The Scotiabank Arena is set for an electrifying matchup as the Toronto Maple Leafs (40-24-3) welcome the surging Colorado Avalanche (41-24-3), with both teams showcasing their offensive firepower this season - the Leafs averaging 3.21 goals per game behind the lethal trio of Marner, Matthews, and Nylander, while Colorado's attack sits at an impressive 3.34 goals per contest.

The battle between Mackenzie Blackwood's stellar .919 save percentage for Colorado and Toronto's Anthony Stolarz's equally impressive .918 could prove decisive, especially with elite defensemen like Cale Makar and Morgan Rielly patrolling their respective blue lines.

The Maple Leafs aim to leverage their home-ice advantage against an Avalanche squad riding a two-game winning streak, setting up what promises to be a fascinating clash between two of the NHL's most dynamic teams.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado Avalanche prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Toronto Maple Leafs vs Colorado Avalanche matchup, our predictive model gives the Avs a 70% chance of defeating the Leafs.

Colorado Avalanche: 70% win probability

  • Explosive offense (228 goals scored, 4th in Western Conference)
  • Strong recent momentum (WWLWW in last 5 games)
  • Consistent point production (85 points in 68 games)

Toronto Maple Leafs: 30% win probability

  • Defensive struggles (199 goals against, higher than top-3 teams)
  • Inconsistent recent form (WLLWL in last 5 games)
  • Lower points percentage (83 points in 67 games, trailing conference leaders)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado Avalanche odds

Here are the latest odds for the NHL matchup between the Colorado Avalanche and the home team Toronto Maple Leafs, set to face off on Wednesday, March 19.

Toronto Maple LeafsColorado Avalanche
Moneyline+100 (via bet365 US)-115 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado Avalanche preview

Tonight's clash at Scotiabank Arena pits two of the NHL's hottest teams against each other, with both the Avalanche and Maple Leafs riding impressive winning momentum into this matchup.

The Avs have been lighting up the scoreboard lately, with Nathan MacKinnon and Artturi Lehkonen's combined 144-point explosion leading their high-octane offense that's averaging north of 3.3 goals per game.

Toronto's own offensive firepower shouldn't be overlooked - the trio of Marner, Matthews, and Nylander have been absolutely clinical this season, racking up an eye-popping 211 points between them.

What makes this matchup particularly juicy is the battle between two of the league's most dynamic defensemen: Colorado's Cale Makar, who's having a monster year with 78 points, going head-to-head against Morgan Rielly's quarterback-style play from Toronto's blue line.

Both teams' netminders have been standing on their heads lately - Blackwood's been a wall for Colorado with a .919 save percentage, while Stolarz has matched that intensity for the Leafs, sporting similar numbers.

The special teams battle could be the difference-maker tonight, with Toronto's power play clicking at an impressive 25% while Colorado isn't far behind at 23%.

This one's got all the makings of a playoff-style showdown, with both teams looking to prove they're legitimate Stanley Cup contenders.

Keep an eye on the MacKinnon-Matthews matchup - these two superstars always seem to elevate their game when facing off against each other.

Key stats

  • 1
    Toronto sits 4th in Eastern Conference with 83 points while Colorado holds 4th in Western with 85 points, showing evenly matched positioning
  • 2
    Maple Leafs' goal difference (+17) trails Avalanche's (+31), suggesting Colorado's stronger offensive output
  • 3
    Recent form shows Toronto at WLLWL versus Colorado's WWLWW, indicating Avalanche carry better momentum
  • 4
    Both teams maintain similar scoring prowess with Toronto netting 216 goals and Colorado 228 through 67-68 games played

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado Avalanche form

Toronto Maple Leafs
Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest matches
W
L
L
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 17, 2025
Calgary Flames2:6Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 15, 2025
Ottawa Senators4:2Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 13, 2025
Florida Panthers3:2Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 11, 2025
Utah Hockey Club3:4Toronto Maple Leafs
Mar 9, 2025
Colorado Avalanche7:4Toronto Maple Leafs
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche
Latest matches
W
W
L
W
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 16, 2025
Dallas Stars3:4Colorado Avalanche
Mar 15, 2025
Calgary Flames2:4Colorado Avalanche
Mar 12, 2025
Minnesota Wild2:1Colorado Avalanche
Mar 11, 2025
Chicago Blackhawks0:3Colorado Avalanche
Mar 9, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs4:7Colorado Avalanche

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Colorado Avalanche head to head

Toronto Maple Leafs

33%

Colorado Avalanche

67%

Mar 9, 2025

Colorado Avalanche

7 : 4

Toronto Maple Leafs

Feb 25, 2024

Colorado Avalanche

3 : 4

Toronto Maple Leafs

Jan 14, 2024

Toronto Maple Leafs

3 : 5

Colorado Avalanche

Mar 15, 2023

Toronto Maple Leafs

1 : 2

Colorado Avalanche

Jan 1, 2023

Colorado Avalanche

2 : 6

Toronto Maple Leafs

Jan 9, 2022

Colorado Avalanche

5 : 4

Toronto Maple Leafs