The Washington Capitals (38-12-8) will look to maintain their Eastern Conference dominance as they welcome the surging St. Louis Blues (27-26-6) to Capital One Arena on Thursday night.

The Capitals enter the matchup with the conference's best record, powered by a dynamic offense that's averaging 3.66 goals per game and has netted 16 goals in their last three contests.

Dylan Strome and Alexander Ovechkin have been instrumental in Washington's success, combining with their teammates to create one of the NHL's most potent attacking units.

The Blues, meanwhile, arrive in Washington riding a two-game winning streak and sitting just four points out of a Western Conference wild card spot, despite their offensive struggles averaging 2.78 goals per game.

The contrast between Washington's high-powered offense and St. Louis's recent defensive improvements, allowing only three goals in their last two games, sets the stage for an intriguing tactical battle.

With the Capitals' Logan Thompson facing off against the Blues' Joel Hofer between the pipes, this cross-conference matchup promises to deliver compelling hockey as both teams pursue their respective playoff ambitions.

Washington Capitals vs. St. Louis Blues prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Washington Capitals vs St. Louis Blues matchup, our predictive model gives the Caps a 60.33% chance of defeating the Blues.

Washington Capitals: 60.33% win probability

  • League-leading offense (212 goals for, highest in Eastern Conference)
  • Strong defensive record (149 goals against, among best in conference)
  • Excellent overall record (38-12-0, 84 points in 58 games)

St. Louis Blues: 39.67% win probability

  • Poor defensive performance (178 goals against vs league average)
  • Inconsistent scoring (167 goals for in 59 games, below league average)
  • Struggling road record (11th place in Western Conference with 60 points in 59 games)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Washington Capitals vs. St. Louis Blues odds

Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Washington Capitals host the St. Louis Blues at home on Thursday, February 27.

Washington CapitalsSt. Louis Blues
Moneyline-170 (via bet365 US)+155 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)

Washington Capitals vs. St. Louis Blues preview

The Eastern Conference-leading Washington Capitals (38-12-8) are set to host the St. Louis Blues (27-26-6) in what promises to be an intriguing cross-conference matchup at Capital One Arena.

The Capitals have been nothing short of dominant this season, boasting the best record in the Eastern Conference while averaging an impressive 3.66 goals per game and maintaining a stingy 2.52 goals-against average.

Washington's dynamic offense has been firing on all cylinders lately, netting 16 goals in their last three games, with Dylan Strome and Aliaksei Protas leading the charge, combining for an impressive 41 goals and 68 assists this season.

The Blues, meanwhile, find themselves in a crucial position, sitting just four points out of a wild card spot in the Western Conference and riding a modest two-game winning streak.

St. Louis's offense has struggled to find consistency, averaging 2.78 goals per game, though the duo of Robert Thomas and Jordan Kyrou has been a bright spot, contributing 40 goals and 54 assists between them.

The goaltending battle will feature Logan Thompson for the Capitals, who has posted a solid .919 save percentage and 2.28 goals-against average, against the Blues' Joel Hofer, who brings a .903 save percentage to the contest.

Washington's blue line has been particularly impressive, with the pairing of John Carlson and Jakob Chychrun contributing both offensively (21 goals, 57 assists) and defensively (15.3 defensive point shares).

The Blues' recent defensive improvements, allowing only three goals in their last two games, will be put to the ultimate test against Washington's high-powered offense.

With the Capitals' home-ice advantage and superior offensive firepower, they enter as clear favorites, though the Blues' desperate push for playoff positioning could make this a more competitive matchup than the records suggest.

Key stats

  • 1
    Washington Capitals lead Eastern Conference with 84 points while St. Louis Blues sit 11th in Western with 60 points
  • 2
    Capitals have significantly better record (38-12) compared to Blues (27-26)
  • 3
    Capitals show superior goal differential (+63) versus Blues (-11)
  • 4
    Recent form heavily favors Capitals (LWWLW) over Blues' inconsistent performance (WWLWL)

Washington Capitals vs. St. Louis Blues form

Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals
Latest matches
L
W
W
L
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Feb 26, 2025
Calgary Flames3:1Washington Capitals
Feb 23, 2025
Edmonton Oilers3:7Washington Capitals
Feb 22, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins3:8Washington Capitals
Feb 9, 2025
Utah Hockey Club5:4Washington Capitals
Feb 7, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers3:4Washington Capitals
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis Blues
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Feb 26, 2025
Seattle Kraken2:7St. Louis Blues
Feb 23, 2025
Colorado Avalanche1:3St. Louis Blues
Feb 23, 2025
Winnipeg Jets4:3St. Louis Blues
Feb 9, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks5:6St. Louis Blues
Feb 7, 2025
Florida Panthers3:2St. Louis Blues

Washington Capitals vs. St. Louis Blues head to head

Washington Capitals

33%

St. Louis Blues

67%

Nov 10, 2024

St. Louis Blues

1 : 8

Washington Capitals

Jan 21, 2024

St. Louis Blues

3 : 0

Washington Capitals

Jan 19, 2024

Washington Capitals

5 : 2

St. Louis Blues

Mar 17, 2023

Washington Capitals

2 : 5

St. Louis Blues

Nov 18, 2022

St. Louis Blues

5 : 4

Washington Capitals

Mar 22, 2022

Washington Capitals

2 : 5

St. Louis Blues