The red-hot Golden State Warriors, who haven't lost at Chase Center since January 31st and are riding high after the Jimmy Butler trade with a 12-2 record since the acquisition, welcome a struggling Sacramento Kings squad that's dropped three of their last four games.
Stephen Curry's Warriors, averaging 113.6 points per game, have found their championship-era groove again, while the Kings' playoff hopes hang in the balance as they've slipped to the ninth seed despite Domantas Sabonis's consistent double-double performances.
The Chase Center crowd will be electric as the Warriors (-7) host their Northern California rivals in what's shaping up to be a classic Pacific Division showdown between the surging home team and the desperate away team.
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings matchup, our predictive model gives the Warriors a 72.5% chance of defeating the Kings.
Golden State Warriors: 72.5% win probability
- Red-hot momentum (Perfect 5-0 in last five games - WWWWW)
- Better defensive efficiency (7234 points against vs Kings' 7372)
- Higher win percentage (37-28 record vs Kings' 33-31)
Sacramento Kings: 27.5% win probability
- Poor recent form (2-3 in last five games - LLWLW)
- Defensive struggles (7372 points against, ranking bottom half in conference)
- Road game disadvantage (Playing against Warriors' home court where they've been dominant)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Golden State Warriors host the Sacramento Kings at home on Thursday, March 13.
Golden State Warriors | Sacramento Kings | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -270 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | +230 (via bet365 US) |
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings preview
The red-hot Warriors are riding a wave of momentum into Thursday's clash with their Northern California rivals, having gone an impressive 12-2 since acquiring Jimmy Butler in a season-changing trade.
While Golden State has found their groove at Chase Center, where they haven't dropped a game since January, the Kings have been struggling to find consistency and have slipped to the ninth seed after dropping three of their last four matchups.
Steph Curry continues to be the Warriors' offensive catalyst, putting up 24.5 points per game, but it's the emergence of Jonathan Kuminga and the seamless integration of Butler that's really transformed this team's dynamic.
The Kings' hopes might hinge on the potential return of Domantas Sabonis, who's listed as questionable but could provide the spark they desperately need to match the Warriors' firepower.
These Pacific Division rivals have had some absolute barnburners this season, and with both teams averaging north of 113 points per game, we could be in for another high-scoring affair.
The Warriors will be missing Brandin Podziemski's spark off the bench due to a back issue, but their depth has been one of their strongest assets during this recent surge.
Chase Center's been a fortress lately for the Dubs, and they'll look to keep that home cooking going against a Kings squad that's searching for answers on the road.
With playoff positioning on the line and the Warriors looking to cement their spot in the standings, this NorCal showdown has all the makings of a classic.
Key stats
- 1Warriors sit 6th in Western Conference with 37 wins, while Kings trail in 9th with 33 wins - crucial positioning battle for playoff spots
- 2Warriors bring red-hot 5-game win streak (WWWWW), Kings showing mixed form (LLWLW) in last 5 games
- 3Warriors hold defensive edge with -147 goal differential vs Kings' -93, despite playing one more game
- 4Warriors maintain better win percentage at 56.9% compared to Kings' 51.6% through similar games played (65 vs 64)
Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings form


Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings head to head
Golden State Warriors
83%
Sacramento Kings
17%
Feb 22, 2025
Sacramento Kings
108 : 132
Golden State Warriors
Jan 23, 2025
Sacramento Kings
123 : 117
Golden State Warriors
Jan 6, 2025
Golden State Warriors
99 : 129
Sacramento Kings
Oct 12, 2024
Golden State Warriors
109 : 106
Sacramento Kings
Oct 10, 2024
Sacramento Kings
112 : 122
Golden State Warriors
Jul 11, 2024
Golden State Warriors
91 : 90
Sacramento Kings
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