HomeNewsHurricanes vs Lightning Prediction & Odds - 3/11/2025

Hurricanes vs Lightning Prediction & Odds - 3/11/2025

Carolina Hurricanes vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning matchup, our predictive model gives the Canes a 55% chance of defeating the Bolts.

Carolina Hurricanes: 55% win probability

Strong defensive system (175 goals against, 4th best in league)
Excellent recent momentum (WWWWL in last 5 games)
Balanced scoring attack (204 goals for, ranking 8th in league)

Tampa Bay Lightning: 45% win probability

Inconsistent recent form (LWWLW in last 5 games)
Lower points total (78 points vs Carolina's 80 in similar games played)
Road game disadvantage (Carolina's home record gives them edge)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Carolina Hurricanes vs. Tampa Bay Lightning odds

Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Carolina Hurricanes host the Tampa Bay Lightning at home on Tuesday, March 11.

	Carolina Hurricanes	Tampa Bay Lightning
Moneyline	-125 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)	+110 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Carolina Hurricanes vs. Tampa Bay Lightning preview

The PNC Arena in Raleigh is set for a heavyweight Eastern Conference clash as the red-hot Carolina Hurricanes look to extend their impressive four-game winning streak against a formidable Tampa Bay Lightning squad.

The Bolts' dynamic offense, spearheaded by the lethal combination of Nikita Kucherov and Brandon Hagel who've combined for a whopping 162 points this season, will face their toughest test yet against Carolina's brick-wall defense that's conceded just six goals in their last four outings.

While Tampa's Andrei Vasilevskiy hasn't been his usual dominant self between the pipes, the Hurricanes' Pyotr Kochetkov has stepped up big time, making the crease his own with some clutch performances.

The battle on the blue line should be fascinating, with Tampa's veteran pair of Victor Hedman and Ryan McDonagh going head-to-head against Carolina's rock-solid duo of Jaccob Slavin and Brent Burns.

Sebastian Aho and Seth Jarvis have been lighting it up for the Canes, but they'll need to crack through a Lightning defense that's allowing just 2.67 goals per game.

This matchup has all the makings of a playoff-style slugfest, with both teams bringing elite special teams units and shutdown defensive systems to the table.

Given the Hurricanes' current momentum and home-ice advantage at the PNC Arena, they'll be looking to make a statement against one of the East's perennial powerhouses.

Key stats

1
Carolina Hurricanes (4th) and Tampa Bay Lightning (5th) are separated by just 2 points in Eastern Conference standings (80 vs 78)
2
Tampa Bay leads in scoring with 224 goals for, while Carolina has better defensive record allowing 175 goals against
3
Carolina shows stronger recent form with 4 wins in last 5 games (WWWWL), compared to Tampa's mixed record (LWWLW)
4
Both teams demonstrate playoff-caliber goal differentials: Carolina +29 (204 GF, 175 GA), Tampa +55 (224 GF, 169 GA)