HomeNewsPenguins vs Islanders Prediction & Odds - 3/18/2025

Penguins vs Islanders Prediction & Odds - 3/18/2025

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Islanders prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Pittsburgh Penguins vs New York Islanders matchup, our predictive model gives the Isles a 62% chance of defeating the Pens.

New York Islanders: 62% win probability

Better defensive record (196 goals against vs Penguins' 250)
Higher points per game ratio (1.03 vs Penguins' 0.96)
More consistent goal scoring (2.71 goals per game vs 2.93 allowed by Penguins)

Pittsburgh Penguins: 38% win probability

Poor defensive record (250 goals against, 2nd worst in Eastern Conference)
Recent form struggles (WWWWL shows inconsistency despite wins)
Negative goal differential (-48, among bottom 5 in conference)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Islanders odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the New York Islanders visiting the Pittsburgh Penguins at home on Tuesday, March 18.

	Pittsburgh Penguins	New York Islanders
Moneyline	-105 (via bet365 US)	-105 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. New York Islanders preview

The struggling Penguins host the Islanders at PPG Paints Arena in what's shaping up to be a crucial matchup for both teams' playoff hopes.

Pittsburgh's been on fire lately, riding a four-game win streak including an explosive 7-3 victory over the Devils, with Sidney Crosby showing he's still got it by racking up 12 points this month alone.

The Isles haven't exactly been setting the world on fire, but they're hanging tough in the playoff race - just four points out of a wild card spot after grinding out a solid win against Florida.

While the Penguins' offense has found its groove at home (scoring 22 goals in their last five), their defensive struggles and shaky goaltending could be their Achilles' heel against an Islanders team that's had their number this season.

Keep an eye on Ilya Sorokin between the pipes for New York - he's been rock-solid lately, while Pittsburgh's goalie tandem of Nedeljkovic and Jarry has been less than inspiring with save percentages south of .900.

The season series has tilted New York's way so far (2-1), with the Pens managing just nine goals across those three meetings.

This one's got all the makings of a classic Metropolitan Division slugfest, with both teams desperate for points as the playoff race heats up.

Key stats

1
Penguins sit 14th in Eastern Conference with 66 points from 69 games, while Islanders are 13th with 68 points from 66 games
2
Penguins have won their last 4 games (WWWWL) compared to Islanders' mixed form (WLLLW)
3
Penguins have a -48 goal difference (202 scored, 250 against) versus Islanders' -17 (179 scored, 196 against)
4
Islanders have 3 games in hand over Penguins, making this a crucial matchup for Eastern Conference standings