HomeNewsCeltics vs Thunder Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 3/12/2025

Celtics vs Thunder Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 3/12/2025

Boston Celtics vs. Oklahoma City Thunder prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Boston Celtics vs Oklahoma City Thunder matchup, our predictive model gives OKC a 53% chance of defeating the C's.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 53% win probability

League-best win record (53-12 record shows dominant season performance)
Elite defensive efficiency (6961 points against, lowest in Western Conference)
Strong recent momentum (4-1 in last 5 games with LWWWW form)

Boston Celtics: 47% win probability

Lower scoring output (7599 points scored vs Thunder's 7779)
Recent schedule disadvantage (2nd game of back-to-back)
Defensive vulnerability (7033 points against, higher than Thunder's 6961)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Boston Celtics vs. Oklahoma City Thunder odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Boston Celtics host the Oklahoma City Thunder at home on Wednesday, March 12.

	Boston Celtics	Oklahoma City Thunder
Moneyline	-160 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)	+146 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Boston Celtics vs. Oklahoma City Thunder preview

The TD Garden is set for a heavyweight clash as the Western Conference-leading Thunder roll into Boston looking to sweep their season series against the defending champs.

OKC's recent stumble against Denver - where they gave up 73 second-half points in a 140-127 loss - might've been just the wake-up call they needed before facing a red-hot Celtics squad that's won eight of their last ten.

The Thunder's lockdown defense, ranked first in both field goal and three-point percentage allowed, will face its toughest test against Boston's league-leading three-point offense, with the Celtics averaging a whopping 48 attempts per game from downtown.

Sam Hauser's explosive 33-point performance with nine threes against Utah shows just how dangerous Boston's supporting cast can be, even when their stars take a night off.

Lu Dort's career night of eight three-pointers and 26 points against Denver proves the Thunder aren't just the Shai Gilgeous-Alexander show anymore, though SGA's consistent 25+ point outings remain the engine of their offense.

The battle on the boards could prove decisive - Boston's ability to create second chances against OKC's 19th-ranked rebounding unit might be the difference-maker in what promises to be a high-scoring affair.

While both teams are missing a few rotation pieces, the Celtics' depth has been their secret weapon during this impressive homestand, where they've looked nearly unstoppable.

This matchup has all the makings of a potential Finals preview, with Boston's home-court advantage going up against an OKC team that's proven they can win anywhere, anytime.

Key stats

1
Thunder leads Western Conference with 53 wins while Celtics hold 2nd in East with 47 wins
2
OKC shows stronger recent form (LWWWW) compared to Boston's perfect streak (WWWWW)
3
Celtics maintain better defensive record allowing 7033 points vs Thunder's 6961 against
4
Thunder posts higher win percentage at .815 compared to Celtics' .723 through 65 games