The Milwaukee Bucks look to snap their three-game skid as they welcome a Lakers squad reeling from LeBron James' absence to the Fiserv Forum on Thursday night.

While Giannis Antetokounmpo aims to bounce back from his subdued 19-point performance against Indiana, the Lakers must figure out how to compensate for their offensive struggles without James, especially with Luka Doncic battling through back issues.

The Milwaukee Bucks (36-28) face off against the Los Angeles Lakers (40-23) in what promises to be a physical battle between two teams desperate to maintain their playoff positioning.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Lakers prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Milwaukee Bucks vs Los Angeles Lakers matchup, our predictive model gives the Bucks a 68.33% chance of defeating the Lakers.

Milwaukee Bucks: 68.33% win probability

  • Strong defensive efficiency (7,202 points against, 4th best in the East)
  • Balanced scoring output (7,334 points scored, maintaining top-5 conference position)
  • Home court advantage with 36 wins in 64 games played

Los Angeles Lakers: 31.67% win probability

  • Inconsistent recent form (LLWWW showing volatility)
  • Road game defensive struggles (7,002 points against, middle of the pack)
  • Lower games played count (63) suggesting potential fatigue in catch-up schedule

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Lakers odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Milwaukee Bucks host the Los Angeles Lakers at home on Thursday, March 13.

Milwaukee BucksLos Angeles Lakers
Moneyline-215 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)+185 (via Caesars Sportsbook)

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Lakers preview

The Lakers roll into Milwaukee's Fiserv Forum looking to snap their two-game skid, but they'll have to do it without LeBron James, who's nursing a groin injury that'll keep him sidelined for a couple weeks.

Luka Doncic has been carrying the load for LA despite battling back issues of his own - his latest triple-double against Brooklyn showed his grit, even if his shooting touch was off.

The Bucks aren't exactly firing on all cylinders either, coming off a gut-wrenching loss to Indiana where Tyrese Halliburton's four-point play in the final seconds left them stunned.

While both teams are dealing with their share of bumps and bruises, this matchup features an intriguing clash between Giannis Antetokounmpo, who just pulled down 17 boards against Indiana, and a Lakers defense that's surprisingly emerged as one of the league's stingiest.

Gabe Vincent's recent spark off the bench - dropping 24 points against Brooklyn - could be crucial for the Lakers to keep pace with Milwaukee's sharpshooting offense that ranks second in three-point percentage.

The Bucks' home court has been a fortress against West Coast teams, with Milwaukee winning 15 of their last 16 against Pacific Division opponents with winning records.

With both squads desperate to right the ship and jockeying for playoff positioning - the Lakers trying to hold onto the third seed out West while Milwaukee battles for home-court advantage in the East - this one has all the makings of a classic.

Key stats

  • 1
    Lakers (4th) vs Bucks (4th) sets up direct conference position battle with both teams at 36 wins
  • 2
    Lakers show stronger recent momentum with 3 straight wins (LLWWW), while Bucks struggle with 3 recent losses (LLLWW)
  • 3
    Lakers maintain better scoring efficiency with +108 point differential (7110 GF, 7002 GA) compared to Bucks +132 (7334 GF, 7202 GA) despite playing 1 fewer game
  • 4
    Milwaukee's 36-28 record mirrors Lakers' 40-23, but Bucks have played one less game, making this matchup crucial for playoff positioning

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Lakers form

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
Latest matches
L
L
L
W
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 11, 2025
Indiana Pacers115:114Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 10, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers112:100Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 9, 2025
Orlando Magic111:109Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 6, 2025
Dallas Mavericks107:137Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 5, 2025
Atlanta Hawks121:127Milwaukee Bucks
Los Angeles Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
Latest matches
L
L
W
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 10, 2025
Brooklyn Nets111:108Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 9, 2025
Boston Celtics111:101Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 7, 2025
New York Knicks109:113Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 5, 2025
New Orleans Hornets115:136Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 3, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers102:108Los Angeles Lakers

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Los Angeles Lakers head to head

Milwaukee Bucks

20%

Los Angeles Lakers

80%

Mar 13, 2025

Milwaukee Bucks

0 : 0

Los Angeles Lakers

Oct 11, 2024

Milwaukee Bucks

102 : 107

Los Angeles Lakers

Mar 26, 2024

Milwaukee Bucks

124 : 128

Los Angeles Lakers

Mar 9, 2024

Los Angeles Lakers

123 : 122

Milwaukee Bucks

Oct 15, 2023

Los Angeles Lakers

97 : 108

Milwaukee Bucks

Feb 10, 2023

Los Angeles Lakers

106 : 115

Milwaukee Bucks