The red-hot Denver Nuggets, led by Nikola Jokic's recent 35-point masterclass against Oklahoma City, welcome the Minnesota Timberwolves to Ball Arena in what promises to be an offensive showcase between two of the West's most dynamic teams.

While Denver's league-leading 50.8% field goal percentage and top-ranked assist numbers paint a picture of offensive dominance, Minnesota's stifling defense - holding opponents to just 109.2 points per game - could prove to be the perfect foil.

The battle between Anthony Edwards' explosive scoring and the Nuggets' home court advantage sets up an intriguing matchup as the defending champion Nuggets (42-23) look to maintain their edge over the visiting Timberwolves (37-29).

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves matchup, our predictive model gives the Wolves a 50.5% chance of defeating the Nuggets.

Minnesota Timberwolves: 50.5% win probability

  • Superior momentum (Current 5-game win streak vs Nuggets' mixed form)
  • Better defensive efficiency (7209 goals against vs Nuggets' 7581)
  • More consistent scoring output (112.8 points per game average)

Denver Nuggets: 49.5% win probability

  • Recent inconsistency (WLWWL in last 5 games)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (7581 goals against, ranking bottom half in conference)
  • Road game struggles (42-23 overall record despite higher standing)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Minnesota Timberwolves head to Denver to face the home team Nuggets on Wednesday, March 12.

Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Moneyline-160 (via bet365 US)+142 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves preview

The red-hot Denver Nuggets are set to host the Minnesota Timberwolves at Ball Arena in what's shaping up to be a classic Western Conference showdown.

Denver's offense has been clicking on all cylinders lately, with Nikola Jokic coming off a monster 35-point, 18-rebound performance against the Thunder that showcased why they're leading the NBA in both field goal percentage and assists.

The T-Wolves aren't exactly slouches themselves - they just lit up the Spurs with Anthony Edwards dropping an efficient 25 points, and their defense has been giving teams fits all season, ranking 6th in points allowed.

What makes this matchup particularly intriguing is the contrast in styles - Denver's high-powered offense (121.5 PPG) going head-to-head with Minnesota's stifling defense (109.2 PPG allowed).

The Nuggets' home court advantage at Ball Arena could be a decisive factor, but don't count out Minnesota's ability to disrupt offensive rhythms with their aggressive defensive schemes.

Keep an eye on the battle in the paint, where Jokic's playmaking brilliance will be tested against the Timberwolves' tough interior defense.

This one's got all the makings of a playoff-atmosphere slugfest between two teams that know how to get after it on both ends of the floor.

Key stats

  • 1
    Denver Nuggets sit 2nd in Western Conference with 42 wins, while Timberwolves hold 7th position with 37 wins
  • 2
    Minnesota enters with perfect 5-game win streak (WWWWW), matching Denver's superior season record
  • 3
    Nuggets show stronger offensive output with 7895 points scored vs Timberwolves' 7446 points
  • 4
    Minnesota has played one more game (66) than Denver (65), with Nuggets holding better win percentage (.646 vs .561)

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves form

Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
Latest matches
W
L
W
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 11, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder127:140Denver Nuggets
Mar 9, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder127:103Denver Nuggets
Mar 8, 2025
Phoenix Suns141:149Denver Nuggets
Mar 6, 2025
Sacramento Kings110:116Denver Nuggets
Mar 2, 2025
Boston Celtics110:103Denver Nuggets
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves
Latest matches
W
W
W
W
W
Victories
5/5 (100%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
0/5 (0%)
Mar 10, 2025
San Antonio Spurs124:141Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 8, 2025
Miami Heat104:106Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 6, 2025
Charlotte Bobcats110:125Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 5, 2025
Philadelphia 76ers112:126Minnesota Timberwolves
Mar 3, 2025
Phoenix Suns98:116Minnesota Timberwolves

Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves head to head

Denver Nuggets

33%

Minnesota Timberwolves

67%

Jan 25, 2025

Minnesota Timberwolves

133 : 104

Denver Nuggets

Nov 2, 2024

Minnesota Timberwolves

119 : 116

Denver Nuggets

Oct 18, 2024

Minnesota Timberwolves

126 : 132

Denver Nuggets

May 20, 2024

Denver Nuggets

90 : 98

Minnesota Timberwolves

May 17, 2024

Minnesota Timberwolves

115 : 70

Denver Nuggets

May 15, 2024

Denver Nuggets

112 : 97

Minnesota Timberwolves