The Sacramento Kings face a pivotal test against the Milwaukee Bucks at Golden 1 Center, with both teams desperate to reverse their recent struggles and maintain playoff positioning.
While the Bucks will miss key scorer Damian Lillard due to a calf injury, they still bring Giannis Antetokounmpo's dominant presence of 30.2 points per game to a Kings team that's dropped six of their last nine and slipped to ninth in the Western Conference.
The Kings (-1) host the Bucks in what shapes up as a fascinating clash between Sacramento's fourth-ranked free throw shooting and Milwaukee's interior defense that ranks just 29th in points in the paint allowed.
Sacramento Kings vs. Milwaukee Bucks prediction: who will win?
For tonight's Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks matchup, our predictive model gives the Kings a 62.5% chance of defeating the Bucks.
Sacramento Kings: 62.5% win probability
- Efficient scoring offense (116.6 points per game, 5th in Western Conference)
- Strong home court performance (20-14 record at Golden 1 Center)
- Better recent form than opponent (3-2 in last 5 vs Bucks' 2-3)
Milwaukee Bucks: 37.5% win probability
- Struggling road record (16-18 away from home)
- Defensive inconsistency (112.2 points allowed per game)
- Recent slump in form (dropped 4 of last 7 games)
At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.
Sacramento Kings vs. Milwaukee Bucks odds
Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Sacramento Kings host the Milwaukee Bucks at home on Saturday, March 22.
Sacramento Kings | Milwaukee Bucks | |
---|---|---|
Moneyline | -115 (via Caesars Sportsbook) | +100 (via DraftKings Sportsbook) |
Sacramento Kings vs. Milwaukee Bucks preview
The struggling Milwaukee Bucks head to Sacramento's Golden 1 Center without their star guard Damian Lillard, who's sidelined with a nagging calf injury.
Both teams are desperate to snap out of their recent slumps - the Bucks have dropped five of their last eight while the Kings are stumbling with six losses in their last nine games.
Giannis Antetokounmpo's been a force for Milwaukee, putting up 30.2 points and nearly 12 boards per game, but the team's road woes (18 losses) could spell trouble against a Kings squad fighting to maintain their play-in position.
Sacramento's offense has been clicking at 116.6 points per game, though they'll miss Domantas Sabonis's presence in the paint due to an ankle setback.
The Kings' three-point defense has been their Achilles' heel this season, ranking 28th in the league - something the Bucks might exploit despite their own offensive inconsistencies.
History's got some interesting wrinkles here - Milwaukee's dominated this matchup with 15 wins in their last 16 night games against Sacramento, but the Kings are slight favorites at home where they're looking to stop their recent slide.
Keep an eye on Kyle Kuzma, who's coming off a solid 22-point performance and could be crucial for the Bucks' offensive plans without Lillard in the mix.
DeMar DeRozan's recent 27-point outburst against the Cavs shows he's ready to carry the scoring load for Sacramento in what's shaping up to be a compelling Saturday night showdown.
Key stats
- 1Kings sit 9th in West (35-34) while Bucks hold 5th spot in East (39-30), showing stark conference positioning difference
- 2Milwaukee's recent form WLLWW outperforms Sacramento's LWWLL, suggesting better momentum for the Bucks
- 3Kings maintain a positive scoring margin (+53) while Bucks show stronger defense allowing 7,741 points vs Kings' 7,993
- 4Sacramento's home record includes 35 wins this season, making Golden 1 Center a challenging venue for visiting teams
Sacramento Kings vs. Milwaukee Bucks form


Sacramento Kings vs. Milwaukee Bucks head to head
Sacramento Kings
17%
Milwaukee Bucks
83%
Jan 15, 2025
Milwaukee Bucks
130 : 115
Sacramento Kings
Mar 13, 2024
Sacramento Kings
129 : 94
Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 15, 2024
Milwaukee Bucks
143 : 142
Sacramento Kings
Jul 15, 2023
Sacramento Kings
92 : 84
Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 14, 2023
Sacramento Kings
124 : 133
Milwaukee Bucks
Dec 8, 2022
Milwaukee Bucks
126 : 113
Sacramento Kings