The Dallas Mavericks roll into Frost Bank Center looking to snap their brutal four-game skid and salvage their playoff hopes, but they'll have to do it with a potentially depleted roster as seven key players remain questionable with various injuries.
While Dallas has historically dominated this matchup with a 9-1 record in their last 10 meetings, the Spurs' recent offensive explosion - shooting over 52% from the field in their last three games - could spell trouble for a Mavericks defense that's giving up north of 118 points on the road.
The stage is set for an intriguing clash as the home team Spurs (26-35) look to capitalize on their hot shooting against the visiting Mavericks (32-32), who desperately need to right the ship before their postseason dreams slip away.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks matchup, our predictive model gives the Spurs a 67.33% chance of defeating the Mavs.
San Antonio Spurs: 67.33% win probability
- Better recent form (2-3 in last 5 vs Mavs' 0-5)
- More efficient scoring (53.4% points per shot vs Mavs' 51.2%)
- Stronger defensive rating (115.8 vs Mavs' 118.2 points allowed per game)
Dallas Mavericks: 32.67% win probability
- Current five-game losing streak (LLLLL recent form)
- Poor road performance (14-19 away record)
- Defensive struggles (7426 points against, 3rd worst in Western Conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Dallas Mavericks head to San Antonio to face the home team Spurs on Monday, March 10.
San Antonio Spurs | Dallas Mavericks | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -220 (via bet365 US) | +188 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks preview
The struggling Mavericks roll into Frost Bank Center looking to snap their brutal four-game skid, with their playoff hopes hanging precariously in the Western Conference's 10th spot.
Dallas's recent defensive woes have been painful to watch, giving up a whopping 118 points per game on the road, while Klay Thompson's been doing his best to keep the offense afloat with a solid 28-point showing in their last outing.
The young Spurs, fresh off a mixed bag of results, have found their shooting groove lately - they're knocking down an impressive 52% from the field over their last three games.
Devin Vassell's been on fire for San Antonio, coming off a monster 37-point performance where he shot a blistering 70% from the field against Brooklyn.
While Dallas has historically owned this Texas rivalry with nine wins in their last ten matchups, the Spurs' recent offensive explosion and the Mavs' defensive struggles could make this one interesting.
The injury bug's bitten Dallas hard, with seven players including Kyrie Irving questionable for this one, which might just open the door for San Antonio to buck the recent trend in this matchup.
Keep an eye on the battle of the boards - San Antonio's averaging over 10 offensive rebounds per game, which could spell trouble for a Mavericks team that's already on their heels.
This in-state showdown at the Frost Bank Center has all the makings of a classic Texas shootout, with both teams averaging north of 113 points per game.
Key stats
- 1Dallas sits 10th in Western Conference with 32-33 record while Spurs rank 13th at 26-36
- 2Mavericks enter on 5-game losing streak (LLLLL) vs Spurs' mixed form (LLWLW)
- 3Dallas averages more points (114.5 vs 113.4) but has worse defense allowing 114.2 ppg
- 4Spurs hold slight edge in recent momentum with 2 wins in last 5 games compared to Mavs' zero
San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks form


San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks head to head
San Antonio Spurs
33%
Dallas Mavericks
67%
Nov 17, 2024
Dallas Mavericks
110 : 93
San Antonio Spurs
Oct 24, 2024
Dallas Mavericks
120 : 109
San Antonio Spurs
Mar 20, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
107 : 113
Dallas Mavericks
Feb 15, 2024
Dallas Mavericks
116 : 93
San Antonio Spurs
Dec 24, 2023
Dallas Mavericks
144 : 119
San Antonio Spurs
Oct 26, 2023
San Antonio Spurs
119 : 126
Dallas Mavericks