The Tampa Bay Lightning, riding an impressive four-game winning streak and sitting third in the Atlantic Division with a 31-20-4 record, welcome the Seattle Kraken to Amalie Arena for what promises to be an intriguing Sunday evening clash.

Tampa Bay's high-powered offense, averaging 3.56 goals per game and led by the dynamic duo of Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel who have combined for 51 goals and 93 assists this season, has been particularly potent lately with 20 goals in their last four games.

The Kraken, despite their recent 2-1 victory, have struggled to find consistency this season with a 25-29-4 record and are averaging just 2.95 goals per game, though goalkeeper Joey Daccord has been a bright spot with a solid .915 save percentage.

The contrast between Tampa Bay's explosive offense and Seattle's defensive challenges sets the stage for what could be a defining game for both teams.

While the Lightning appear to have the upper hand with their balanced attack and strong goaltending from Andrei Vasilevskiy, the unpredictable nature of hockey means anything can happen when these teams face off.

As these teams prepare to battle at Amalie Arena, we break down all the key factors that could determine whether the Lightning can extend their winning streak or if the Kraken can pull off a surprise victory in this cross-conference matchup.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Seattle Kraken prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Tampa Bay Lightning vs Seattle Kraken matchup, our predictive model gives the Lightning a 75.5% chance of defeating the Kraken.

Tampa Bay Lightning: 75.5% win probability

  • Elite offensive production (197 goals scored, 3rd highest in the league)
  • Strong recent momentum (WWWWL in last 5 games)
  • Superior goal differential (+44, ranking among top 5 in league)

Seattle Kraken: 24.5% win probability

  • Poor defensive record (184 goals against, 7th worst in Western Conference)
  • Inconsistent recent form (WWLLL in last 5 games)
  • Struggling road performance (25 wins vs 29 losses overall record)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Seattle Kraken odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Seattle Kraken and the home team Tampa Bay Lightning, set to face off on Sunday, February 23.

Tampa Bay LightningSeattle Kraken
Moneyline-250 (via Caesars Sportsbook)+205 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Seattle Kraken preview

The Tampa Bay Lightning will host the Seattle Kraken at Amalie Arena this Sunday evening, with both teams experiencing vastly different fortunes in their respective campaigns.

The Lightning enter the matchup riding an impressive four-game winning streak and sitting comfortably in third place in the Atlantic Division with a solid 31-20-4 record.

Tampa Bay's high-powered offense, averaging 3.56 goals per game, has been particularly lethal lately, lighting the lamp 20 times in their last four outings.

NHL points leader Nikita Kucherov continues to dazzle alongside Brandon Hagel, with the duo combining for an impressive 51 goals and 93 assists this season.

The Kraken, meanwhile, find themselves near the bottom of the Pacific Division with a 25-29-4 record, though they're coming off an encouraging 2-1 victory.

Despite Seattle's struggles, goaltender Joey Daccord has been a bright spot, posting a remarkable .915 save percentage and 2.49 goals-against average on 1087 shots faced.

The matchup presents an intriguing battle between Tampa Bay's explosive offense and Seattle's stalwart netminder, with the Lightning's depth likely to test the Kraken's defense that's allowing 3.16 goals per game.

Victor Hedman's presence on the Lightning blue line adds another dimension to Tampa's attack, with the veteran defenseman contributing eight goals and 36 assists while anchoring a defensive unit that's limiting opponents to just 2.76 goals per game.

The Kraken will need their top line of Jared McCann, Chandler Stephenson, and Jaden Schwartz to break through against Lightning netminder Andrei Vasilevskiy, who's been stellar with a .918 save percentage and 2.32 goals-against average.

With the Lightning's home-ice advantage and superior offensive firepower, they appear poised to extend their winning streak in what could be a high-scoring affair at Amalie Arena.

Key stats

  • 1
    Tampa Bay Lightning sits 6th in Eastern Conference with 66 points in 55 games, while Seattle Kraken is 13th in Western Conference with 54 points in 58 games
  • 2
    Lightning has a strong goal differential of +44 (197 GF, 153 GA) compared to Kraken's -13 (171 GF, 184 GA)
  • 3
    Tampa Bay is on a hot streak with recent form of WWWWL, while Seattle is struggling with WWLLL
  • 4
    Lightning averages 3.58 goals per game versus Kraken's 2.95, suggesting offensive advantage for Tampa Bay

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Seattle Kraken form

Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning
Latest matches
W
W
W
W
L
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Feb 9, 2025
Montreal Canadiens3:5Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 8, 2025
Detroit Red Wings3:6Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 7, 2025
Ottawa Senators1:5Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 5, 2025
Ottawa Senators3:4Tampa Bay Lightning
Feb 2, 2025
New York Islanders3:2Tampa Bay Lightning
Seattle Kraken
Seattle Kraken
Latest matches
W
W
L
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Feb 22, 2025
Florida Panthers1:2Seattle Kraken
Feb 9, 2025
Calgary Flames2:3Seattle Kraken
Feb 7, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs3:1Seattle Kraken
Feb 5, 2025
Detroit Red Wings5:4Seattle Kraken
Feb 3, 2025
Calgary Flames3:2Seattle Kraken

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Seattle Kraken head to head

Tampa Bay Lightning

83%

Seattle Kraken

17%

Dec 15, 2024

Seattle Kraken

1 : 5

Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 10, 2023

Seattle Kraken

3 : 4

Tampa Bay Lightning

Oct 30, 2023

Tampa Bay Lightning

3 : 4

Seattle Kraken

Jan 16, 2023

Seattle Kraken

1 : 4

Tampa Bay Lightning

Dec 14, 2022

Tampa Bay Lightning

6 : 2

Seattle Kraken

Mar 17, 2022

Seattle Kraken

1 : 4

Tampa Bay Lightning