The Memphis Grizzlies roll into the Smoothie King Center riding high after snapping their four-game losing streak with an impressive road win against Dallas, while the New Orleans Pelicans enter this divisional clash reeling from back-to-back losses and mounting injury woes.
With Ja Morant dropping 31 points in their last outing and the Grizzlies owning all three matchups against New Orleans this season, Memphis brings their league-leading pace and second-ranked offense (122.9 ppg) against a Pelicans squad that's struggled to find consistency without key players Herbert Jones and Dejounte Murray.
The battle-tested Grizzlies (39-24) look to maintain their slim Southwest Division lead as they face off against the home team Pelicans (17-46) in what could be another high-scoring affair at the Big Easy.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies prediction: who will win?
For tonight's New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies matchup, our predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 62.67% chance of defeating the Pels.
Memphis Grizzlies: 62.67% win probability
- Superior offensive output (7745 points scored, ranking 2nd in Western Conference)
- Better win-loss record (39-24, 4th in Western Conference)
- Stronger point differential (-378 vs -535 for Pelicans)
New Orleans Pelicans: 37.33% win probability
- Poor defensive record (7632 points against, worst in Western Conference)
- Struggling recent form (LLLWL in last 5 games)
- Poor overall record (17-47, 14th in Western Conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Memphis Grizzlies head to New Orleans to face the home team Pelicans on Sunday, March 09.
New Orleans Pelicans | Memphis Grizzlies | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | +310 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | -340 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies preview
The Memphis Grizzlies roll into the Big Easy looking to complete a season sweep of their Southwest Division rivals, having already taken all three matchups against the struggling Pelicans this year.
Memphis's high-octane offense, led by Ja Morant's explosive playmaking, has been lighting up scoreboards - they're putting up nearly 123 points per game, good for second-best in the league.
The Grizzlies got their mojo back with a gutsy win over Dallas, where Morant dropped 31 points and orchestrated a decisive 18-4 run to close out the game.
New Orleans has hit a rough patch without Herbert Jones and Dejounte Murray (both out for the season), though Zion Williamson continues to be a bright spot, averaging 24.6 points and showing flashes of his dominant self.
The Pelicans' defense has been their Achilles' heel, giving up nearly 119 points per game, and they'll have their hands full trying to contain Memphis's league-leading pace of play.
Keep an eye on the Grizzlies' Desmond Bane, who's been quietly efficient with 18.7 points per game, though he'll need to step up with Santi Aldama sidelined due to a calf injury.
The Smoothie King Center hasn't exactly been a fortress for the Pelicans this season - they're just 11-20 at home, and fatigue could be a factor as they're playing their third game in four nights.
This divisional clash has all the makings of an up-tempo affair, with Memphis's run-and-gun style likely to set the tone against a New Orleans squad searching for answers.
Key stats
- 1Memphis sits 4th in Western Conference (39-24) while Pelicans struggle at 14th (17-47)
- 2Grizzlies have lost 4 straight games (WLLLL) vs Pelicans' similar slump (LLLWL)
- 3Memphis holds significant scoring edge with +378 differential vs Pelicans' -535
- 4Both teams trending down: Grizzlies 1-4 and Pelicans 1-4 in last 5 games
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies form


New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies head to head
New Orleans Pelicans
20%
Memphis Grizzlies
80%
Mar 9, 2025
New Orleans Pelicans
0 : 0
Memphis Grizzlies
Jan 25, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies
139 : 126
New Orleans Pelicans
Dec 28, 2024
New Orleans Pelicans
124 : 132
Memphis Grizzlies
Nov 29, 2024
Memphis Grizzlies
120 : 109
New Orleans Pelicans
Jul 18, 2024
New Orleans Pelicans
77 : 88
Memphis Grizzlies
Feb 13, 2024
Memphis Grizzlies
87 : 96
New Orleans Pelicans