The red-hot Oklahoma City Thunder welcome a struggling Philadelphia 76ers squad to the Paycom Center, with the home team riding high on a 10-1 stretch while missing their superstar Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for this contest.

Despite missing key players including Joel Embiid, Paul George, and Kyle Lowry, the Sixers showed signs of life in their recent overtime battle with Houston, where Quentin Grimes exploded for 46 points in a losing effort.

The Thunder's league-leading defense looks to shut down a short-handed Sixers team that's dropped 16 of their last 19 games as the Western Conference powerhouse (56-12) squares off against the struggling visitors (23-45) in what promises to be an intriguing clash of teams heading in opposite directions.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Philadelphia 76ers prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Oklahoma City Thunder vs Philadelphia 76ers matchup, our predictive model gives the Thunder a 57.5% chance of defeating the Sixers.

Oklahoma City Thunder: 57.5% win probability

  • League-leading win record (56-12 record, best in Western Conference)
  • Superior scoring efficiency (8131 points scored, ranking 3rd in total offense)
  • Strong recent momentum (4-1 in last 5 games, WWWLW)

Philadelphia 76ers: 42.5% win probability

  • Poor overall record (23-45, 12th in Eastern Conference)
  • Struggling offense (7480 points scored, third-lowest in East)
  • Defensive vulnerabilities (7819 points against, negative point differential)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Philadelphia 76ers odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Philadelphia 76ers at home on Wednesday, March 19.

Oklahoma City ThunderPhiladelphia 76ers
Moneyline-450 (via bet365 US)+370 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Philadelphia 76ers preview

The red-hot Thunder welcome a struggling Sixers squad to Paycom Center in what's shaping up to be quite the contrast in momentum.

OKC's been absolutely crushing it lately, winning 10 of their last 11, with their suffocating defense holding opponents to a league-best 43.6% shooting - though they'll be without Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who's getting a well-deserved rest after dropping 31 points against Milwaukee.

Philly's going through a rough patch, dropping 16 of their last 19, but they showed some fight in their recent overtime thriller against Houston where Quentin Grimes exploded for 46 points.

The Sixers' depleted roster - missing Joel Embiid, Paul George, and Kyle Lowry - hasn't stopped them from putting up a fight, as evidenced by their 78-point first-half outburst against the Rockets.

What's particularly interesting is the Thunder's perfect 19-0 record in night games against teams with losing records, while the Sixers have historically played well at Paycom Center, winning their last four visits.

Keep an eye on Isaiah Hartenstein, who's been a force for OKC lately with his double-double performance against the Bucks, though his questionable status adds another layer of intrigue to this matchup.

The scoring trends suggest we might see some fireworks, with both teams' recent games consistently hitting the over.

Even with their superstar taking the night off, the Thunder's league-leading defense and deep roster make them heavy favorites, but don't count out these scrappy Sixers who've shown they can still light up the scoreboard when everything clicks.

Key stats

  • 1
    Thunder lead Western Conference with 56-12 record while 76ers struggle at 12th in East (23-45)
  • 2
    OKC boasts best win percentage in West (.824) vs Philly's .338 winning rate
  • 3
    Thunder's recent form shows dominance (WWWLW) compared to 76ers' slump (LWLLL)
  • 4
    Thunder maintain +846 point differential while 76ers sit at -339 for the season

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Philadelphia 76ers form

Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
Latest matches
W
W
W
L
W
Victories
4/5 (80%)
Defeats
1/5 (20%)
Mar 17, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks105:121Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 15, 2025
Detroit Pistons107:113Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 12, 2025
Boston Celtics112:118Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 11, 2025
Denver Nuggets140:127Oklahoma City Thunder
Mar 9, 2025
Denver Nuggets103:127Oklahoma City Thunder
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
Latest matches
L
W
L
L
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Mar 18, 2025
Houston Rockets144:137Philadelphia 76ers
Mar 16, 2025
Dallas Mavericks125:130Philadelphia 76ers
Mar 14, 2025
Indiana Pacers112:100Philadelphia 76ers
Mar 12, 2025
Toronto Raptors118:105Philadelphia 76ers
Mar 10, 2025
Atlanta Hawks132:123Philadelphia 76ers

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Philadelphia 76ers head to head

Oklahoma City Thunder

50%

Philadelphia 76ers

50%

Jan 15, 2025

Philadelphia 76ers

102 : 118

Oklahoma City Thunder

Jul 8, 2024

Philadelphia 76ers

102 : 92

Oklahoma City Thunder

Apr 2, 2024

Philadelphia 76ers

109 : 105

Oklahoma City Thunder

Nov 25, 2023

Oklahoma City Thunder

123 : 127

Philadelphia 76ers

Jul 6, 2023

Philadelphia 76ers

91 : 100

Oklahoma City Thunder

Jan 13, 2023

Philadelphia 76ers

114 : 133

Oklahoma City Thunder