The Pittsburgh Penguins welcome the St. Louis Blues to PPG Paints Arena in what shapes up as a tale of two teams heading in opposite directions - the Blues riding high with seven wins in their last ten while the Pens sit in the Metropolitan Division basement despite back-to-back victories.

Both squads have battled identical offensive woes this season, each mustering just 2.82 goals per game, though the Blues' stingy defense (2.97 GA/game) stands in stark contrast to Pittsburgh's leaky backend (3.57 GA/game).

The matchup pits Blues netminder Joel Hofer (.899 save percentage) against the Penguins' Alex Nedeljkovic (.891) as the home team looks to build momentum against a St. Louis squad fighting for their playoff lives.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. St. Louis Blues prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Pittsburgh Penguins vs St. Louis Blues matchup, our predictive model gives the Blues a 57% chance of defeating the Pens.

St. Louis Blues: 57% win probability

  • Superior goal-scoring output (187 goals scored vs Penguins' 190 in 2 fewer games)
  • Better recent form (LWWLW vs Penguins' WWLLL)
  • Higher points total (69 points vs 62 points despite playing 2 fewer games)

Pittsburgh Penguins: 43% win probability

  • Poor defensive record (244 goals against, worst in Eastern Conference)
  • Current losing streak (Lost last 3 games in a row)
  • Struggling at points accumulation (62 points in 67 games, 0.93 points per game)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. St. Louis Blues odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the St. Louis Blues and the home team Pittsburgh Penguins, set to face off on Thursday, March 13.

Pittsburgh PenguinsSt. Louis Blues
Moneyline+100 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)-115 (via bet365 US)

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. St. Louis Blues preview

The struggling Penguins host the surging Blues at PPG Paints Arena in what's shaping up to be a crucial matchup for both teams' playoff aspirations.

St. Louis has found their groove lately, winning seven of their last ten, with the dynamic duo of Jordan Kyrou and Robert Thomas leading the charge - though their offense hit a speed bump last time out, managing just one goal.

Pittsburgh's veteran captain Sidney Crosby continues to be the bright spot in a dim season, teaming up with Rickard Rakell to generate most of the team's offensive production.

The Blues' defensive unit has been rock-solid lately, giving up just seven goals in their last three games, while the Pens' blue line, anchored by Erik Karlsson, has struggled to find consistency.

Both teams have had their share of goaltending woes this season - the Blues' Joel Hofer and the Pens' Alex Nedeljkovic are both looking to bounce back from sub-par performances.

This matchup features two teams averaging an identical 2.82 goals per game, suggesting we might be in for a tight, defensive battle at PPG Paints Arena.

The Penguins enter with some momentum after back-to-back wins, hoping their home ice advantage will help them build on that streak.

Keep an eye on the special teams battle - the Blues' penalty kill has been tested often this season, while the Pens' power play unit, converting at 24%, could be the difference-maker tonight.

Key stats

  • 1
    Pittsburgh sits 15th in Eastern Conference with 62 points from 67 games while St. Louis holds 11th in Western with 69 points from 65 games
  • 2
    Blues show better offensive output with 187 goals scored vs Penguins' 190, despite playing 2 fewer games
  • 3
    Recent form heavily contrasts: Penguins WWLLL vs Blues LWWLW, indicating Blues' stronger current momentum
  • 4
    Goal differential tells a clear story: Penguins -54 (190 GF, 244 GA) vs Blues -7 (187 GF, 194 GA)

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. St. Louis Blues form

Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Latest matches
W
W
L
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 11, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights2:3Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 9, 2025
Minnesota Wild1:3Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 8, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights4:0Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 5, 2025
Colorado Avalanche4:1Pittsburgh Penguins
Mar 2, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs6:5Pittsburgh Penguins
St. Louis Blues
St. Louis Blues
Latest matches
L
W
W
W
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Draws
0/5 (0%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 9, 2025
Los Angeles Kings2:1St. Louis Blues
Mar 8, 2025
Anaheim Ducks3:4St. Louis Blues
Mar 6, 2025
Los Angeles Kings2:3St. Louis Blues
Mar 2, 2025
Los Angeles Kings1:4St. Louis Blues
Mar 2, 2025
Dallas Stars6:3St. Louis Blues

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. St. Louis Blues head to head

Pittsburgh Penguins

83%

St. Louis Blues

17%

Dec 31, 2023

Pittsburgh Penguins

4 : 2

St. Louis Blues

Oct 22, 2023

St. Louis Blues

4 : 2

Pittsburgh Penguins

Feb 25, 2023

St. Louis Blues

2 : 3

Pittsburgh Penguins

Dec 4, 2022

Pittsburgh Penguins

6 : 2

St. Louis Blues

Mar 18, 2022

St. Louis Blues

2 : 3

Pittsburgh Penguins

Jan 6, 2022

Pittsburgh Penguins

5 : 3

St. Louis Blues