The Portland Trail Blazers return home to face a surging Toronto Raptors squad that has quietly won six of their last seven games, setting up an intriguing cross-conference clash at the Moda Center.
While Portland has dropped five straight against playoff contenders, including a heartbreaking overtime loss to New York on a buzzer-beater, they've shown fight behind Scoot Henderson's explosive 30-point performance and Deni Avdija's emergence as a reliable scoring option.
The matchup pits Toronto's RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes, who've been lighting it up with a combined 41 points per game, against a Trail Blazers defense that ranks among the league's best at protecting the rim - making this Sunday evening showdown between the struggling home team and the red-hot away team one to watch.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Toronto Raptors prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Portland Trail Blazers vs Toronto Raptors matchup, our predictive model gives the Blazers a 52.5% chance of defeating the Raptors.
Portland Trail Blazers: 52.5% win probability
- Higher scoring output (7413 points scored vs Raptors' 7442)
- Better defensive efficiency (7681 points against vs Raptors' 7753)
- More games played (67 vs 66) providing better season rhythm
Toronto Raptors: 47.5% win probability
- Poor road performance (24-43 overall record)
- Defensive struggles (7753 points allowed this season)
- Inconsistent scoring (Bottom 5 in Eastern Conference with 7442 points scored)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Toronto Raptors odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Portland Trail Blazers host the Toronto Raptors at home on Sunday, March 16.
| Portland Trail Blazers | Toronto Raptors | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -265 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) | +230 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Toronto Raptors preview
The struggling Raptors head to Moda Center riding an unexpected hot streak, having won six of their last seven games despite their underwhelming season record.
Toronto's recent surge has been powered by RJ Barrett's stellar play - he's been lighting it up with 21.5 points per game while doing a bit of everything else on the court.
Portland's coming off a gut-wrenching overtime loss to the Knicks, where Scoot Henderson dropped 30 points in what might've been his best game of the season.
The Blazers' defense has been their saving grace lately, ranking 9th in opponent shooting percentage at the rim, though they're still trying to snap a five-game skid against playoff-caliber teams.
Keep an eye on the paint battle between Jakob Poeltl, who's nearly averaging a double-double for Toronto, and Portland's frontcourt that's been holding their own despite recent struggles.
The Blazers have historically had Toronto's number, winning seven of their last ten matchups, but this isn't quite the same Raptors team they're used to facing.
With Jerami Grant's status up in the air for Portland, Deni Avdija might need to step up again after his recent 27-point outburst.
Both teams have been grinding out tough defensive battles lately, setting up what should be an intriguing clash of styles at the Moda Center.
Key stats
- 1Trail Blazers sit 13th in West with 28-39 record while Raptors hold 11th in East at 24-43
- 2Portland has lost 5 straight games (LLLLL) compared to Toronto's strong 4-1 run (WWWLW)
- 3Trail Blazers have a -268 point differential (7413 scored, 7681 allowed) versus Raptors' -311 (7442 scored, 7753 allowed)
- 4Both teams struggle at home - Portland averages 110.6 points per game while Toronto manages just 111.1 points
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Toronto Raptors form
Portland Trail Blazers vs. Toronto Raptors head to head
Portland Trail Blazers
60%
Toronto Raptors
40%
Mar 16, 2025
Portland Trail Blazers
0 : 0
Toronto Raptors
Mar 10, 2024
Portland Trail Blazers
128 : 118
Toronto Raptors
Oct 30, 2023
Toronto Raptors
91 : 99
Portland Trail Blazers
Jan 29, 2023
Portland Trail Blazers
105 : 123
Toronto Raptors
Jan 8, 2023
Toronto Raptors
117 : 105
Portland Trail Blazers
Jan 23, 2022
Toronto Raptors
105 : 114
Portland Trail Blazers
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