The Sacramento Kings welcome the high-scoring Memphis Grizzlies to Golden 1 Center in what promises to be an offensive spectacle, with Memphis bringing their league-second-best 122.6 points per game against Sacramento's potent attack.
Both teams enter with contrasting momentum - the Grizzlies fresh off a convincing win over Utah where Luke Kennard dropped 30 points, while the Kings look to bounce back from a tough loss to Golden State that exposed some defensive concerns.
The Kings (33-32) face a stern test against the Grizzlies (42-24) in a matchup where home-court advantage could prove decisive, especially given Sacramento's need to tighten up their defense that's allowing opponents to shoot 47% from the field.
Sacramento Kings vs. Memphis Grizzlies prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies matchup, our predictive model gives the Grizzlies a 60% chance of defeating the Kings.
Memphis Grizzlies: 60% win probability
- Higher league position (2nd in Western Conference vs Kings' 9th)
- Superior win-loss record (43-25 compared to Kings' 33-33)
- Better recent form (WLWWW vs Kings' LLLLW)
Sacramento Kings: 40% win probability
- Poor defensive record (7624 goals against, ranking bottom half in West)
- Negative momentum (Lost 4 of last 5 games)
- Lower scoring efficiency (7675 goals for vs Grizzlies' 8343)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Sacramento Kings vs. Memphis Grizzlies odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Sacramento Kings host the Memphis Grizzlies at home on Monday, March 17.
Sacramento Kings | Memphis Grizzlies | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -135 (via bet365 US) | +120 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) |
Sacramento Kings vs. Memphis Grizzlies preview
The Sacramento Kings are looking to bounce back at Golden 1 Center after a tough loss to the Warriors, where their defense struggled to contain perimeter shooting, allowing a scorching 56.4% from three-point range.
Memphis comes in hot off a win against Utah, with Luke Kennard's explosive 30-point performance on 78.6% shooting showing just how dangerous their offense can be.
The Grizzlies' league-leading offense (122.6 points per game) will test Sacramento's defensive resolve, though the Kings' efficient free-throw shooting (80.7%) could prove crucial in what's shaping up to be a high-scoring affair.
DeMar DeRozan's recent form for the Kings - dropping 23 points on 61.5% shooting against Golden State - suggests he's finding his rhythm at the right time.
While Memphis has shown they can force turnovers (15.5 per game), Sacramento's ball security (just 13.4 turnovers per game) might neutralize this advantage.
The contrast in rebounding could be decisive - Memphis pulls down 47.6 boards per game while Sacramento's been more vulnerable on the glass, averaging 44.7.
This matchup features two teams with opposing strengths: Memphis's high-octane offense against Sacramento's more balanced approach, setting up what should be a fascinating tactical battle at Golden 1 Center.
Keep an eye on the three-point line, where Memphis's 36.7% success rate could exploit Sacramento's defense, which has allowed opponents to shoot 38% from beyond the arc this season.
Key stats
- 1Memphis sits 2nd in Western Conference with 43 wins while Sacramento struggles in 9th with 33 wins
- 2Grizzlies show strong recent momentum with 4 wins in last 5 (WLWWW) vs Kings' poor form of 1 win in 5 (LLLLW)
- 3Memphis holds significant scoring advantage with 8,343 points scored vs Sacramento's 7,675
- 4Kings' defense has allowed 7,624 points while Grizzlies have conceded more at 7,928, suggesting potential for a high-scoring game
Sacramento Kings vs. Memphis Grizzlies form


Sacramento Kings vs. Memphis Grizzlies head to head
Sacramento Kings
50%
Memphis Grizzlies
50%
Jan 4, 2025
Sacramento Kings
138 : 133
Memphis Grizzlies
Dec 6, 2024
Memphis Grizzlies
115 : 110
Sacramento Kings
Jul 12, 2024
Memphis Grizzlies
103 : 83
Sacramento Kings
Mar 19, 2024
Sacramento Kings
121 : 111
Memphis Grizzlies
Jan 30, 2024
Memphis Grizzlies
94 : 103
Sacramento Kings
Jan 1, 2024
Memphis Grizzlies
92 : 123
Sacramento Kings
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