HomeNewsWild vs Penguins Prediction & Odds - 3/9/2025

Wild vs Penguins Prediction & Odds - 3/9/2025

Minnesota Wild vs. Pittsburgh Penguins prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Minnesota Wild vs Pittsburgh Penguins matchup, our predictive model gives the Wild a 55.67% chance of defeating the Pens.

Minnesota Wild: 55.67% win probability

Better league position (6th in Western Conference vs 15th in Eastern)
Superior defensive record (182 goals against vs Penguins' 241)
Higher points total (76 points in 63 games vs 58 points in 65 games)

Pittsburgh Penguins: 44.33% win probability

Poor recent form (LLLLW in last 5 games)
Defensive struggles (241 goals against, worst in Eastern Conference)
Road game disadvantage (15th place Eastern Conference team traveling to 6th place Western)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Minnesota Wild vs. Pittsburgh Penguins odds

Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Minnesota Wild host the Pittsburgh Penguins at home on Sunday, March 09.

	Minnesota Wild	Pittsburgh Penguins
Moneyline	-150 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)	+134 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Minnesota Wild vs. Pittsburgh Penguins preview

The struggling Penguins head to the Xcel Energy Center looking to snap out of their recent funk, having managed just two wins in their last ten outings and sitting dead last in the Metropolitan Division.

While Sidney Crosby continues to be a bright spot with his share of Pittsburgh's offensive production, the team's defensive woes have been glaring - they've leaked 14 goals in their last three games alone.

The Wild, despite losing star forward Kirill Kaprizov to a season-ending injury, have found ways to stay competitive thanks to the emergence of young guns Matt Boldy and Marco Rossi, who've combined for an impressive 42 goals this season.

Minnesota's blue line has been their saving grace, with the defensive pairing of Brock Faber and Jacob Middleton shutting down opponents and helping Filip Gustavsson post some stellar numbers between the pipes.

The goaltending matchup couldn't be more lopsided - Gustavsson's .914 save percentage stands in stark contrast to Alex Nedeljkovic's struggling .891 mark for the Pens.

The Wild's home ice advantage could prove crucial as they look to strengthen their grip on the Western Conference's top wild card spot.

Keep an eye on Erik Karlsson, who's been one of the few reliable defenders for Pittsburgh this season, as he tries to contain Minnesota's opportunistic offense.

With both teams averaging under three goals per game, this afternoon matchup might turn into a classic defensive chess match at the X.

Key stats

1
Minnesota Wild sits 6th in Western Conference with 76 points, while Penguins struggle at 15th in Eastern with 58 points
2
Wild's recent form shows inconsistency (LWWLL) versus Penguins' concerning five-game slide (LLLLW)
3
Minnesota maintains a -4 goal differential (178 GF, 182 GA) compared to Penguins' troubling -57 (184 GF, 241 GA)
4
Wild has won 36 games in 63 matches, significantly outpacing Penguins' 24 wins in 65 games played