The Los Angeles Lakers welcome the San Antonio Spurs to Crypto.com Arena on Monday night in what could be a pivotal matchup for both teams' late-season aspirations.
While the Lakers (40-24) have established themselves as legitimate contenders behind their efficient 47.9% shooting from the field, the young Spurs (27-37) enter fresh off an impressive victory over Dallas where they shot a blistering 53.2% and dominated the glass with 47 rebounds.
The contrast between the Lakers' stingy defense allowing just 111.4 points per game and the Spurs' high-octane offense averaging 113.8 points sets up an intriguing battle between the home team's experience and the away team's youthful energy.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. San Antonio Spurs prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs matchup, our predictive model gives the Lakers a 58% chance of defeating the Spurs.
Los Angeles Lakers: 58% win probability
- Higher league position (5th vs 13th in Western Conference)
- Superior scoring efficiency (7449 points in 66 games vs Spurs' 7539 in 66 games)
- Better defensive record (7355 points against vs Spurs' 7690)
San Antonio Spurs: 42% win probability
- Poor road record (13th place in Western Conference)
- Defensive struggles (7690 points against, ranking bottom third in conference)
- Inconsistent form (WLWLL in last five games vs Lakers' WLLLL)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. San Antonio Spurs odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Los Angeles Lakers host the San Antonio Spurs at home on Monday, March 17.
| Los Angeles Lakers | San Antonio Spurs | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -405 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | +350 (via bet365 US) |
Los Angeles Lakers vs. San Antonio Spurs preview
The Lakers are set to host the Spurs at Crypto.com Arena in what's shaping up to be an intriguing matchup between two teams on different trajectories.
LA's recent stumble against the Bucks, despite Luka Doncic's explosive 45-point performance, exposed some defensive vulnerabilities that the young Spurs might look to exploit.
San Antonio's coming in hot off an impressive win over Dallas, where they shot a blistering 53% from the field and showed some real offensive chemistry with 32 assists.
The Lakers' eighth-ranked field goal percentage (47.9%) should give them an edge against the Spurs' sometimes-shaky defense, which is giving up 116.1 points per game.
Keep an eye on the battle of the boards - while the Lakers have been solid defensively, ranking 8th in rebounds allowed, the Spurs have shown they can crash the glass, pulling down 47 rebounds in their last outing.
The x-factor could be the Spurs' three-point shooting - they've been hitting from deep at a 35% clip this season, and if they get hot from beyond the arc, this game might be closer than the records suggest.
With the Lakers' home-court advantage and superior defensive metrics (allowing just 111.4 points per game compared to the Spurs' 116.1), they're looking like the stronger side, but San Antonio's recent offensive explosion suggests they won't go down without a fight.
Key stats
- 1Lakers hold 5th position in Western Conference with 41 wins, while Spurs sit 13th with 28 wins - showing a significant competitive gap
- 2Lakers maintain a positive scoring differential (+94), compared to Spurs' negative differential (-151), suggesting stronger offensive efficiency
- 3Lakers' recent form shows concerning WLLLL streak, while Spurs show mixed results with WLWLL - both teams struggling for consistency
- 4Lakers have played 66 games to Spurs' 66, with Lakers winning 62% of their matches versus Spurs' 42% win rate this season
Los Angeles Lakers vs. San Antonio Spurs form
Los Angeles Lakers vs. San Antonio Spurs head to head
Los Angeles Lakers
67%
San Antonio Spurs
33%
Jan 14, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers
102 : 126
San Antonio Spurs
Nov 28, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
101 : 119
Los Angeles Lakers
Nov 16, 2024
San Antonio Spurs
115 : 120
Los Angeles Lakers
Feb 24, 2024
Los Angeles Lakers
123 : 118
San Antonio Spurs
Dec 16, 2023
San Antonio Spurs
129 : 115
Los Angeles Lakers
Dec 14, 2023
San Antonio Spurs
119 : 122
Los Angeles Lakers
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