HomeNewsSpurs vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 3/12/2025

Spurs vs Mavericks Prediction, Odds & Game Preview 3/12/2025

San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks prediction: who will win?

For tonight's San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks matchup, our predictive model gives the Mavs a 64.33% chance of defeating the Spurs.

Dallas Mavericks: 64.33% win probability

Higher offensive output (7577 points scored vs Spurs' 7160)
Better overall record (33 wins vs 26 wins)
Superior point differential (-22 vs Spurs' -154)

San Antonio Spurs: 35.67% win probability

Poor recent form (LLLWL in last 5 games)
Lower scoring offense (113.7 points per game, bottom third in conference)
Defensive struggles (116.1 points allowed per game, ranking 13th in West)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Dallas Mavericks head to San Antonio to face the home team Spurs on Wednesday, March 12.

	San Antonio Spurs	Dallas Mavericks
Moneyline	-215 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)	+195 (via bet365 US)

San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks preview

The shorthanded Mavericks head to San Antonio looking to build on Monday's thrilling 133-129 victory, despite having just eight healthy players available for this Western Conference clash.

Dallas has shown remarkable resilience in the face of adversity, with Spencer Dinwiddie stepping up big time - his 28-point performance on Monday highlighted the Mavs' next-man-up mentality.

The Spurs, though struggling defensively this month, have found their offensive groove, leading the NBA in offensive rating through March with Harrison Barnes dropping an efficient 29 points in their last outing.

Keep an eye on Kessler Edwards, who's making the most of his expanded role for Dallas with an impressive double-double (22 points, 11 rebounds) in their previous matchup.

The Spurs' bench could be the x-factor tonight, with Keldon Johnson proving he can light it up as a sixth man after contributing 28 points in Monday's contest.

This Texas rivalry has been all Dallas lately - they've won seven straight against their I-35 neighbors, but San Antonio's red-hot offense might just have something to say about that streak.

With both teams ranking among the league's worst defenses this month, we're likely in for another high-scoring shootout at the Frost Bank Center.

The Mavs' thin rotation will be tested on this quick turnaround, while the Spurs' young guns look hungry to snap their three-game skid on home court.

Key stats

1
Dallas Mavericks (10th) sit 3 spots higher than Spurs (13th) in Western Conference standings
2
Mavericks hold better offensive output with 7577 points scored vs Spurs' 7160 points in similar games played
3
Spurs' recent form shows 4 losses in last 5 (LLLWL) while Mavs struggle with 4 losses in last 5 (WLLLL)
4
Mavericks maintain better win percentage at 33-33 compared to Spurs' 26-37 record