The Toronto Maple Leafs (33-20-2) head to the United Center on Sunday night looking to bounce back from their recent 2-1 loss to Vancouver as they face a Chicago Blackhawks (17-31-7) team that has shown surprising resilience in recent matchups.

Toronto's high-powered offense, led by Mitch Marner's impressive 71 points and William Nylander's team-leading 33 goals, will test Chicago's struggling defense that currently ranks 30th in the league allowing 3.44 goals per game.

The historical context adds intrigue to this matchup, with Chicago holding a 6-3-1 record in their last 10 games against Toronto, despite the Maple Leafs leading this season's series 1-0.

While Toronto sits second in the Atlantic Division and aims to close a three-point gap behind Florida, Chicago's young star Connor Bedard continues to impress with 49 points from 16 goals and 33 assists this season.

The goaltending battle will feature Toronto's Joseph Woll (19-11-0, .909 save percentage) against Chicago's Arvid Soderblom (7-12-5, .906 save percentage), potentially setting the stage for an exciting offensive showcase.

This compelling NHL matchup presents an intriguing clash of styles between Toronto's balanced attack and Chicago's emerging young talent, with both teams eager to prove themselves in this cross-conference battle.

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Chicago Blackhawks vs Toronto Maple Leafs matchup, our predictive model gives the Leafs a 68% chance of defeating the Hawks.

Toronto Maple Leafs: 68% win probability

  • Strong offensive output (175 goals scored in 56 games)
  • Excellent win percentage (34 wins in 56 games, 60.7% win rate)
  • Solid defensive performance (159 goals against, among top 10 in league)

Chicago Blackhawks: 32% win probability

  • Poor overall record (17 wins in 56 games, second-worst in Western Conference)
  • Weak defensive performance (196 goals against, third-worst in conference)
  • Recent poor form (LLWLL in last 5 games)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the home team Chicago Blackhawks, set to face off on Sunday, February 23.

Chicago BlackhawksToronto Maple Leafs
Moneyline+205 (via Caesars Sportsbook)-250 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs (33-20-2) head to the United Center to face the Chicago Blackhawks (17-31-7) in what promises to be an intriguing Sunday night matchup between two teams on different trajectories.

Toronto, currently sitting second in the Atlantic Division and just three points behind Florida, will look to bounce back from a narrow 2-1 loss to Vancouver that snapped their three-game winning streak.

The Maple Leafs' offensive prowess has been evident this season, averaging 3.07 goals per game, led by the dynamic Mitch Marner, who has accumulated an impressive 71 points through 16 goals and 55 assists.

Chicago, despite their struggles this season, has shown some fight recently, particularly in their high-scoring 6-5 loss to St. Louis, and holds an interesting 6-3-1 record in their last ten meetings against Toronto.

The Blackhawks' rookie sensation Connor Bedard continues to be their bright spot, leading the team with 49 points from 16 goals and 33 assists, providing hope for the franchise's future.

Between the pipes, Toronto's Joseph Woll (19-11-0, 2.65 GAA) has been solid, while Chicago's Arvid Soderblom (7-12-5, 3.01 GAA) faces the challenging task of containing Toronto's potent offense.

The special teams battle could prove decisive, with Toronto converting over 23 percent of their power play opportunities against Chicago's seventh-ranked penalty kill unit.

Historical trends suggest an entertaining affair, as these teams have played over the total in seven of their last ten meetings, with both sides showing recent offensive capability despite their defensive inconsistencies.

With Toronto's strong road form of late, winning three of their last four away games, and Chicago's defensive struggles (allowing 3.44 goals per game), the Maple Leafs appear poised to extend their lead in the two-game season series, which they currently lead 1-0.

Key stats

  • 1
    Toronto (3rd in Atlantic) has 70 points while Chicago (last in Central) has just 41 points - a 29-point gap
  • 2
    Toronto's goal difference is +16 (175 GF, 159 GA) vs Chicago's -46 (150 GF, 196 GA)
  • 3
    Toronto's recent form is strong at WLWWW while Chicago is struggling at LLWLL
  • 4
    Toronto has won 34 of 56 games (60.7%) while Chicago has only won 17 of 56 games (30.4%)

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs form

Chicago Blackhawks
Chicago Blackhawks
Latest matches
L
L
W
L
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Feb 23, 2025
Columbus Blue Jackets5:1Chicago Blackhawks
Feb 9, 2025
St. Louis Blues6:5Chicago Blackhawks
Feb 8, 2025
Nashville Predators2:6Chicago Blackhawks
Feb 6, 2025
Edmonton Oilers4:3Chicago Blackhawks
Feb 1, 2025
Florida Panthers5:1Chicago Blackhawks
Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest matches
W
L
W
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Feb 23, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes3:6Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 9, 2025
Vancouver Canucks2:1Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 7, 2025
Seattle Kraken1:3Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 5, 2025
Calgary Flames3:6Toronto Maple Leafs
Feb 2, 2025
Edmonton Oilers3:4Toronto Maple Leafs

Chicago Blackhawks vs. Toronto Maple Leafs head to head

Chicago Blackhawks

50%

Toronto Maple Leafs

50%

Dec 3, 2024

Toronto Maple Leafs

4 : 1

Chicago Blackhawks

Nov 24, 2023

Chicago Blackhawks

4 : 3

Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 16, 2023

Toronto Maple Leafs

1 : 4

Chicago Blackhawks

Feb 19, 2023

Chicago Blackhawks

5 : 3

Toronto Maple Leafs

Feb 16, 2023

Toronto Maple Leafs

5 : 2

Chicago Blackhawks

Dec 12, 2021

Toronto Maple Leafs

5 : 4

Chicago Blackhawks