The Southeast Division clash at Spectrum Center pits a Hawks team fighting to maintain their division lead against a depleted Hornets squad that has lost 11 of their last 14 games.

While Atlanta's Trae Young comes in hot off a 28-point performance against Brooklyn, Charlotte's offensive woes continue with the team shooting a league-worst 42.7% from the field and missing key players Brandon Miller and Grant Williams to season-ending injuries.

The home team Hornets will need Mark Williams to build on his recent 18-point, 15-rebound effort if they hope to prevent the away team Hawks from securing their fourth straight victory in this matchup.

Charlotte Hornets vs. Atlanta Hawks prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks matchup, our predictive model gives the Hawks a 72.5% chance of defeating the Hornets.

Atlanta Hawks: 72.5% win probability

  • Superior offensive output (7,961 points scored this season vs Hornets' 7,085)
  • Better league position (7th in East vs Hornets' 14th place)
  • Stronger recent form (3 wins in last 5 games vs Hornets' 2 wins)

Charlotte Hornets: 27.5% win probability

  • Poor scoring efficiency (League-worst 7,085 points scored in Eastern Conference)
  • Defensive struggles (7,599 points against, showing significant vulnerability)
  • Disappointing win rate (17 wins in 67 games, translating to just 25.4% win percentage)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Charlotte Hornets vs. Atlanta Hawks odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Charlotte Hornets host the Atlanta Hawks at home on Tuesday, March 18.

Charlotte HornetsAtlanta Hawks
Moneyline+220 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)-258 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Charlotte Hornets vs. Atlanta Hawks preview

The struggling Charlotte Hornets host the Atlanta Hawks at Spectrum Center in what's shaping up to be a lopsided Southeast Division clash.

The Hawks, despite their own inconsistencies, have found ways to stay atop the division thanks to Trae Young's electric performances, including his recent 28-point, 12-assist showing against Brooklyn.

Charlotte's been hit hard by injuries, with Brandon Miller's wrist surgery and Grant Williams' season-ending knee issue leaving huge holes in their rotation, though Mark Williams has stepped up with impressive double-double performances.

The Hawks' high-octane offense (117.1 points per game) should feast against a Hornets team that's lost 11 of their last 14 games and can't seem to find their shooting touch, hitting a league-worst 42.7% from the field.

While Atlanta's dealing with their own injury concerns - missing Jalen Johnson and Larry Nance Jr. - they've managed to maintain their offensive identity through Young's playmaking and their league-leading assist numbers.

The Hawks have dominated this matchup lately, winning the last three meetings, including a convincing 123-110 victory in their most recent clash.

Keep an eye on the paint battle between Clint Capela and Mark Williams, with the young Hornets center coming off an impressive 18-point, 15-rebound performance despite his team's recent struggles.

In what's been a forgettable season for Charlotte, they'll need to find some magic at home to snap their skid against an Atlanta team that's fighting to maintain their playoff positioning.

Key stats

  • 1
    Hawks sit 7th in East (32-36) while Hornets rank 14th (17-50), showing stark difference in standings
  • 2
    Atlanta's recent form LLWWW vs Charlotte's LWLWW indicates both teams have mixed momentum
  • 3
    Hawks hold significant scoring advantage with 7961 points scored vs Hornets' 7085 points this season
  • 4
    Charlotte's -514 point differential contrasts with Atlanta's -175, suggesting Hawks have better defensive stability

Charlotte Hornets vs. Atlanta Hawks form

Charlotte Hornets
Charlotte Hornets
Latest matches
L
W
L
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 16, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers123:88Charlotte Hornets
Mar 15, 2025
San Antonio Spurs134:145Charlotte Hornets
Mar 12, 2025
Atlanta Hawks123:110Charlotte Hornets
Mar 10, 2025
Miami Heat102:105Charlotte Hornets
Mar 8, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers118:117Charlotte Hornets
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks
Latest matches
L
L
W
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 16, 2025
Brooklyn Nets122:114Atlanta Hawks
Mar 14, 2025
Los Angeles Clippers121:98Atlanta Hawks
Mar 12, 2025
Charlotte Bobcats110:123Atlanta Hawks
Mar 10, 2025
Philadelphia 76ers123:132Atlanta Hawks
Mar 9, 2025
Indiana Pacers118:120Atlanta Hawks

Charlotte Hornets vs. Atlanta Hawks head to head

Charlotte Hornets

40%

Atlanta Hawks

60%

Mar 18, 2025

Charlotte Hornets

0 : 0

Atlanta Hawks

Mar 12, 2025

Atlanta Hawks

123 : 110

Charlotte Hornets

Nov 30, 2024

Charlotte Hornets

104 : 107

Atlanta Hawks

Oct 25, 2024

Atlanta Hawks

125 : 120

Charlotte Hornets

Apr 10, 2024

Atlanta Hawks

114 : 115

Charlotte Hornets

Mar 23, 2024

Atlanta Hawks

132 : 91

Charlotte Hornets