The Atlanta Hawks welcome the Charlotte Hornets to State Farm Arena on Wednesday night with both teams riding unexpected momentum - the Hawks on a three-game winning tear and the Hornets fresh off back-to-back victories including an impressive comeback against Miami.
While Atlanta's dynamic offense ranks 5th in scoring this season, they'll need to monitor the status of key playmakers Trae Young and Caris LeVert, who are both questionable with injuries that could reshape the matchup dynamics.
The Hawks aim to maintain their dominance over their Southeast Division rivals at home, where they'll face a Hornets squad led by Miles Bridges' hot hand (35 points last game) and LaMelo Ball's 25.6 points per game scoring average.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Atlanta Hawks vs Charlotte Hornets matchup, our predictive model gives the Hawks a 63.75% chance of defeating the Hornets.
Atlanta Hawks: 63.75% win probability
- Superior offensive output (7626 points scored vs Hornets' 6742)
- Better recent form (WWWLW vs Hornets' WWLLL)
- Higher position in standings (7th vs 14th in Eastern Conference)
Charlotte Hornets: 36.25% win probability
- League-worst offensive production in East (6742 points, lowest in conference)
- Poor overall record (16-48, second-worst in Eastern Conference)
- Defensive struggles (7219 points against, significantly higher than league average)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Atlanta Hawks host the Charlotte Hornets at home on Wednesday, March 12.
Atlanta Hawks | Charlotte Hornets | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -340 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) | +280 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets preview
The Hawks are riding high on a three-game winning streak as they welcome the scrappy Hornets to State Farm Arena, with both teams showing surprising form in their recent outings.
Charlotte's Miles Bridges has been on an absolute tear, coming off a monster 35-point performance against Miami, while Mark Williams continues to be a force in the paint with his double-double prowess.
Atlanta's offense has been clicking lately, putting up 132 points against Philly with Dyson Daniels stepping up big time - though they'll need to shore up their defense that's allowing nearly 120 points per game.
The Hawks' home court advantage might be tested with Trae Young and Caris LeVert's status up in the air, potentially opening the door for the suddenly-hot Hornets who've won two straight.
Keep an eye on the paint battle, where the Hawks dominated their last game with a 76-46 advantage against Philly, while Charlotte's been making their living at the free-throw line, hitting an impressive 22-of-23 in their last outing.
These Southeast Division rivals have split their recent matchups, with Charlotte holding a sneaky-good 6-4 record in their last ten meetings despite being the underdog.
The contrast in styles should make for an interesting matchup - Atlanta's run-and-gun offense (5th in scoring) against Charlotte's methodical pace (24th in tempo).
With both teams finding their groove at different ends of the court, this cross-division clash might be closer than the standings suggest.
Key stats
- 1Hawks sit 7th in East with 31-34 record while Hornets struggle at 14th with 16-48
- 2Hawks show strong momentum with 4-1 in last five games (WWWLW), Hornets mixed at 2-3 (WWLLL)
- 3Hawks averaging 117.3 points per game vs Hornets' 105.3, marking significant offensive gap
- 4Hawks maintain -157 point differential while Hornets struggle with -477, second-worst in East
Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets form


Atlanta Hawks vs. Charlotte Hornets head to head
Atlanta Hawks
60%
Charlotte Hornets
40%
Mar 12, 2025
Atlanta Hawks
0 : 0
Charlotte Hornets
Nov 30, 2024
Charlotte Hornets
104 : 107
Atlanta Hawks
Oct 25, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
125 : 120
Charlotte Hornets
Apr 10, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
114 : 115
Charlotte Hornets
Mar 23, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
132 : 91
Charlotte Hornets
Feb 15, 2024
Charlotte Hornets
122 : 99
Atlanta Hawks
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