With both teams desperately clinging to their playoff hopes, Saturday's matchup at UBS Arena carries extra weight as the Calgary Flames bring their recent offensive surge east to face a red-hot New York Islanders squad that's won three straight.
The Flames have found their scoring touch with a dramatic comeback win against New Jersey, while the Islanders continue to ride Bo Horvat's clutch performances, including his recent overtime heroics against Montreal.
The New York Islanders look to defend home ice against a Calgary Flames team that has historically dominated this matchup, winning seven of their last ten meetings including a shootout victory earlier this season.
New York Islanders vs. Calgary Flames prediction: who will win?
For tonight's New York Islanders vs Calgary Flames matchup, our predictive model gives the Isles a 60% chance of defeating the Flames.
New York Islanders: 60% win probability
- Recent momentum (3 wins in last 5 games - WWWLL)
- Better defensive record (201 goals against vs Flames' 200)
- Higher league position (9th vs 10th in respective conferences)
Calgary Flames: 40% win probability
- Poor recent form (3 straight losses in last 5 games - WWLLL)
- Struggling offense (178 goals scored, third-lowest in Western Conference)
- Road game disadvantage (32-25-0 overall record vs Islanders' better home record)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.
New York Islanders vs. Calgary Flames odds
Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the New York Islanders host the Calgary Flames at home on Saturday, March 22.
New York Islanders | Calgary Flames | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -134 (via FanDuel Sportsbook) | +115 (via Caesars Sportsbook) |
New York Islanders vs. Calgary Flames preview
The Flames roll into UBS Arena riding high after a gutsy comeback win against New Jersey, where they flipped a 3-1 deficit into a 5-3 victory thanks to a four-goal explosion in the third period.
While Calgary's offense has been hit-or-miss lately, Jonathan Huberdeau's clutch performance and Matt Coronato's power-play prowess could give the Islanders' struggling penalty kill unit fits.
The home team's got some momentum of their own, with Bo Horvat playing hero in their last outing - his overtime winner against Montreal marked his second goal of the night and pushed the Isles' winning streak to three.
Both teams are desperate for points in their respective playoff races, with Calgary just two points shy of a Western Conference wild card spot and New York in a similar dogfight out East.
The Flames have dominated this matchup historically, going 7-1-2 in their last 10 meetings, including a tight 2-1 shootout win back in November.
Keep an eye on Noah Dobson for the Islanders - he's been quietly effective, picking up assists on three of the team's last four goals.
With both teams likely starting their backup netminders and the Flames playing their fourth game in six nights, this afternoon showdown could come down to which team has more left in the tank.
The UBS Arena crowd should be in for a treat, as these teams' recent scoring trends suggest we might see another nail-biter like their November meeting.
Key stats
- 1NY Islanders sit 9th in Eastern Conference with 72 points from 68 games, while Calgary holds 10th spot in Western with 75 points from 68 games
- 2Islanders show stronger recent momentum with 3 wins in last 5 (WWWLL) compared to Flames' negative streak (WWLLL)
- 3Calgary maintains a slim goal difference of -22 (178 GF, 200 GA) while Islanders post -14 (187 GF, 201 GA)
- 4Both teams face similar struggles with Islanders winning 32 of 68 matches and Flames securing 32 of 68 games
New York Islanders vs. Calgary Flames form


New York Islanders vs. Calgary Flames head to head
New York Islanders
33%
Calgary Flames
67%
Nov 20, 2024
Calgary Flames
2 : 1
New York Islanders
Feb 10, 2024
New York Islanders
2 : 5
Calgary Flames
Nov 19, 2023
Calgary Flames
4 : 5
New York Islanders
Jan 7, 2023
Calgary Flames
4 : 1
New York Islanders
Nov 8, 2022
New York Islanders
4 : 3
Calgary Flames
Feb 13, 2022
Calgary Flames
5 : 2
New York Islanders
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