The Minnesota Timberwolves look to extend their impressive four-game winning streak as they welcome a San Antonio Spurs team that's dropped four of their last six matchups to the Target Center on Sunday night.
While Minnesota's stifling defense has held opponents to just 109 points per game this season, the Spurs' recent defensive woes have seen them surrender over 125 points in their last three outings - setting up an intriguing contrast in styles.
The home team Timberwolves (36-29) aim to continue their dominance over the visiting Spurs (26-35), having won seven of their last ten meetings between these Western Conference rivals.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs matchup, our predictive model gives the Wolves a 57.5% chance of defeating the Spurs.
Minnesota Timberwolves: 57.5% win probability
- Strong home court performance (36 wins in 65 games)
- Superior offensive output (7305 points scored vs Spurs' 6907)
- Better recent form (WWWWL vs Spurs' LWLWL)
San Antonio Spurs: 42.5% win probability
- Poor road record (26 wins in 61 games overall)
- Defensive struggles (7040 points against in fewer games)
- Inconsistent scoring (lowest points total in division at 6907)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Minnesota Timberwolves host the San Antonio Spurs at home on Sunday, March 09.
| Minnesota Timberwolves | San Antonio Spurs | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -450 (via bet365 US) | +375 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs preview
The red-hot Minnesota Timberwolves look to extend their impressive four-game winning streak as they host a struggling Spurs squad at Target Center on Sunday night.
While the T-Wolves' defense has been suffocating opponents, holding teams to just 109 points per game, San Antonio's recent defensive woes have seen them give up a whopping 125+ points in their last three outings.
Keep an eye on Stephon Castle, who's been a bright spot for the Spurs - he dropped 25 points in their last game against Sacramento, but it wasn't enough to prevent a disappointing 127-109 loss.
Minnesota's balanced attack has been clicking lately, with Naz Reid, Donte DiVincenzo, and Mike Conley each contributing 15 points in their recent nail-biting victory over Miami.
The Wolves' dominance at Target Center against Southwest Division opponents can't be ignored - they've won their last six home games against teams with losing records from that division.
The potential absence of Rudy Gobert could shake things up for Minnesota, while the Spurs are dealing with their own injury concerns as they'll be without Victor Wembanyama.
These teams have already met three times this season, with Minnesota holding a 2-1 edge in what's been an intriguing season series.
With the Wolves shooting lights out at over 51% in their last three games and dominating the offensive glass with 12 rebounds per game at home, they're looking primed to continue their winning ways.
Key stats
- 1Timberwolves sit 7th in Western Conference with 36-29 record while Spurs languish in 13th at 26-35
- 2Minnesota shows strong momentum with 4 wins in last 5 games (WWWWL), compared to Spurs' inconsistent LWLWL run
- 3Timberwolves hold significant scoring advantage, netting 7305 points vs Spurs' 6907 through similar games played
- 4Minnesota's defense proves superior with -220 point differential, while Spurs struggle at -133 on the season
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs form
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs head to head
Minnesota Timberwolves
33%
San Antonio Spurs
67%
Dec 30, 2024
Minnesota Timberwolves
112 : 110
San Antonio Spurs
Dec 16, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
92 : 106
Minnesota Timberwolves
Nov 3, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
113 : 103
Minnesota Timberwolves
Feb 28, 2024
Minnesota Timberwolves
114 : 105
San Antonio Spurs
Jan 28, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
113 : 112
Minnesota Timberwolves
Dec 7, 2023
Minnesota Timberwolves
102 : 94
San Antonio Spurs
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