Monday's NBA slate features a packed 12-game schedule highlighted by several intriguing matchups, including the LeBron-less Lakers taking on a struggling Nets team and a crucial Western Conference showdown between the Nuggets and Thunder.
Our NBA best bets analysis, powered by advanced predictive modeling and expert insights, has identified particularly strong value on the Jazz +17.5 against the Celtics, carrying a notable 6.1% edge according to simulation data.
From the Lakers covering -6.5 in Brooklyn to compelling under plays, today's NBA picks offer several opportunities backed by key trends and injuries that savvy bettors won't want to miss.
NBA best bets
Game | Time | Pick |
---|---|---|
![]() ![]() | 7:30 PM | Lakers -6.5 (-110) |
![]() ![]() | 7:30 PM | Jazz +17.5 (-110) |
![]() ![]() | 8:00 PM | Rockets ML (-180) |
Nets vs. Lakers

Monday, Mar 10
7:30 PM
Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY

The Lakers head to Brooklyn with momentum despite LeBron's absence, facing a Nets team that's been struggling mightily on both ends of the floor. Brooklyn's recent defensive woes are particularly concerning, ranking 25th in efficiency over their last 8 games.
Brooklyn's home court hasn't provided much advantage lately, with a dismal 4-16 straight-up record in their last 20 home games. Their struggles against Western Conference teams (3-14) further compound their problems.
The absence of Cam Thomas, one of Brooklyn's few reliable scorers, due to a hamstring injury creates a significant offensive void. The Nets' scoring issues could be particularly pronounced against a Lakers team that's been finding its rhythm.
While LeBron's absence is significant, the Lakers still have enough firepower to handle a struggling Nets squad. The spread appears manageable given Brooklyn's recent form and defensive issues.
The Lakers' motivation factor can't be overlooked - they're in a tight race for Western Conference seeding and can't afford to drop games against weaker opposition. This game represents a prime opportunity to maintain their playoff positioning.
Celtics vs. Jazz

Monday, Mar 10
7:30 PM
TD Garden, Boston, MA

While the Celtics are undoubtedly the superior team, this spread appears slightly inflated even considering Boston's dominant home form. The Jazz have shown enough fight in recent games to suggest they can keep things within this generous margin.
Boston has been known to ease off the gas when building big leads, which could create opportunities for the Jazz to narrow the gap late in the game. This tendency becomes particularly relevant with such a large spread.
The Jazz's offensive capabilities, while inconsistent, can produce enough scoring runs to prevent this game from becoming a complete blowout. Their pace of play typically generates enough possessions to maintain reasonable scoring output.
Historical data suggests that NBA spreads this large tend to favor the underdog, as teams rarely maintain maximum intensity when leading by significant margins. The Jazz should have enough pride and professionalism to avoid a complete collapse.
While Boston should win comfortably, the 17.5-point cushion provides ample room for the Jazz to cover, even in a decisive loss. The value lies with taking the points in what could be a more competitive game than the spread suggests.
Rockets vs. Magic

Monday, Mar 10
8:00 PM
Toyota Center (Houston), Houston, TX

The Rockets have found their stride at home, where their young talent tends to play with notably more confidence and aggression. Against an Orlando team that can be inconsistent on the road, Houston's home-court advantage becomes particularly significant.
Houston's defensive improvements this season have been remarkable, especially at home where they've established themselves as a tough matchup for visiting teams. Their ability to disrupt opposing offenses has been key to their success.
The matchup favors Houston's athletic frontcourt, which should be able to challenge Orlando's interior presence. The Rockets' pace and spacing could create problems for the Magic's defensive rotations.
Recent form suggests Houston is playing some of their best basketball of the season, with their young core showing improved chemistry and decision-making. The team's confidence is evident in their recent performances.
While the Magic have exceeded expectations this season, they've shown vulnerability in road games against motivated Western Conference opponents. The Rockets' home court advantage and current form make them a solid play on the money line.
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