The Los Angeles Lakers look to extend their impressive 28-7 home record as they welcome a Milwaukee Bucks team desperately searching for answers after dropping five of their last seven games and holding an emergency team meeting between Giannis, Lillard, and Doc Rivers.
While the Lakers are riding high on a three-game win streak behind Luka Doncic's stellar play, they'll face the challenge of a back-to-back without LeBron James (leg) and possibly Rui Hachimura (knee), against a Bucks squad that dominated them in a 20-point blowout just last week.
The home team Lakers (42-25) aim to maintain their push for the West's second seed against the visiting Bucks (38-30), who'll try to leverage their superior three-point shooting (ranked 2nd in the NBA at 38.3%) and rest advantage at Crypto.com Arena.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Milwaukee Bucks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Los Angeles Lakers vs Milwaukee Bucks matchup, our predictive model gives the Bucks a 58.33% chance of defeating the Lakers.
Milwaukee Bucks: 58.33% win probability
- Superior defensive efficiency (7652 points against vs Lakers' 7464)
- Better recent form (3-2 in last 5 vs Lakers' 2-3)
- Higher conference standing (5th in East vs Lakers' 4th in West)
Los Angeles Lakers: 41.67% win probability
- Struggling offense (7574 points scored, bottom half of Western Conference)
- Poor recent momentum (3 consecutive losses in recent form)
- Lower scoring differential (+110 vs Bucks' +132)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Milwaukee Bucks odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Los Angeles Lakers host the Milwaukee Bucks at home on Thursday, March 20.
Los Angeles Lakers | Milwaukee Bucks | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | +136 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | -145 (via Caesars Sportsbook) |
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Milwaukee Bucks preview
The Lakers and Bucks are set for an intriguing cross-conference clash at Crypto.com Arena, with both teams navigating through different challenges as the season enters its crucial phase.
Milwaukee's recent struggles have prompted a team meeting between Giannis, Lillard, and Doc Rivers, following tough losses to the Thunder and Warriors - but they've shown they can handle the Lakers, having dominated them in a 20-point win just last week.
The Lakers' home court advantage could be the x-factor here, as they've been nearly unstoppable at Crypto.com Arena with an impressive 28-7 record, though they'll be missing LeBron James's leadership and scoring punch due to a leg injury.
Keep an eye on Austin Reaves, who's been on fire lately for the Lakers, dropping 30 points against the Spurs and showing he can step up when needed.
The Bucks' three-point shooting prowess (ranking second in the league at 38.3%) will be tested against LA's stingy perimeter defense, which has held opponents to just 34.9% from deep this season.
This matchup features an interesting contrast in styles - Milwaukee's up-tempo offense against the Lakers' more methodical approach, with LA averaging nearly two fewer possessions per 48 minutes.
Giannis Antetokounmpo's recent form (averaging 30.2 points and 12 rebounds) suggests he could be the difference-maker, especially with the Lakers playing on the second night of a back-to-back.
With playoff positioning at stake - the Lakers fighting for the second seed in the West and the Bucks looking to climb from fifth in the East - this late-season showdown carries extra weight for both squads.
Key stats
- 1Lakers sit 4th in West (42-25) while Bucks hold 5th in East (38-30), showing stark conference positioning difference
- 2Lakers' recent form WWLLL indicates struggles, compared to Bucks' LLWWL suggesting similar inconsistency
- 3Lakers maintain better scoring efficiency with +110 point differential, while Bucks show +132, marking close defensive capabilities
- 4Lakers have played fewer games (67) than Bucks (68), giving them slight schedule advantage heading into matchup
Los Angeles Lakers vs. Milwaukee Bucks form


Los Angeles Lakers vs. Milwaukee Bucks head to head
Los Angeles Lakers
67%
Milwaukee Bucks
33%
Mar 13, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks
126 : 106
Los Angeles Lakers
Oct 11, 2024
Milwaukee Bucks
102 : 107
Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 26, 2024
Milwaukee Bucks
124 : 128
Los Angeles Lakers
Mar 9, 2024
Los Angeles Lakers
123 : 122
Milwaukee Bucks
Oct 15, 2023
Los Angeles Lakers
97 : 108
Milwaukee Bucks
Feb 10, 2023
Los Angeles Lakers
106 : 115
Milwaukee Bucks