The Washington Capitals (36-11-8) welcome the Edmonton Oilers (34-17-4) to Capital One Arena on Sunday afternoon in a compelling matchup between two division leaders.

Both teams enter this contest following the 4-Nations Face Off break, with the Metropolitan Division-leading Capitals holding a commanding 10-point advantage over Carolina, while the Oilers are locked in a tight battle atop the Pacific Division with Vegas.

Washington's stellar goaltender Logan Thompson has been a difference-maker this season, posting impressive numbers with a 2.23 goals-against average and .921 save percentage across 31 appearances.

The Oilers bring their league-leading offense to DC, spearheaded by Leon Draisaitl's 40 goals and 83 points, alongside Connor McDavid's 71-point campaign.

While both teams have demonstrated exceptional two-way play, with Washington averaging 3.6 goals per game and Edmonton posting 3.3, the absence of key players like T.J. Oshie and Evander Kane could impact their respective strategies.

This cross-conference showdown promises to showcase elite talent and championship-caliber hockey, as these powerhouse teams look to strengthen their positions heading into the final stretch of the regular season.

Washington Capitals vs. Edmonton Oilers prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Washington Capitals vs Edmonton Oilers matchup, our predictive model gives the Caps a 52.67% chance of defeating the Oilers.

Washington Capitals: 52.67% win probability

  • League-leading win percentage (37 wins in 56 games)
  • Superior defensive record (143 goals against vs league average of 172)
  • Excellent goal differential (+61, scoring 204 while conceding 143)

Edmonton Oilers: 47.33% win probability

  • Inconsistent recent form (LLWWL in last 5 games)
  • Higher goals against (158 GA compared to Capitals' 143)
  • Lower points total (72 points in 56 games vs Capitals' 82 points)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Washington Capitals vs. Edmonton Oilers odds

Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Washington Capitals host the Edmonton Oilers at home on Sunday, February 23.

Washington CapitalsEdmonton Oilers
Moneyline+105 (via Caesars Sportsbook)-125 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Washington Capitals vs. Edmonton Oilers preview

A thrilling matchup awaits as the division-leading Washington Capitals (36-11-8) host the Edmonton Oilers (34-17-4) at Capital One Arena in what promises to be an electrifying Sunday afternoon showdown.

Both teams enter this contest as powerhouses in their respective divisions, with the Capitals holding a commanding 10-point lead in the Metropolitan Division while the Oilers are tied for first in the Pacific.

The Capitals have been nearly unstoppable at both ends of the ice, boasting the league's third-best scoring average (3.6 goals per game) while maintaining a stingy defense that allows just 2.5 goals against.

Edmonton's dynamic duo of Leon Draisaitl (40 goals, 83 points) and Connor McDavid (22 goals, 49 assists) continues to terrorize opponents, spearheading the NHL's most prolific shooting offense with 32.6 shots per game.

Washington's netminder Logan Thompson has been exceptional this season, posting a remarkable 24-2-5 record with a 2.23 goals-against average and .921 save percentage.

The Capitals will have to manage without several key players, including Sonny Milano, Nicklas Backstrom, and T.J. Oshie, while the Oilers are missing Alec Regula and Evander Kane.

Washington enters the contest having won nine of their last 13 games, while Edmonton has impressed with victories in 13 of their last 19 matchups.

The scheduling could play a crucial factor as both teams complete back-to-back games, though the Capitals hold the advantage of playing their second consecutive game at home.

With Washington's superior goaltending and home-ice advantage potentially giving them the edge, this matchup between two of the NHL's most exciting teams could come down to special teams play, where the Capitals' sixth-ranked penalty kill (82.6%) will be tested by Edmonton's potent power play (25%).

Key stats

  • 1
    Washington Capitals lead Eastern Conference with 82 points in 56 games, while Edmonton Oilers sit 4th in Western with 72 points in 56 games
  • 2
    Capitals have superior goal difference (+61) compared to Oilers (+27)
  • 3
    Capitals' recent form is WLWWL vs Oilers' LLWWL
  • 4
    Washington has better win percentage (66%) with 37 wins vs Edmonton's 61% with 34 wins

Washington Capitals vs. Edmonton Oilers form

Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals
Latest matches
W
L
W
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Feb 22, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins3:8Washington Capitals
Feb 9, 2025
Utah Hockey Club5:4Washington Capitals
Feb 7, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers3:4Washington Capitals
Feb 5, 2025
Florida Panthers3:6Washington Capitals
Feb 2, 2025
Winnipeg Jets5:4Washington Capitals
Edmonton Oilers
Edmonton Oilers
Latest matches
L
L
W
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Feb 22, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers6:3Edmonton Oilers
Feb 8, 2025
Colorado Avalanche5:4Edmonton Oilers
Feb 6, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks3:4Edmonton Oilers
Feb 5, 2025
St. Louis Blues2:3Edmonton Oilers
Feb 2, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs4:3Edmonton Oilers

Washington Capitals vs. Edmonton Oilers head to head

Washington Capitals

50%

Edmonton Oilers

50%

Jan 22, 2025

Edmonton Oilers

2 : 3

Washington Capitals

Mar 14, 2024

Edmonton Oilers

7 : 2

Washington Capitals

Nov 24, 2023

Washington Capitals

0 : 5

Edmonton Oilers

Dec 6, 2022

Edmonton Oilers

2 : 3

Washington Capitals

Nov 8, 2022

Washington Capitals

5 : 4

Edmonton Oilers

Mar 10, 2022

Edmonton Oilers

4 : 3

Washington Capitals