pittsburgh, despite their historical success, finds themselves in unfamiliar territory, sitting seventh in the Metropolitan Division and struggling to maintain consistency, having scored no more than three goals in their last eight games.

The season series between these longtime rivals stands deadlocked at one win apiece, with both previous meetings taking place in Washington.

While the Capitals appear to have the upper hand with their impressive 19-7-2 road record, the potential return of Sidney Crosby could provide the spark the Penguins desperately need to turn their season around.

This Metropolitan Division matchup promises to be an intriguing battle between a team riding high and another fighting to keep their playoff hopes alive, with significant implications for both teams' postseason aspirations.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Washington Capitals prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Pittsburgh Penguins vs Washington Capitals matchup, our predictive model gives the Caps a 56% chance of defeating the Pens.

Washington Capitals: 56% win probability

  • League-leading offense (196 goals for, highest in Eastern Conference)
  • Strong defensive record (140 goals against, 2nd best in Eastern Conference)
  • Dominant overall record (36-11, best win-loss ratio in East)

Pittsburgh Penguins: 44% win probability

  • Poor defensive performance (201 goals against, 3rd worst in Eastern Conference)
  • Inconsistent form (23-25 record, 14th in Eastern Conference)
  • Struggling offense (164 goals scored, below conference average)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Washington Capitals odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Washington Capitals and the home team Pittsburgh Penguins, set to face off on Saturday, February 22.

Pittsburgh PenguinsWashington Capitals
Moneyline+140 (via Caesars Sportsbook)-165 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Washington Capitals preview

The Washington Capitals and Pittsburgh Penguins are set to face off in a crucial Metropolitan Division matchup this Saturday at PPG Paints Arena, with both teams looking to make significant statements as they emerge from the break.

The Eastern Conference-leading Capitals (36-11-8) have been dominant this season, sitting atop the Metropolitan Division with 80 points and showcasing their offensive prowess with 3.56 goals per game, good for third in the NHL.

Washington's success has been anchored by captain Alex Ovechkin's 26 goals and an impressive defensive unit that's allowing just 2.49 goals per game, while netminder Logan Thompson has been outstanding with a 24-7 record and 2.23 goals-against average.

The Penguins (23-25-9), meanwhile, find themselves in unfamiliar territory, sitting seventh in the division and struggling to maintain consistency in what has been a challenging season.

Pittsburgh's defensive woes have been particularly concerning, as they currently rank last in the NHL in goals allowed (3.44 per game), while their offense has failed to score more than three goals in any of their last eight contests.

The potential absence of veteran center Sidney Crosby, who is listed as day-to-day after the 4-Nations tournament, could further complicate matters for the Penguins, though Rickard Rakell has been a bright spot with 25 goals this season.

The season series between these long-time rivals stands even at one game apiece, with both previous meetings taking place in Washington, adding extra intrigue to this first matchup in Pittsburgh.

With the Capitals' balanced attack featuring seven players with 13 or more goals, and the Penguins desperately fighting to keep their playoff hopes alive, this afternoon clash promises to be an intense battle between two teams heading in opposite directions.

Given the Capitals' superior form and the Penguins' defensive struggles, Washington appears poised to extend their division lead, though Pittsburgh's seventh-ranked power play could keep things interesting if they can draw penalties.

Key stats

  • 1
    Washington Capitals lead Eastern Conference with 80 points while Penguins sit 14th with 55 points
  • 2
    Capitals have significantly better goal difference (+56) compared to Penguins (-37)
  • 3
    Capitals' recent form (LWWLL) shows inconsistency, while Penguins show similar pattern (LWLWW)
  • 4
    Capitals have won 36 games vs Penguins' 23 wins in 57 games played

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Washington Capitals form

Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Latest matches
L
W
L
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Feb 9, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers3:2Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 8, 2025
New York Rangers2:3Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 5, 2025
New Jersey Devils3:2Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 2, 2025
Nashville Predators0:3Pittsburgh Penguins
Jan 30, 2025
Utah Hockey Club2:3Pittsburgh Penguins
Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals
Latest matches
L
W
W
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Feb 9, 2025
Utah Hockey Club5:4Washington Capitals
Feb 7, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers3:4Washington Capitals
Feb 5, 2025
Florida Panthers3:6Washington Capitals
Feb 2, 2025
Winnipeg Jets5:4Washington Capitals
Jan 31, 2025
Ottawa Senators5:4Washington Capitals

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Washington Capitals head to head

Pittsburgh Penguins

50%

Washington Capitals

50%

Jan 19, 2025

Washington Capitals

4 : 1

Pittsburgh Penguins

Nov 9, 2024

Washington Capitals

2 : 4

Pittsburgh Penguins

Apr 4, 2024

Washington Capitals

1 : 4

Pittsburgh Penguins

Mar 8, 2024

Pittsburgh Penguins

0 : 6

Washington Capitals

Jan 3, 2024

Pittsburgh Penguins

3 : 4

Washington Capitals

Oct 13, 2023

Washington Capitals

0 : 4

Pittsburgh Penguins