The Memphis Grizzlies look to build on their momentum after snapping a four-game skid with a convincing win over Dallas, while the struggling Phoenix Suns aim to break their road slump at FedEx Forum on Monday night.

Both teams bring explosive offenses to the court - with Memphis averaging 122.9 points behind Ja Morant's electric play and Phoenix putting up 114.3 per game thanks to the dynamic duo of Devin Booker and Kevin Durant - though defensive concerns plague both sides.

The Grizzlies have dominated the season series so far with a perfect 3-0 record as the home team seeks to complete the sweep against their Western Conference rivals.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Memphis Grizzlies vs Phoenix Suns matchup, our predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 69.5% chance of defeating the Suns.

Memphis Grizzlies: 69.5% win probability

  • League-leading offense (7,852 goals scored - highest in Western Conference)
  • Strong home court advantage (4th place in Western Conference with 40-24 record)
  • Recent momentum (Won 2 of last 5 games despite tough schedule)

Phoenix Suns: 30.5% win probability

  • Defensive struggles (7,454 goals against - bottom half of Western Conference)
  • Road game inconsistency (11th place in Western Conference standings)
  • Scoring efficiency issues (7,324 goals scored - below conference average)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Phoenix Suns head to Memphis to face the home team Grizzlies on Monday, March 10.

Memphis GrizzliesPhoenix Suns
Moneyline-200 (via bet365 US)+184 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns preview

The Memphis Grizzlies look to build on their momentum after snapping a four-game skid with a convincing win over Dallas, while the struggling Suns aim to salvage their playoff hopes at FedEx Forum.

Ja Morant's explosive 31-point performance against Dallas, coupled with Desmond Bane's monster double-double of 27 points and 16 rebounds, shows the Grizzlies' offense is clicking at the right time.

The Suns' dynamic duo of Devin Booker and Kevin Durant combined for 63 points in their recent overtime thriller against Denver, but their road woes continue to haunt them with four losses in their last five away games.

Memphis' league-leading pace (107.5 possessions per game) could spell trouble for Phoenix's shaky defense, which has leaked 127.3 points per game in their last three outings.

The Grizzlies' dominance in this matchup is clear - they've taken all three meetings this season and have won six of their last ten against Phoenix.

Both teams might be short-handed, with Memphis monitoring Jaren Jackson Jr.'s ankle and Luke Kennard's back, while Phoenix awaits word on Monte Morris's availability.

The Grizzlies' superior rebounding (15+ offensive boards per game recently) and improved ball security give them a clear edge, especially on their home court where they're shooting over 48% from the field.

With Memphis pushing for better playoff positioning and Phoenix desperate to stay in the hunt, expect an up-tempo battle that'll test both teams' defensive resolve.

Key stats

  • 1
    Memphis sits 4th in Western Conference with 40-24 record while Phoenix trails at 11th with 30-34
  • 2
    Grizzlies show concerning recent form of WWLLL vs Suns' mixed WLWLW pattern
  • 3
    Memphis holds better scoring output (7852 goals for) compared to Phoenix (7324), indicating stronger offense
  • 4
    Grizzlies maintain Southwest Division lead at 40-24 while Suns rank last in Pacific at 30-34

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns form

Memphis Grizzlies
Memphis Grizzlies
Latest matches
W
W
L
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 9, 2025
New Orleans Hornets104:107Memphis Grizzlies
Mar 8, 2025
Dallas Mavericks111:122Memphis Grizzlies
Mar 6, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder120:103Memphis Grizzlies
Mar 4, 2025
Atlanta Hawks132:130Memphis Grizzlies
Mar 2, 2025
San Antonio Spurs130:128Memphis Grizzlies
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
Latest matches
W
L
W
L
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 9, 2025
Dallas Mavericks116:125Phoenix Suns
Mar 8, 2025
Denver Nuggets149:141Phoenix Suns
Mar 5, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers117:119Phoenix Suns
Mar 3, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves116:98Phoenix Suns
Mar 1, 2025
New Orleans Hornets108:125Phoenix Suns

Memphis Grizzlies vs. Phoenix Suns head to head

Memphis Grizzlies

83%

Phoenix Suns

17%

Feb 26, 2025

Memphis Grizzlies

151 : 148

Phoenix Suns

Feb 12, 2025

Phoenix Suns

112 : 119

Memphis Grizzlies

Jan 1, 2025

Phoenix Suns

112 : 117

Memphis Grizzlies

Jan 8, 2024

Phoenix Suns

115 : 121

Memphis Grizzlies

Dec 3, 2023

Phoenix Suns

116 : 109

Memphis Grizzlies

Nov 24, 2023

Memphis Grizzlies

89 : 110

Phoenix Suns