The Ottawa Senators (29-23-4) welcome their provincial rivals, the Montreal Canadiens (25-26-5), to the Canadian Tire Centre for a pivotal Eastern Conference matchup on Saturday night.

The Senators, currently holding the top wild card spot in the East, have built their success on a formidable defense that allows just 2.77 goals per game, anchored by goaltender Linus Ullmark's impressive .915 save percentage.

Montreal enters the contest looking to snap a three-game losing streak, with their offense struggling to find consistency despite strong performances from Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield, who have combined for 41 goals and 60 assists this season.

The matchup presents an intriguing contrast between Ottawa's defensive prowess, led by Thomas Chabot and Nick Jensen, against Montreal's top-heavy offensive approach.

While the Senators have maintained their playoff position through strong defensive play, the Canadiens remain within striking distance of a playoff spot despite recent setbacks.

This all-Canadian showdown promises to be a compelling battle between two teams with contrasting styles and different trajectories in their pursuit of playoff positioning in the Eastern Conference.

Ottawa Senators vs. Montreal Canadiens prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Ottawa Senators vs Montreal Canadiens matchup, our predictive model gives the Sens a 70% chance of defeating the Habs.

Ottawa Senators: 70% win probability

  • Superior offensive output (158 goals for vs Montreal's 163)
  • Better defensive record (156 goals against vs Montreal's 194)
  • Higher points total (62 points in 56 games vs Montreal's 55 in 56)

Montreal Canadiens: 30% win probability

  • Poor defensive record (194 goals against, 13th in Eastern Conference)
  • Negative recent form (LLLWL in last 5 games)
  • Road game disadvantage (13th place in Eastern Conference with 55 points)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Ottawa Senators vs. Montreal Canadiens odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Montreal Canadiens visiting the Ottawa Senators at home on Saturday, February 22.

Ottawa SenatorsMontreal Canadiens
Moneyline-178 (via Caesars Sportsbook)+150 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Ottawa Senators vs. Montreal Canadiens preview

The Canadian Tire Centre is set to host an intriguing all-Canadian matchup as the Ottawa Senators welcome their rivals, the Montreal Canadiens, in a crucial Eastern Conference battle this Saturday evening.

The Senators, currently holding the top wild card spot with a solid 29-23-4 record, have been riding high on the strength of their defensive prowess, allowing just 2.77 goals per game.

Montreal enters the contest struggling to find their rhythm, having dropped their last three games and sporting a 25-26-5 record that leaves them just shy of playoff contention.

The Senators' success has been anchored by their stellar defensive pairing of Thomas Chabot and Nick Jensen, who have combined for an impressive 16.3 defensive point shares, while netminder Linus Ullmark has been exceptional with a .915 save percentage.

On the offensive front, Ottawa's dynamic trio of Tim Stutzle, Brady Tkachuk, and Drake Batherson have been leading the charge, contributing a combined 54 goals and 91 assists this season.

The Canadiens' offensive struggles continue to be a concern, though Nick Suzuki and Cole Caufield have been bright spots, accounting for 41 goals and 60 assists between them.

Montreal's defensive woes have been particularly evident lately, having conceded 10 goals in their last three games, while goalkeeper Samuel Montembeault's .897 save percentage suggests he'll need to elevate his game for this matchup.

With both teams averaging under three goals per game offensively, this contest could well develop into a tactical defensive battle, particularly given Ottawa's league-leading defensive statistics.

The odds makers have installed the Senators as clear favourites at -170, reflecting both their superior recent form and home-ice advantage.

Look for the Senators' defensive discipline and Ullmark's steady presence between the pipes to be the deciding factors in what promises to be a classic Canadian hockey showdown.

Key stats

  • 1
    Ottawa Senators (7th) have a higher league position than Montreal Canadiens (13th) in Eastern Conference
  • 2
    Ottawa has 62 points from 56 games while Montreal has 55 points from 56 games
  • 3
    Ottawa's goal difference is +2 (158 GF, 156 GA) compared to Montreal's -31 (163 GF, 194 GA)
  • 4
    Ottawa's recent form is LLLWW while Montreal's is LLLWL, showing better current momentum for Ottawa

Ottawa Senators vs. Montreal Canadiens form

Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators
Latest matches
L
L
L
W
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Feb 9, 2025
Florida Panthers5:1Ottawa Senators
Feb 7, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning5:1Ottawa Senators
Feb 5, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning4:3Ottawa Senators
Feb 4, 2025
Nashville Predators2:5Ottawa Senators
Feb 2, 2025
Minnesota Wild0:6Ottawa Senators
Montreal Canadiens
Montreal Canadiens
Latest matches
L
L
L
W
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Feb 9, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning5:3Montreal Canadiens
Feb 8, 2025
New Jersey Devils4:0Montreal Canadiens
Feb 6, 2025
Los Angeles Kings6:3Montreal Canadiens
Feb 5, 2025
San Jose Sharks3:4Montreal Canadiens
Feb 2, 2025
Anaheim Ducks3:2Montreal Canadiens

Ottawa Senators vs. Montreal Canadiens head to head

Ottawa Senators

83%

Montreal Canadiens

17%

Oct 12, 2024

Montreal Canadiens

4 : 1

Ottawa Senators

Oct 5, 2024

Ottawa Senators

4 : 2

Montreal Canadiens

Oct 1, 2024

Montreal Canadiens

3 : 4

Ottawa Senators

Apr 13, 2024

Ottawa Senators

5 : 4

Montreal Canadiens

Jan 24, 2024

Montreal Canadiens

1 : 4

Ottawa Senators

Jan 19, 2024

Ottawa Senators

6 : 2

Montreal Canadiens