NBA Best Bets Today: Expert NBA Betting Picks for 03/20/2025

The Raptors head into the Chase Center as heavy underdogs, but there's real value in taking them with such a generous spread. While Golden State's home court advantage is significant, 14 points is a hefty cushion against any NBA team.

Toronto's recent performances suggest they're better than their record indicates. They've been competitive in most games, even against top-tier opposition. Their defensive intensity has kept games closer than the spreads would suggest.

The Warriors, while formidable at home, have shown inconsistency in covering large spreads this season. Their high-variance style of play, heavily dependent on three-point shooting, can lead to closer games than expected.

Looking at the head-to-head history, these teams typically play tight contests. The last three meetings have been decided by an average margin of 9 points, making the 14-point spread look particularly attractive.

The Raptors' bench has been stepping up lately, providing valuable minutes that help keep games competitive deep into the fourth quarter. This depth could be crucial in preventing the Warriors from building an insurmountable lead.

Chicago enters Sacramento as underdogs, but their recent form suggests they're capable of keeping this one close. The Bulls have been particularly effective against the spread when playing Western Conference opponents.

The Kings, while strong at home, have struggled to maintain consistent large margins of victory. Their fast-paced style often leads to back-and-forth games that stay within single-digit margins.

Chicago's defensive improvements over the past month make them a tough out for any team. Their ability to slow the game down and force opponents into half-court sets could disrupt Sacramento's preferred tempo.

The Bulls' veteran leadership, particularly in close games, has been crucial this season. They've shown remarkable resilience in hostile environments, making the 6.5-point spread particularly appealing.

Historical matchups between these teams tend to be closely contested affairs. The contrasting styles - Sacramento's run-and-gun versus Chicago's more methodical approach - often result in games that come down to the final minutes.

The Lakers hosting the Bucks presents an intriguing matchup where home court advantage could prove decisive. The Lakers have been particularly strong at Crypto.com Arena during prime-time games.

Milwaukee's recent road form has been concerning, especially against Western Conference opponents. Their defensive metrics have notably dipped when playing away from Fiserv Forum.

Los Angeles matches up well with Milwaukee's frontcourt, and their defensive schemes have proven effective against teams that rely heavily on perimeter shooting. The Lakers' size advantage could be a key factor.

The late-season scheduling spot favors the Lakers, who've had more rest and preparation time. Milwaukee is in the midst of a challenging West Coast road trip, which often takes its toll on Eastern Conference teams.

Star power tends to shine brightest in these marquee matchups, and the Lakers' core has historically elevated their game against elite opposition. The home crowd energy for this nationally televised game could provide the extra edge needed.