The NHL's top-scoring Washington Capitals bring their explosive offense (231 goals) to Honda Center, where they'll face an Anaheim Ducks team that's had trouble finding the back of the net this season with just 166 goals.
Both teams enter on positive notes - Washington fresh off a 4-2 victory over the Kraken while Anaheim surprised the Islanders 4-1 in their last outing - but the stark contrast in their special teams could be decisive, with the Caps converting 23.46% of power plays compared to the Ducks' league-worst 13.02%.
The surging Capitals (42-14-8) look to maintain their dominance against the .500 Ducks (28-28-7) in what promises to be an intriguing matchup between Logan Thompson's .913 save percentage and Lukas Dostal's developing game between the pipes.
Anaheim Ducks vs. Washington Capitals prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Anaheim Ducks vs Washington Capitals matchup, our predictive model gives the Caps a 73.5% chance of defeating the Ducks.
Washington Capitals: 73.5% win probability
- League-leading point total (92 points in 64 games)
- Dominant offensive output (232 goals scored, highest in the league)
- Strong recent momentum (4-1-0 in last five games)
Anaheim Ducks: 26.5% win probability
- Poor defensive record (193 goals against, 6th worst in Western Conference)
- Inconsistent performance (28-28-7 record, 12th in Western Conference)
- Struggling offense (169 goals scored, third-lowest in Pacific Division)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Anaheim Ducks vs. Washington Capitals odds
Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Washington Capitals head to Anaheim to face the home team Ducks on Tuesday, March 11.
Anaheim Ducks | Washington Capitals | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | +168 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | -190 (via bet365 US) |
Anaheim Ducks vs. Washington Capitals preview
The red-hot Washington Capitals roll into Honda Center looking to extend their impressive run against a scrappy Anaheim Ducks squad that's fighting to stay relevant in the playoff picture.
Washington's offense has been nothing short of spectacular this season, leading the league with 231 goals while maintaining a lethal 23.46% power play conversion rate that's giving opponents fits.
The Ducks, fresh off a convincing 4-1 win over the Islanders, will need netminder Lukas Dostal to stand on his head - his .905 save percentage will be put to the test against the Caps' high-octane attack.
Logan Thompson's been a rock between the pipes for Washington, boasting a stellar .913 save percentage and an impressive quality start rate of 60.8% that's kept the Capitals in tight games.
The matchup presents a classic clash of styles - Washington's league-leading offense against Anaheim's more methodical, defense-first approach that's kept them hovering around .500.
Keep an eye on the special teams battle, where the Capitals' power play unit could feast on Anaheim's struggling penalty kill (73.74%).
The Honda Center crowd might be in for a long night unless the Ducks can find a way to slow down Washington's relentless offensive pressure and capitalize on their limited scoring chances.
This cross-conference tilt has all the makings of a statement game for both sides - the Capitals looking to maintain their dominance, while the Ducks aim to prove they can hang with the NHL's elite.
Key stats
- 1Washington Capitals lead Eastern Conference with 92 points while Ducks sit 12th in West with 63 points - stark 29-point gap between teams
- 2Capitals boast superior goal differential (+65) compared to Ducks' negative differential (-24), suggesting stronger offensive and defensive play
- 3Ducks' recent form shows inconsistency (WLLWL) while Capitals carry momentum with strong recent performance (WWWWL)
- 4Anaheim's 28 losses versus Washington's 14 losses highlights significant disparity in season-long performance between teams
Anaheim Ducks vs. Washington Capitals form


Anaheim Ducks vs. Washington Capitals head to head
Anaheim Ducks
17%
Washington Capitals
83%
Jan 15, 2025
Washington Capitals
3 : 0
Anaheim Ducks
Jan 17, 2024
Washington Capitals
2 : 0
Anaheim Ducks
Dec 1, 2023
Anaheim Ducks
4 : 5
Washington Capitals
Mar 2, 2023
Anaheim Ducks
2 : 3
Washington Capitals
Feb 24, 2023
Washington Capitals
2 : 4
Anaheim Ducks
Dec 7, 2021
Washington Capitals
4 : 3
Anaheim Ducks
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