The red-hot Golden State Warriors bring their impressive 14-2 stretch to State Farm Arena without their superstar Steph Curry, setting up what could be a prime opportunity for Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks to make a statement.
Young, who's been lighting it up with 28+ points in five of his last seven games, leads a Hawks offense that's been clicking lately with wins in five of their last seven matchups, including a dominant 134-102 victory over Charlotte where they shot a blistering 49% from three-point range.
The Atlanta Hawks host the Golden State Warriors in what promises to be a high-scoring affair between two teams heading in opposite directions - one fighting for playoff positioning, the other trying to salvage their season.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors matchup, our predictive model gives the Hawks a 63.33% chance of defeating the Dubs.
Atlanta Hawks: 63.33% win probability
- High-powered offense (117.3 points per game, 4th in league)
- Strong home court performance (20-14 home record)
- Recent momentum (3-2 in last 5 games with WLLWW form)
Golden State Warriors: 36.67% win probability
- Inconsistent road performance (17-18 away record)
- Defensive struggles (110.8 points allowed per game)
- Lower scoring output (113.3 points per game, below Hawks' average)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Atlanta Hawks host the Golden State Warriors at home on Saturday, March 22.
Atlanta Hawks | Golden State Warriors | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | +124 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | -135 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) |
Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors preview
The red-hot Warriors roll into Atlanta's State Farm Arena without their superstar Steph Curry, setting up what could be a fascinating Saturday night showdown against Trae Young's Hawks.
Golden State's been on an absolute tear lately, winning 14 of their last 16, but Curry's absence due to a pelvis injury throws a wrench in their momentum - though Jimmy Butler's recent triple-threat performances suggest they're far from toothless.
The Hawks, meanwhile, have found their groove, winning five of their last seven, with Young lighting it up by dropping 28+ points in five of his last seven outings.
Atlanta's explosive offense, ranked 5th in scoring with 117.3 points per game, will test Golden State's 7th-ranked defense in what's shaping up to be a classic clash of styles.
Keep an eye on the Hawks' Dyson Daniels, who's been quietly impressive lately, coming off a 22-point performance with seven rebounds and assists against Charlotte.
The Warriors still pack plenty of firepower with Jonathan Kuminga averaging 16.3 points and Butler's all-around game, but they'll need to overcome their struggles at State Farm Arena, where they've dropped their last five night games.
With both teams missing key pieces - Capela out for Atlanta and Curry sidelined for Golden State - this matchup could come down to which supporting cast steps up under the bright lights.
History favors the home team in this rivalry, with Atlanta taking six of the last ten meetings, though the Warriors grabbed the first matchup this season in a convincing 120-97 win back in November.
Key stats
- 1Warriors sit 6th in Western Conference with 41 wins, while Hawks hold 7th spot in Eastern Conference with 33 wins
- 2Warriors show stronger recent momentum with 4 wins in last 5 (WWLWW) compared to Hawks' mixed form (WLLWW)
- 3Golden State maintains better defensive record, allowing 7753 points against Hawks' 8238 points conceded
- 4Hawks struggle with consistency at 33-36, while Warriors hold steady at 41-29 through 70 games played
Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors form


Atlanta Hawks vs. Golden State Warriors head to head
Atlanta Hawks
60%
Golden State Warriors
40%
Mar 22, 2025
Atlanta Hawks
0 : 0
Golden State Warriors
Nov 21, 2024
Golden State Warriors
120 : 97
Atlanta Hawks
Feb 4, 2024
Atlanta Hawks
141 : 134
Golden State Warriors
Jan 25, 2024
Golden State Warriors
134 : 112
Atlanta Hawks
Mar 17, 2023
Atlanta Hawks
127 : 119
Golden State Warriors
Jan 3, 2023
Golden State Warriors
143 : 141
Atlanta Hawks
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