The Portland Trail Blazers' surging momentum faces its toughest test yet as they welcome the Denver Nuggets to Moda Center, with both teams grappling with key injury uncertainties - Jokic and Murray questionable for Denver while Portland awaits word on Jerami Grant's availability.

Fresh off three straight wins and riding Deni Avdija's breakout performances (including a monster 31-point showing against Memphis), the Blazers find themselves just two games out of the Western Conference play-in picture.

The defending champion Nuggets have dominated this season's head-to-head matchups, but their recent defensive struggles - giving up 120+ points per 100 possessions in their last ten games - could open the door for the home team to flip the script against the away team.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets matchup, our predictive model gives the Nuggets a 52.5% chance of defeating the Blazers.

Denver Nuggets: 52.5% win probability

  • Elite offensive output (8,466 points scored - highest in Western Conference)
  • Strong playoff position (3rd in Western Conference with 44 wins)
  • Consistent scoring margin (+293 point differential on the season)

Portland Trail Blazers: 47.5% win probability

  • Defensive struggles (7,979 points allowed - bottom half of conference)
  • Poor overall record (31-39, 12th in Western Conference)
  • Negative scoring differential (-234 points on the season)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets odds

Here are the latest odds for the NBA matchup between the visiting Denver Nuggets and home team Portland Trail Blazers, set to face off on Friday, March 21.

Portland Trail BlazersDenver Nuggets
Moneyline-108 (via FanDuel Sportsbook)-102 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets preview

The Nuggets roll into Portland's Moda Center with something to prove after their rough 120-108 loss to the Lakers, where they trailed by a brutal 30 points at one stage.

Portland's looking pretty hot right now, riding a three-game win streak with Deni Avdija absolutely lighting it up - his recent 31-point explosion against Memphis shows he's hitting his stride at just the right time.

The big question mark hanging over this matchup is whether Denver's dynamic duo of Jokic and Murray will suit up, as both stars have missed the last couple games with nagging injuries.

Denver's defense has been their Achilles' heel lately, giving up a whopping 120+ points per 100 possessions in their last ten games - something Portland's sharpshooting Anfernee Simons might just exploit.

These Northwest Division rivals have turned their recent matchups into scoring festivals, with their last five meetings all going over, including some real barnburners pushing 250+ points.

Aaron Gordon's been stepping up big time for Denver in their stars' absence, fresh off a 26-point, 11-rebound performance against the Lakers.

The Blazers are just two games out of that final play-in spot, so expect them to come out swinging, especially with their home crowd behind them.

With Portland's recent defensive improvements - holding their last two opponents under 100 points - and Denver's inconsistent form, this Friday night showdown at the Moda Center could get real interesting.

Key stats

  • 1
    Denver Nuggets sit 3rd in Western Conference with 44 wins while Trail Blazers languish in 12th with 31 wins
  • 2
    Nuggets show inconsistent form with LWLWL record, while Blazers carry momentum with three straight wins (WWWLL)
  • 3
    Denver's offense ranks 2nd in conference scoring (8466 points), compared to Blazers' bottom-three offense (7745 points)
  • 4
    Trail Blazers hold significant defensive advantage, allowing 7979 points versus Nuggets' 8173 points against

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets form

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland Trail Blazers
Latest matches
W
W
W
L
L
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 20, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies99:115Portland Trail Blazers
Mar 18, 2025
Washington Wizards97:112Portland Trail Blazers
Mar 16, 2025
Toronto Raptors102:105Portland Trail Blazers
Mar 13, 2025
New York Knicks114:113Portland Trail Blazers
Mar 11, 2025
Golden State Warriors130:120Portland Trail Blazers
Denver Nuggets
Denver Nuggets
Latest matches
L
W
L
W
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 20, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers120:108Denver Nuggets
Mar 18, 2025
Golden State Warriors105:114Denver Nuggets
Mar 16, 2025
Washington Wizards126:123Denver Nuggets
Mar 15, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers126:131Denver Nuggets
Mar 13, 2025
Minnesota Timberwolves115:95Denver Nuggets

Portland Trail Blazers vs. Denver Nuggets head to head

Portland Trail Blazers

17%

Denver Nuggets

83%

Feb 13, 2025

Denver Nuggets

132 : 121

Portland Trail Blazers

Feb 11, 2025

Denver Nuggets

146 : 117

Portland Trail Blazers

Dec 20, 2024

Portland Trail Blazers

126 : 124

Denver Nuggets

Mar 24, 2024

Portland Trail Blazers

111 : 114

Denver Nuggets

Feb 24, 2024

Portland Trail Blazers

112 : 127

Denver Nuggets

Feb 5, 2024

Denver Nuggets

112 : 103

Portland Trail Blazers