The Phoenix Suns head to American Airlines Center looking to snap out of their recent slump that's seen them drop nine of their last twelve games, while facing a Dallas Mavericks squad that's dealing with significant injury woes of their own.

With the Mavs missing key players like Kyrie Irving and Anthony Davis, they'll lean heavily on Klay Thompson's scoring touch, though they've managed to maintain their defensive edge at home where they've won nine straight against sub-.500 teams.

The Suns' dynamic trio of Kevin Durant, Devin Booker, and Bradley Beal will test that home court advantage as the Dallas Mavericks host the Phoenix Suns in what promises to be an intriguing Sunday afternoon showdown.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns matchup, our predictive model gives the Suns a 64.5% chance of defeating the Mavs.

Phoenix Suns: 64.5% win probability

  • Superior offensive output (7199 points scored this season)
  • Better recent form (2-3 in last 5 vs Mavs' 1-4)
  • More consistent scoring margin (-139 vs Mavs' +27)

Dallas Mavericks: 35.5% win probability

  • Poor recent form (Lost 4 of last 5 games)
  • Defensive struggles (7301 points against, ranking bottom half in West)
  • Inconsistent home performance (32-32 overall record)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Phoenix Suns head to Dallas to face the home team Mavericks on Sunday, March 09.

Dallas MavericksPhoenix Suns
Moneyline+260 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)-280 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns preview

The struggling Suns head to Dallas looking to snap out of their recent funk, having dropped nine of their last twelve games including a gut-wrenching overtime loss to Denver where they erased a 21-point deficit only to fall short.

While Kevin Durant continues to be a force for Phoenix, putting up nearly 27 points per game alongside Devin Booker's impressive 26-point average, the Suns' defense has been their Achilles' heel, ranking a concerning 27th in the league.

The Mavericks aren't faring much better lately, limping into this matchup with six losses in their last seven games and dealing with a severely depleted roster that's missing key stars Kyrie Irving and Anthony Davis.

Sunday's matinee at American Airlines Center could get interesting with both teams desperate for a win - the Suns trying to salvage their road trip while Dallas aims to protect their home court where they've won nine straight against sub-.500 teams.

Keep an eye on Klay Thompson, who's stepped up as Dallas' primary scoring option in the absence of their stars, though he'll have his hands full against the Suns' high-powered offense that's still managing to put up 114 points per game despite their recent struggles.

The teams have split their last ten meetings right down the middle, but with Dallas missing so many key pieces and the Suns' big three of Durant, Booker, and Beal all healthy, Phoenix might just have the edge they need to get back on track.

Key stats

  • 1
    Phoenix Suns sit 11th in Western Conference with 29-34 record while Mavericks hold 10th spot at 32-32
  • 2
    Mavericks have better scoring output averaging 114.5 points vs Suns' 114.2 points per game
  • 3
    Recent form heavily favors Suns (LWLWL) over Mavericks' five-game slide (LLLLW)
  • 4
    Mavericks show defensive edge with -27 goal differential compared to Suns' -139 on the season

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns form

Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
Latest matches
L
L
L
L
W
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Mar 8, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies122:111Dallas Mavericks
Mar 6, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks137:107Dallas Mavericks
Mar 4, 2025
Sacramento Kings122:98Dallas Mavericks
Mar 2, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks132:117Dallas Mavericks
Feb 28, 2025
Charlotte Bobcats96:103Dallas Mavericks
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
Latest matches
L
W
L
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 8, 2025
Denver Nuggets149:141Phoenix Suns
Mar 5, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers117:119Phoenix Suns
Mar 3, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves116:98Phoenix Suns
Mar 1, 2025
New Orleans Hornets108:125Phoenix Suns
Feb 28, 2025
New Orleans Hornets124:116Phoenix Suns

Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns head to head

Dallas Mavericks

40%

Phoenix Suns

60%

Mar 9, 2025

Dallas Mavericks

0 : 0

Phoenix Suns

Dec 28, 2024

Phoenix Suns

89 : 98

Dallas Mavericks

Nov 9, 2024

Dallas Mavericks

113 : 114

Phoenix Suns

Oct 27, 2024

Phoenix Suns

114 : 102

Dallas Mavericks

Feb 23, 2024

Dallas Mavericks

123 : 113

Phoenix Suns

Jan 25, 2024

Dallas Mavericks

109 : 132

Phoenix Suns