The Philadelphia Flyers (27-26-8) are set to face off against the Calgary Flames (28-23-9) at Wells Fargo Center on Tuesday night in what promises to be an intriguing cross-conference matchup.
Both teams enter the contest looking to improve their positions in their respective playoff races, with the Flames coming off a tight 2-1 loss to the Hurricanes while the Flyers managed to secure a point in their recent 1-1 tie against the Jets.
The goaltending battle will be particularly interesting, with Calgary's Dustin Wolf (.908 save percentage) likely squaring off against Philadelphia's Samuel Ersson, who has demonstrated consistency with a 53.3% quality start rate this season.
The Flames' offensive struggles have been evident, ranking 30th in the NHL with 152 goals, while the Flyers have shown slightly better production with 176 goals on the season.
Statistical models and advanced metrics suggest a closely contested game, with home-ice advantage potentially playing a crucial role in the outcome.
As these two teams prepare to battle at Wells Fargo Center, hockey fans can expect an intense matchup where special teams could prove to be the difference-maker, with the Flames converting 21.26% of their power play opportunities compared to the Flyers' 16.25% success rate.
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Calgary Flames prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Philadelphia Flyers vs Calgary Flames matchup, our predictive model gives the Flames a 55% chance of defeating the Flyers.
Calgary Flames: 55% win probability
- Better goal differential (-21 vs -22 for Flyers)
- Higher points total (65 vs 62 for Flyers)
- More wins (28 vs 27 for Flyers)
Philadelphia Flyers: 45% win probability
- Poor defensive record (202 goals against)
- Lower position in conference standings (13th vs 9th)
- Inconsistent scoring (180 goals for, ranking in bottom third)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Calgary Flames odds
Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Philadelphia Flyers host the Calgary Flames at home on Tuesday, March 04.
Philadelphia Flyers | Calgary Flames | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -135 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | +120 (via bet365 US) |
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Calgary Flames preview
The Wells Fargo Center is set to host an intriguing cross-conference matchup as the Philadelphia Flyers welcome the Calgary Flames for a Tuesday night showdown.
The Flyers enter the contest with a 27-26-8 record and will look to build momentum after a hard-fought 1-1 tie against the Jets in their previous outing.
Calgary, sporting a 28-23-9 record, aims to bounce back from a disappointing 2-1 loss to the Hurricanes, where their offensive struggles were evident with just one goal on 16 shots.
The Flames' offensive output has been a concern this season, ranking 30th in the NHL with 152 goals, though their power play has shown promise with a respectable 21.26% conversion rate.
Philadelphia's defensive unit will be anchored by netminder Samuel Ersson, who brings a career record of 47-32-11 and has demonstrated consistency with a 53.3% quality start rate.
In the opposing crease, Calgary's Dustin Wolf has impressed with a .908 save percentage across his career and will be crucial to the Flames' chances of securing a road victory.
The betting markets slightly favor the Flyers, with sophisticated prediction models giving them a 55% chance of victory, reflecting the competitive nature of this matchup.
Special teams could prove decisive, with Philadelphia's power play unit looking to improve upon their 16.25% success rate against Calgary's penalty kill.
With both teams fighting for valuable points in their respective conference races, expect a tightly contested battle where defensive discipline and special teams execution could make the difference.
Key stats
- 1Philadelphia Flyers (13th in East) have won 3 of their last 5 games (WLWWW)
- 2Calgary Flames (9th in West) have lost 3 straight games (LLLWW)
- 3Flyers have 62 points from 61 games with a -22 goal difference
- 4Flames have 65 points from 60 games with a -21 goal difference
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Calgary Flames form


Philadelphia Flyers vs. Calgary Flames head to head
Philadelphia Flyers
50%
Calgary Flames
50%
Oct 13, 2024
Calgary Flames
6 : 3
Philadelphia Flyers
Jan 6, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers
3 : 2
Calgary Flames
Jan 1, 2024
Calgary Flames
4 : 3
Philadelphia Flyers
Feb 20, 2023
Calgary Flames
3 : 4
Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 22, 2022
Philadelphia Flyers
2 : 5
Calgary Flames
Nov 17, 2021
Philadelphia Flyers
2 : 1
Calgary Flames
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