The red-hot Golden State Warriors, who haven't lost at Chase Center since January 31st and are riding high after the Jimmy Butler trade with a 12-2 record since the acquisition, welcome a struggling Sacramento Kings squad that's dropped three of their last four games.

Stephen Curry's Warriors, averaging 113.6 points per game, have found their championship-era groove again, while the Kings' playoff hopes hang in the balance as they've slipped to the ninth seed despite Domantas Sabonis's consistent double-double performances.

The Chase Center crowd will be electric as the Warriors (-7) host their Northern California rivals in what's shaping up to be a classic Pacific Division showdown between the surging home team and the desperate away team.

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings matchup, our predictive model gives the Warriors a 72.5% chance of defeating the Kings.

Golden State Warriors: 72.5% win probability

  • Red-hot momentum (Perfect 5-0 in last five games - WWWWW)
  • Better defensive efficiency (7234 points against vs Kings' 7372)
  • Higher win percentage (37-28 record vs Kings' 33-31)

Sacramento Kings: 27.5% win probability

  • Poor recent form (2-3 in last five games - LLWLW)
  • Defensive struggles (7372 points against, ranking bottom half in conference)
  • Road game disadvantage (Playing against Warriors' home court where they've been dominant)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Golden State Warriors host the Sacramento Kings at home on Thursday, March 13.

Golden State WarriorsSacramento Kings
Moneyline-270 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)+230 (via bet365 US)

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings preview

The red-hot Warriors are riding a wave of momentum into Thursday's clash with their Northern California rivals, having gone an impressive 12-2 since acquiring Jimmy Butler in a season-changing trade.

While Golden State has found their groove at Chase Center, where they haven't dropped a game since January, the Kings have been struggling to find consistency and have slipped to the ninth seed after dropping three of their last four matchups.

Steph Curry continues to be the Warriors' offensive catalyst, putting up 24.5 points per game, but it's the emergence of Jonathan Kuminga and the seamless integration of Butler that's really transformed this team's dynamic.

The Kings' hopes might hinge on the potential return of Domantas Sabonis, who's listed as questionable but could provide the spark they desperately need to match the Warriors' firepower.

These Pacific Division rivals have had some absolute barnburners this season, and with both teams averaging north of 113 points per game, we could be in for another high-scoring affair.

The Warriors will be missing Brandin Podziemski's spark off the bench due to a back issue, but their depth has been one of their strongest assets during this recent surge.

Chase Center's been a fortress lately for the Dubs, and they'll look to keep that home cooking going against a Kings squad that's searching for answers on the road.

With playoff positioning on the line and the Warriors looking to cement their spot in the standings, this NorCal showdown has all the makings of a classic.

Key stats

  • 1
    Warriors sit 6th in Western Conference with 37 wins, while Kings trail in 9th with 33 wins - crucial positioning battle for playoff spots
  • 2
    Warriors bring red-hot 5-game win streak (WWWWW), Kings showing mixed form (LLWLW) in last 5 games
  • 3
    Warriors hold defensive edge with -147 goal differential vs Kings' -93, despite playing one more game
  • 4
    Warriors maintain better win percentage at 56.9% compared to Kings' 51.6% through similar games played (65 vs 64)

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings form

Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
Latest matches
W
W
W
W
W
Victories
5/5 (100%)
Defeats
0/5 (0%)
Mar 11, 2025
Portland Trail Blazers120:130Golden State Warriors
Mar 9, 2025
Detroit Pistons110:115Golden State Warriors
Mar 7, 2025
Brooklyn Nets119:121Golden State Warriors
Mar 5, 2025
New York Knicks102:114Golden State Warriors
Mar 4, 2025
Charlotte Bobcats101:119Golden State Warriors
Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
Latest matches
L
L
W
L
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 11, 2025
New York Knicks133:104Sacramento Kings
Mar 10, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers111:110Sacramento Kings
Mar 8, 2025
San Antonio Spurs109:127Sacramento Kings
Mar 6, 2025
Denver Nuggets116:110Sacramento Kings
Mar 4, 2025
Dallas Mavericks98:122Sacramento Kings

Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings head to head

Golden State Warriors

83%

Sacramento Kings

17%

Feb 22, 2025

Sacramento Kings

108 : 132

Golden State Warriors

Jan 23, 2025

Sacramento Kings

123 : 117

Golden State Warriors

Jan 6, 2025

Golden State Warriors

99 : 129

Sacramento Kings

Oct 12, 2024

Golden State Warriors

109 : 106

Sacramento Kings

Oct 10, 2024

Sacramento Kings

112 : 122

Golden State Warriors

Jul 11, 2024

Golden State Warriors

91 : 90

Sacramento Kings