The Colorado Avalanche (35-24-2) look to extend their winning streak to three games as they welcome the Pittsburgh Penguins (24-29-10) to Ball Arena on Tuesday night in a compelling cross-conference matchup.

The Avalanche enter the contest with considerable momentum, having won six of their last nine games while showcasing their offensive prowess with back-to-back five-goal performances against the Wild and Devils.

Pittsburgh arrives in Denver facing significant challenges, having dropped six of their last seven games and struggling defensively with 32 goals allowed in their previous six outings.

The matchup features a stark contrast in goaltending situations, with Colorado's Mackenzie Blackwood emerging as one of the league's top performers, posting an impressive 2.12 GAA and .921 save percentage this season.

These teams last met in December, when the Avalanche dominated in a 6-2 victory, setting the stage for what could be another high-scoring affair.

With Colorado fighting for playoff positioning in the Western Conference and Pittsburgh desperate to keep their postseason hopes alive, this cross-conference battle promises to deliver intense hockey action at Ball Arena.

Colorado Avalanche vs. Pittsburgh Penguins prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Colorado Avalanche vs Pittsburgh Penguins matchup, our predictive model gives the Avs a 75.67% chance of defeating the Pens.

Colorado Avalanche: 75.67% win probability

  • Potent offense (198 goals scored, 3rd highest in Western Conference)
  • Strong recent form (WWLLW in last 5 games)
  • Higher league position (6th in Western Conference with 72 points vs Penguins' 15th in Eastern)

Pittsburgh Penguins: 24.33% win probability

  • Poor defensive record (233 goals against, worst in Eastern Conference)
  • Struggling recent form (LLWLL in last 5 games)
  • Road performance issues (29 losses, third-most in Eastern Conference)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Colorado Avalanche vs. Pittsburgh Penguins odds

Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Colorado Avalanche host the Pittsburgh Penguins at home on Tuesday, March 04.

Colorado AvalanchePittsburgh Penguins
Moneyline-270 (via bet365 US)+230 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Colorado Avalanche vs. Pittsburgh Penguins preview

The Colorado Avalanche will host the struggling Pittsburgh Penguins at Ball Arena in Denver on Tuesday night, as both teams continue their push through the final stretch of the 2024-25 NHL season.

The Avalanche enter the contest with considerable momentum, having won their last two games and posting an impressive 6-3-0 record in their previous nine outings, while maintaining their position as the top wild card team in the Western Conference.

Pittsburgh, on the other hand, finds themselves in a challenging position, having dropped six of their last seven games and currently sitting at the bottom of the Metropolitan Division, eight points outside the Eastern Conference wild card spot.

Colorado's netminder Mackenzie Blackwood has been a revelation since joining the team in December, posting a stellar 16-7-2 record with a 2.12 GAA and .921 save percentage this season, including an outstanding February performance where he went 5-2-0.

The Penguins' goaltending woes continue to plague them, with Alex Nedeljkovic (12-12-5) and Joel Blomqvist (4-9-1) both struggling to find consistency, contributing to the team's league-worst 31st ranking in goals against (3.62).

These teams' previous meeting this season saw the Avalanche dominate with a 6-2 victory, and Colorado's offense, averaging 3.23 goals per game, looks poised to capitalize against Pittsburgh's vulnerable defense.

The Penguins will be without winger Michael Bunting (14 goals, 15 assists) due to an abdominal injury, while the Avalanche may be missing defenseman Josh Manson, who remains questionable after sitting out their last game against Minnesota.

With the Avalanche's high-powered offense clicking recently, scoring five goals in each of their last two games, and the Penguins' defensive struggles showing no signs of improvement, this cross-conference matchup appears to heavily favor the home team.

Hockey fans should keep an eye on the special teams battle, as Pittsburgh's power play remains a bright spot, converting at 24.2% (eighth in the NHL), which could provide them with opportunities to keep pace with Colorado's potent attack.

Key stats

  • 1
    Colorado Avalanche sits 6th in Western Conference with 72 points, while Pittsburgh Penguins is 15th in Eastern Conference with 58 points
  • 2
    Avalanche has a better goal difference (+16) compared to Penguins (-50)
  • 3
    Colorado's recent form (WWLLW) shows more consistency than Pittsburgh's (LLWLL)
  • 4
    Avalanche has won 35 games in 61 matches, while Penguins have only 24 wins in 63 games

Colorado Avalanche vs. Pittsburgh Penguins form

Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche
Latest matches
W
W
L
L
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 1, 2025
Minnesota Wild2:5Colorado Avalanche
Feb 27, 2025
New Jersey Devils1:5Colorado Avalanche
Feb 23, 2025
St. Louis Blues3:1Colorado Avalanche
Feb 22, 2025
Nashville Predators2:1Colorado Avalanche
Feb 8, 2025
Edmonton Oilers4:5Colorado Avalanche
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Latest matches
L
L
W
L
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Mar 2, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs6:5Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 1, 2025
Boston Bruins3:2Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 28, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers4:5Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 26, 2025
Philadelphia Flyers6:1Pittsburgh Penguins
Feb 23, 2025
New York Rangers5:3Pittsburgh Penguins

Colorado Avalanche vs. Pittsburgh Penguins head to head

Colorado Avalanche

50%

Pittsburgh Penguins

50%

Dec 11, 2024

Pittsburgh Penguins

2 : 6

Colorado Avalanche

Mar 24, 2024

Colorado Avalanche

5 : 4

Pittsburgh Penguins

Oct 26, 2023

Pittsburgh Penguins

4 : 0

Colorado Avalanche

Mar 23, 2023

Colorado Avalanche

2 : 5

Pittsburgh Penguins

Feb 8, 2023

Pittsburgh Penguins

2 : 1

Colorado Avalanche

Apr 5, 2022

Pittsburgh Penguins

4 : 6

Colorado Avalanche