The Philadelphia Flyers face a tough test at Wells Fargo Center on Tuesday night as they welcome an Ottawa Senators team that's riding high after their recent 4-3 victory over the Rangers.
Both teams bring contrasting momentum into this matchup, with the Flyers struggling to find their offensive rhythm (scoring just once in their last outing) while the Senators have shown impressive firepower, putting up 37 shots in their previous game.
The battle between Senators' netminder Anton Forsberg (.904 save percentage) and Flyers' Samuel Ersson will be crucial as the home team looks to improve their disappointing 27-30-8 record against the visiting Senators (32-25-5).
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Ottawa Senators prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Philadelphia Flyers vs Ottawa Senators matchup, our predictive model gives the Sens a 61% chance of defeating the Flyers.
Ottawa Senators: 61% win probability
- Strong offensive output (180 goals scored in 63 games)
- Better overall record (33 wins vs Flyers' 27)
- Superior goal differential (-0 vs Flyers' -33)
Philadelphia Flyers: 39% win probability
- Poor recent form (LLLLW in last 5 games)
- Defensive struggles (219 goals against in 65 games)
- Lower points total (62 points vs Senators' 71 points)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Ottawa Senators odds
Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Philadelphia Flyers host the Ottawa Senators at home on Tuesday, March 11.
Philadelphia Flyers | Ottawa Senators | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | +102 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) | -118 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Ottawa Senators preview
The struggling Flyers host the Senators at Wells Fargo Center in what's shaping up to be a crucial matchup for both teams' playoff aspirations.
Ottawa's been finding their groove lately, coming off an impressive 4-3 win against the Rangers, while Philly's still trying to shake off a tough 3-1 loss to the Devils.
The Sens' offense has been clicking - they've managed to put up 177 goals this season, though their power play could use some work after going 0-for-5 in their last outing.
Keep your eyes on Anton Forsberg between the pipes for Ottawa - he's been solid with a .904 career save percentage, though he'll need to be sharp against a Flyers team that's shown they can be dangerous when they get their chances.
On the other side, Samuel Ersson's been a bit shaky for the Flyers, sporting an .891 save percentage, and he'll have his hands full with Ottawa's aggressive forecheck.
The Flyers' power play has been their Achilles' heel this season, converting at just 15.20% - dead last in the league - and they'll need to figure that out if they want to turn things around.
This one's got all the makings of a classic Atlantic Division slugfest, with both teams desperate to bank some points as we head into the final stretch of the season.
Key stats
- 1Ottawa sits 7th in Eastern Conference with 71 points while Flyers lag in 14th with 62 points
- 2Senators show stronger offense with 180 goals vs Flyers' 186, but better defense allowing 180 vs 219 goals against
- 3Ottawa brings hot momentum with recent form WWWLW compared to Flyers' cold streak LLLLW
- 4Philadelphia's -33 goal difference (186 GF, 219 GA) ranks significantly worse than Ottawa's even differential (180 GF, 180 GA)
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Ottawa Senators form


Philadelphia Flyers vs. Ottawa Senators head to head
Philadelphia Flyers
33%
Ottawa Senators
67%
Nov 15, 2024
Ottawa Senators
4 : 5
Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 3, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers
4 : 2
Ottawa Senators
Jan 21, 2024
Philadelphia Flyers
3 : 5
Ottawa Senators
Oct 14, 2023
Ottawa Senators
5 : 2
Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 30, 2023
Ottawa Senators
5 : 4
Philadelphia Flyers
Nov 12, 2022
Philadelphia Flyers
1 : 4
Ottawa Senators