The Tampa Bay Lightning, riding an impressive six-game winning streak, welcome the Calgary Flames to Amalie Arena for what promises to be an electrifying matchup on Thursday night.
Tampa Bay's high-powered offense, led by Nikita Kucherov's remarkable 85-point campaign (26 goals, 59 assists), has been firing on all cylinders with at least four goals in their last six consecutive games.
The Flames, meanwhile, enter the contest with growing momentum of their own, having secured back-to-back victories and looking to build on their recent defensive improvements.
The historical context adds another layer of intrigue, as the Lightning have dominated recent meetings with a 6-4-0 record in their last ten encounters, including an emphatic 8-3 victory in their first matchup this season.
With Tampa Bay's Andrei Vasilevskiy posting impressive numbers (2.29 GAA, .921 save percentage) and Calgary's offense seeking to break through against one of the league's most formidable defenses, this matchup could prove pivotal for both teams' positioning in their respective conferences.
As these two talented teams prepare to face off, special teams could be the deciding factor, with Tampa Bay's potent power play unit converting at 27 percent efficiency facing Calgary's struggling penalty kill.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Tampa Bay Lightning vs Calgary Flames matchup, our predictive model gives the Lightning a 77.5% chance of defeating the Flames.
Tampa Bay Lightning: 77.5% win probability
- Explosive offense (205 goals scored, 2nd highest in Eastern Conference)
- Strong recent momentum (Perfect WWWWW in last 5 games)
- Solid goal differential (+50, ranking among top 5 in league)
Calgary Flames: 22.5% win probability
- Inconsistent scoring (154 goals scored, bottom half of Western Conference)
- Poor defensive record (168 goals against, negative goal differential)
- Struggling form (WWLLL in recent games, showing inconsistency)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames odds
Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Calgary Flames and the home team Tampa Bay Lightning, set to face off on Thursday, February 27.
Tampa Bay Lightning | Calgary Flames | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -220 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) | +190 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames preview
The red-hot Tampa Bay Lightning will look to extend their impressive six-game winning streak as they host the Calgary Flames at Amalie Arena in what promises to be an electrifying matchup.
The Lightning, currently sitting third in the Atlantic Division, have been an offensive powerhouse lately, scoring at least four goals in each of their last six games while maintaining solid defensive performances.
NHL points leader Nikita Kucherov continues to dominate with 85 points (26 goals, 59 assists), while the Lightning's offensive depth is further showcased by Brandon Hagel's 65 points and Brayden Point's 60-point contribution.
The Flames enter this contest with renewed confidence after securing back-to-back victories, looking to build on their recent success despite dropping the first meeting of the season series to Tampa Bay in an 8-3 defeat.
Calgary's offensive duties are being shared by Nazem Kadri and Jonathan Huberdeau, who are tied with 43 points each, though the team's overall scoring average of 2.65 goals per game suggests they'll need to step up their offensive output.
The goaltending matchup features Tampa Bay's Andrei Vasilevskiy, who brings impressive stats with a 2.29 GAA and .921 save percentage, against Calgary's Dan Vladar, who has posted a 2.98 GAA and .891 save percentage.
Special teams could prove decisive in this matchup, with Tampa Bay's power play converting at an impressive 27 percent, while Calgary's penalty kill ranks 28th in the league.
The Lightning's home ice advantage at Amalie Arena, where they've won five of their last six games, combined with their current offensive surge and superior special teams performance, positions them as clear favorites in this cross-conference clash.
With Tampa Bay's momentum and Calgary's struggles on the road, this matchup could well extend the Lightning's winning streak to seven games, though the Flames' recent defensive improvements suggest they won't go down without a fight.
Key stats
- 1Tampa Bay Lightning are on a perfect 5-game winning streak (WWWWW), while Calgary Flames have lost 3 straight (WWLLL)
- 2Tampa Bay sits 4th in Eastern Conference with 70 points from 57 games, Calgary 9th in Western with 64 points from 57 games
- 3Lightning have superior goal difference of +50 (205 GF, 155 GA) compared to Flames' -14 (154 GF, 168 GA)
- 4Tampa Bay has won 33 of 57 games (57.9% win rate) versus Calgary's 28 of 57 (49.1% win rate)
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames form
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
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames head to head
Tampa Bay Lightning
33%
Calgary Flames
67%
Dec 13, 2024
Calgary Flames
3 : 8
Tampa Bay Lightning
Mar 8, 2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
3 : 6
Calgary Flames
Dec 17, 2023
Calgary Flames
4 : 2
Tampa Bay Lightning
Jan 21, 2023
Calgary Flames
6 : 3
Tampa Bay Lightning
Nov 18, 2022
Tampa Bay Lightning
4 : 1
Calgary Flames
Mar 11, 2022
Calgary Flames
4 : 1
Tampa Bay Lightning
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