The high-flying Winnipeg Jets (42-15-4) head to UBS Arena on Tuesday night to face the New York Islanders (27-25-7) in what promises to be an intriguing cross-conference matchup.
The Jets, currently sitting second in the NHL with 213 goals scored this season, bring their formidable offense led by standout goaltender Connor Hellebuyck, who boasts an impressive .918 career save percentage.
The Islanders, coming off a convincing 7-4 victory over the Predators, will need to overcome their season-long power play struggles, converting just 11.51% of their opportunities.
While Winnipeg's stellar .721 points percentage suggests they're the stronger side, the Islanders' recent offensive outburst and home-ice advantage could level the playing field.
The contrast between Winnipeg's league-leading power play efficiency (30.54%) and New York's defensive challenges sets the stage for what could be a compelling battle at UBS Arena.
Hockey fans will be watching closely to see if the Jets can maintain their dominant form or if the Islanders can build on their recent momentum and pull off a statement victory on home ice.
New York Islanders vs. Winnipeg Jets prediction: who will win?
For tonight's New York Islanders vs Winnipeg Jets matchup, our predictive model gives the Jets a 51% chance of defeating the Isles.
Winnipeg Jets: 51% win probability
- League-leading defense (Only 143 goals against, best in Western Conference)
- Outstanding overall record (42 wins in 61 games, 1st in Western Conference)
- Superior goal differential (+71, highest among Western teams)
New York Islanders: 49% win probability
- Struggling offense (165 goals scored, 4th lowest in Eastern Conference)
- Poor recent form (LWWLL in last 5 games)
- Negative goal differential (-15, showing defensive vulnerabilities)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
New York Islanders vs. Winnipeg Jets odds
Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the New York Islanders host the Winnipeg Jets at home on Tuesday, March 04.
| New York Islanders | Winnipeg Jets | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +142 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | -165 (via bet365 US) |
New York Islanders vs. Winnipeg Jets preview
The high-flying Winnipeg Jets (42-15-4) head to UBS Arena to face the New York Islanders (27-25-7) in what promises to be an intriguing cross-conference matchup on Tuesday night.
The Jets, currently sitting second in the NHL with 213 goals scored this season, bring their impressive .721 points percentage to Elmont, showcasing why they're considered favorites at -160.
Winnipeg's stellar offensive output has been complemented by their defensive prowess, having conceded just 142 goals while maintaining a formidable .917 save percentage.
The Islanders, coming off an impressive 7-4 victory over the Predators, will look to build on their momentum despite struggling with special teams, converting just 11.51% of their power play opportunities this season.
Connor Hellebuyck continues to be a dominant force in net for the Jets, boasting a career .918 save percentage and an impressive .601 quality start rate across 551 career games.
The Islanders will counter with Jakub Skarek between the pipes, though his limited NHL experience of just two games adds an element of uncertainty to New York's defensive strategy.
A key battle to watch will be the Jets' league-leading 30.54% power play conversion rate against the Islanders' struggling penalty kill unit, which operates at just 71.65%.
The statistical edge clearly favors Winnipeg, with advanced models giving them a 58% probability of victory, but the Islanders' recent offensive outburst suggests they shouldn't be overlooked as home underdogs.
With the total set at 6.5 goals, this matchup between the Jets' potent offense and the Islanders' recent scoring surge could provide plenty of excitement for hockey fans.
Key stats
- 1Jets lead Western Conference with 88 points while Islanders sit 14th in East with 61 points
- 2Jets have superior goal difference (+71) compared to Islanders (-15)
- 3Jets' recent form LLWWW vs Islanders' LWWLL shows contrasting momentum
- 4Jets have scored significantly more goals (214) than Islanders (165) in similar games played
New York Islanders vs. Winnipeg Jets form
New York Islanders vs. Winnipeg Jets head to head
New York Islanders
67%
Winnipeg Jets
33%
Feb 8, 2025
Winnipeg Jets
4 : 3
New York Islanders
Mar 23, 2024
New York Islanders
6 : 3
Winnipeg Jets
Jan 17, 2024
Winnipeg Jets
4 : 2
New York Islanders
Feb 26, 2023
Winnipeg Jets
0 : 4
New York Islanders
Feb 23, 2023
New York Islanders
2 : 1
Winnipeg Jets
Mar 12, 2022
New York Islanders
5 : 2
Winnipeg Jets
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