The struggling Miami Heat bring their six-game losing skid to Memphis, where they'll face a Grizzlies squad that's been lighting up scoreboards with the NBA's second-best scoring offense and Ja Morant's explosive 44-point performance fresh in memory.
While Miami's defense remains their calling card - holding opponents to the seventh-fewest points per game - their offensive woes have been glaring, with the team failing to crack 110 points in their last six outings.
The Memphis Grizzlies host the Miami Heat at FedExForum in what promises to be a fascinating clash between the league's fastest-paced offense and one of its most methodical defensive units.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Miami Heat prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat matchup, our predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 73.33% chance of defeating the Heat.
Memphis Grizzlies: 73.33% win probability
- Explosive offense (8,218 points scored, 3rd highest in the Western Conference)
- Strong winning record (42-25, 3rd in Western Conference standings)
- Hot streak momentum (LWWWW in recent games)
Miami Heat: 26.67% win probability
- Struggling offense (7,232 points scored, bottom 5 in Eastern Conference)
- Poor recent form (LLLLL in last five games)
- Road game vulnerability (29-37 overall record, 9th in Eastern Conference)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Miami Heat odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Miami Heat travel to face the home team Memphis Grizzlies on Saturday, March 15.
Memphis Grizzlies | Miami Heat | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -300 (via BetMGM Sportsbook) | +260 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Miami Heat preview
The struggling Miami Heat roll into FedExForum looking to snap their brutal six-game losing streak against a red-hot Memphis Grizzlies squad that's been lighting up scoreboards lately.
Miami's offense has hit a serious rough patch, with Tyler Herro's 23.9 points per game not enough to mask their bottom-third rankings in rim efficiency and true shooting percentage.
The Grizzlies, meanwhile, have been absolutely cooking - they're second in points per game and first in pace, with Ja Morant coming off a ridiculous 44-point performance despite their recent loss to Cleveland.
While Miami's defense remains their calling card, ranking 12th overall and particularly stingy in limiting free throw attempts, they'll have their hands full containing Memphis's league-leading free throw attack and second-best offensive rebounding.
Keep an eye on the fascinating matchup between Bam Adebayo, fresh off a 23-point, 14-rebound showing, and the Grizzlies' frontcourt that's been dominating the glass all season.
The Heat's road woes (4-9-1 in their last 14 away games) combined with this being the second night of a back-to-back spell trouble against a Grizzlies team that won't have to leave home.
With Santi Aldama out for Memphis and Miami missing both Alec Burks and Nikola Jovic, depth could play a crucial role in what's shaping up to be a classic clash between Memphis's high-octane offense and Miami's gritty defense.
The FedExForum crowd should be in for a treat as these teams bring contrasting styles - Memphis's breakneck pace against Miami's methodical approach - in what could be one of Saturday night's most intriguing matchups.
Key stats
- 1Memphis Grizzlies sit 3rd in Western Conference with 42 wins, while Miami Heat struggle at 9th in Eastern Conference with 29 wins
- 2Grizzlies show strong momentum with LWWWW recent form versus Heat's concerning LLLLL streak
- 3Memphis maintains better scoring efficiency with 8218 points scored compared to Miami's 7232 through similar games played
- 4Grizzlies hold a +381 point differential while Heat carry a -59 deficit across the season
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Miami Heat form


Memphis Grizzlies vs. Miami Heat head to head
Memphis Grizzlies
0%
Miami Heat
100%
Oct 19, 2024
Memphis Grizzlies
109 : 114
Miami Heat
Jul 23, 2024
Miami Heat
120 : 118
Memphis Grizzlies
Jan 25, 2024
Miami Heat
96 : 105
Memphis Grizzlies
Nov 9, 2023
Memphis Grizzlies
102 : 108
Miami Heat
Oct 15, 2023
Miami Heat
132 : 124
Memphis Grizzlies
Mar 15, 2023
Miami Heat
138 : 119
Memphis Grizzlies