The red-hot Florida Panthers roll into Scotiabank Arena looking to extend their dominance atop the Atlantic Division, bringing their league-best defense that's allowed just four goals in their last five games.
Toronto's dynamic duo of Mitch Marner and William Nylander (combining for 57 goals and 89 assists) will face their toughest test yet against Panthers' netminder Sergei Bobrovsky, who's been nothing short of spectacular with a 2.51 GAA this season.
The home team Maple Leafs (39-22-3) aim to close the gap on the visiting Panthers (40-22-3) in what promises to be a classic goaltending duel between Bobrovsky and Toronto's Anthony Stolarz, who's posted an impressive .921 save percentage.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Florida Panthers matchup, our predictive model gives the Panthers a 75% chance of defeating the Leafs.
Florida Panthers: 75% win probability
- Superior goal-scoring efficiency (215 goals in 65 games, 3.31 goals per game)
- Better recent momentum (LWWWW in last 5 games vs Leafs' WLLLW)
- Higher points percentage (.638 vs .633 for Leafs)
Toronto Maple Leafs: 25% win probability
- Weaker defensive record (190 goals against vs Panthers' 175)
- Poor recent form (3 losses in last 5 games)
- Lower goal differential (+16 compared to Panthers' +40)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers odds
Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Florida Panthers and the home team Toronto Maple Leafs, set to face off on Thursday, March 13.
| Toronto Maple Leafs | Florida Panthers | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -102 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) | -113 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers preview
The Atlantic Division's top spot hangs in the balance as the red-hot Florida Panthers roll into Scotiabank Arena to face the Toronto Maple Leafs in what's shaping up to be a playoff-atmosphere showdown.
Florida's defensive masterclass has been turning heads lately, with the Panthers allowing just four goals in their last five games while Sergei Bobrovsky continues to stand tall between the pipes.
The Leafs' dynamic duo of Mitch Marner and William Nylander have been lighting it up, combining for an impressive 57 goals this season, but they'll face their toughest test yet against Florida's stingy blue line pairing of Forsling and Ekblad.
Toronto's Anthony Stolarz has been a revelation in net, sporting a stellar .921 save percentage, though he'll need to be at his absolute best to contain Florida's lethal top line of Reinhart and Barkov.
The Panthers' recent 3-2 stumble against Boston might just add extra fuel to their fire, especially with divisional bragging rights on the line.
While both teams are averaging north of three goals per game, this matchup has all the makings of a defensive chess match, with two of the league's most disciplined back ends going head-to-head.
Keep an eye on Toronto's power play unit - they're clicking at nearly 25% efficiency this season, but they're up against a Panthers penalty kill that's been nothing short of spectacular lately.
Key stats
- 1Florida Panthers sit 2nd in Eastern Conference with 83 points from 65 games, while Toronto holds 4th with 81 points from 64 matches
- 2Panthers carry superior goal difference (+40) compared to Maple Leafs (+16), scoring 215 goals while conceding 175
- 3Florida shows dominant recent form (LWWWW) versus Toronto's mixed results (WLLLW)
- 4Panthers maintain better offensive output, averaging 3.31 goals per game compared to Toronto's 3.22
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers form
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Florida Panthers head to head
Toronto Maple Leafs
33%
Florida Panthers
67%
Nov 28, 2024
Florida Panthers
5 : 1
Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 16, 2024
Florida Panthers
5 : 2
Toronto Maple Leafs
Apr 1, 2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
6 : 4
Florida Panthers
Nov 29, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs
2 : 1
Florida Panthers
Oct 19, 2023
Florida Panthers
3 : 1
Toronto Maple Leafs
May 12, 2023
Toronto Maple Leafs
2 : 3
Florida Panthers
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