The Sacramento Kings face a pivotal test against the Milwaukee Bucks at Golden 1 Center, with both teams desperate to reverse their recent struggles and maintain playoff positioning.

While the Bucks will miss key scorer Damian Lillard due to a calf injury, they still bring Giannis Antetokounmpo's dominant presence of 30.2 points per game to a Kings team that's dropped six of their last nine and slipped to ninth in the Western Conference.

The Kings (-1) host the Bucks in what shapes up as a fascinating clash between Sacramento's fourth-ranked free throw shooting and Milwaukee's interior defense that ranks just 29th in points in the paint allowed.

Sacramento Kings vs. Milwaukee Bucks prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks matchup, our predictive model gives the Kings a 62.5% chance of defeating the Bucks.

Sacramento Kings: 62.5% win probability

  • Efficient scoring offense (116.6 points per game, 5th in Western Conference)
  • Strong home court performance (20-14 record at Golden 1 Center)
  • Better recent form than opponent (3-2 in last 5 vs Bucks' 2-3)

Milwaukee Bucks: 37.5% win probability

  • Struggling road record (16-18 away from home)
  • Defensive inconsistency (112.2 points allowed per game)
  • Recent slump in form (dropped 4 of last 7 games)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model brings together insights from top NBA experts. Instead of searching through countless expert analyses online, you can rely on our predictions to capture the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing expert picks, data, and trends, while our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. These confidence levels are then averaged to generate an 'expert opinion' win probability—providing a data-driven reflection of the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NBA analysts.

Sacramento Kings vs. Milwaukee Bucks odds

Here are the latest odds for this NBA matchup as the Sacramento Kings host the Milwaukee Bucks at home on Saturday, March 22.

Sacramento KingsMilwaukee Bucks
Moneyline-115 (via Caesars Sportsbook)+100 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Sacramento Kings vs. Milwaukee Bucks preview

The struggling Milwaukee Bucks head to Sacramento's Golden 1 Center without their star guard Damian Lillard, who's sidelined with a nagging calf injury.

Both teams are desperate to snap out of their recent slumps - the Bucks have dropped five of their last eight while the Kings are stumbling with six losses in their last nine games.

Giannis Antetokounmpo's been a force for Milwaukee, putting up 30.2 points and nearly 12 boards per game, but the team's road woes (18 losses) could spell trouble against a Kings squad fighting to maintain their play-in position.

Sacramento's offense has been clicking at 116.6 points per game, though they'll miss Domantas Sabonis's presence in the paint due to an ankle setback.

The Kings' three-point defense has been their Achilles' heel this season, ranking 28th in the league - something the Bucks might exploit despite their own offensive inconsistencies.

History's got some interesting wrinkles here - Milwaukee's dominated this matchup with 15 wins in their last 16 night games against Sacramento, but the Kings are slight favorites at home where they're looking to stop their recent slide.

Keep an eye on Kyle Kuzma, who's coming off a solid 22-point performance and could be crucial for the Bucks' offensive plans without Lillard in the mix.

DeMar DeRozan's recent 27-point outburst against the Cavs shows he's ready to carry the scoring load for Sacramento in what's shaping up to be a compelling Saturday night showdown.

Key stats

  • 1
    Kings sit 9th in West (35-34) while Bucks hold 5th spot in East (39-30), showing stark conference positioning difference
  • 2
    Milwaukee's recent form WLLWW outperforms Sacramento's LWWLL, suggesting better momentum for the Bucks
  • 3
    Kings maintain a positive scoring margin (+53) while Bucks show stronger defense allowing 7,741 points vs Kings' 7,993
  • 4
    Sacramento's home record includes 35 wins this season, making Golden 1 Center a challenging venue for visiting teams

Sacramento Kings vs. Milwaukee Bucks form

Sacramento Kings
Sacramento Kings
Latest matches
L
W
W
L
L
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 21, 2025
Chicago Bulls128:116Sacramento Kings
Mar 20, 2025
Cleveland Cavaliers119:123Sacramento Kings
Mar 18, 2025
Memphis Grizzlies122:132Sacramento Kings
Mar 15, 2025
Phoenix Suns122:106Sacramento Kings
Mar 14, 2025
Golden State Warriors130:104Sacramento Kings
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
Latest matches
W
L
L
W
W
Victories
3/5 (60%)
Defeats
2/5 (40%)
Mar 21, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers89:118Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 19, 2025
Golden State Warriors104:93Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 17, 2025
Oklahoma City Thunder121:105Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 16, 2025
Indiana Pacers119:126Milwaukee Bucks
Mar 13, 2025
Los Angeles Lakers106:126Milwaukee Bucks

Sacramento Kings vs. Milwaukee Bucks head to head

Sacramento Kings

17%

Milwaukee Bucks

83%

Jan 15, 2025

Milwaukee Bucks

130 : 115

Sacramento Kings

Mar 13, 2024

Sacramento Kings

129 : 94

Milwaukee Bucks

Jan 15, 2024

Milwaukee Bucks

143 : 142

Sacramento Kings

Jul 15, 2023

Sacramento Kings

92 : 84

Milwaukee Bucks

Mar 14, 2023

Sacramento Kings

124 : 133

Milwaukee Bucks

Dec 8, 2022

Milwaukee Bucks

126 : 113

Sacramento Kings