The red-hot Dallas Stars, who've won eight of their last nine at American Airlines Center, welcome a Philadelphia Flyers squad desperate to snap their three-game road skid this Saturday afternoon.

While Dallas boasts one of the NHL's most potent offenses led by Matt Duchene's 69 points and a stingy defense allowing just 2.62 goals per game, the Flyers have struggled to find their rhythm, managing only four goals in their last three road games.

The Stars, who've dominated this matchup with an 8-2 record in their last 10 meetings against Philadelphia, look to build on their Central Division position as the home team faces off against the away team in what promises to be an intriguing afternoon clash.

Dallas Stars vs. Philadelphia Flyers prediction: who will win?

For tonight's Dallas Stars vs Philadelphia Flyers matchup, our predictive model gives the Stars a 62.67% chance of defeating the Flyers.

Dallas Stars: 62.67% win probability

  • Strong offensive output (231 goals scored this season)
  • Solid position in standings (2nd in Western Conference with 90 points)
  • Superior goal differential (+51 compared to Flyers' -43)

Philadelphia Flyers: 37.33% win probability

  • Poor defensive record (237 goals against, 5th worst in Eastern Conference)
  • Struggling recent form (LLLWL in last 5 games)
  • Road performance issues (28 wins in 70 games overall)

At Sporting Post, our unique prediction model combines insights from top NHL experts. Instead of sifting through hundreds of expert analyses across the web, you can rely on our predictions to understand the market's overall sentiment. We scan trusted sources, analyzing predictions, data, and opinions, and our AI assigns a confidence level to each prediction. We then average these levels to produce an 'expert opinion' win probability—reflecting the collective intelligence of the industry's leading NHL experts.

Dallas Stars vs. Philadelphia Flyers odds

Here are the latest odds for this NHL matchup as the Dallas Stars host the Philadelphia Flyers at home on Saturday, March 22.

Dallas StarsPhiladelphia Flyers
Moneyline-270 (via bet365 US)+225 (via DraftKings Sportsbook)

Dallas Stars vs. Philadelphia Flyers preview

The Dallas Stars are looking to bounce back from their recent stumble against Tampa Bay as they welcome a struggling Philadelphia Flyers squad to the American Airlines Center on Saturday afternoon.

Dallas has been flat-out dominant at home lately, winning eight of their last nine on home ice, while Matt Duchene continues to light it up with 69 points to lead the Stars' high-powered offense.

The Flyers, despite Travis Konecny's impressive 65-point campaign, just can't seem to find their groove on the road, dropping eight of their last nine away games.

What's really killing Philly is their power play - they're converting at a measly 14% while Dallas boasts one of the league's best penalty-killing units.

Keep an eye on young gun Wyatt Johnston, who's been a revelation for the Stars with 62 points, making this Dallas offense even more dangerous than their 3.37 goals per game average suggests.

The Stars' defensive prowess, giving up just 2.62 goals per game, could spell trouble for a Flyers team that's managed just four goals in their last three road games.

With Dallas holding an 8-2 record against Philly in their last 10 meetings, and the possible absence of Flyers' defenseman Rasmus Ristolainen due to an upper-body injury, the Stars seem primed to continue their dominance in this matchup.

This afternoon showdown at the American Airlines Center has all the makings of a classic Stars defensive showcase, with Jake Oettinger likely to frustrate a Flyers offense that's desperate to find its spark.

Key stats

  • 1
    Dallas Stars sit 2nd in Western Conference with 90 points from 68 games, while Flyers languish at 15th in Eastern with 64 points from 70 games
  • 2
    Stars boast a strong goal difference of +51 (231 scored, 180 against) compared to Flyers' -43 (194 scored, 237 against)
  • 3
    Dallas shows mixed recent form (LWLLW) but maintains higher win rate with 43 victories versus Philadelphia's 28
  • 4
    Stars have won 63% of their games this season, while Flyers manage just 40% win rate with 34 losses

Dallas Stars vs. Philadelphia Flyers form

Dallas Stars
Dallas Stars
Latest matches
L
W
L
L
W
Victories
2/5 (40%)
Defeats
3/5 (60%)
Mar 21, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning3:2Dallas Stars
Mar 19, 2025
Anaheim Ducks3:4Dallas Stars
Mar 16, 2025
Colorado Avalanche4:3Dallas Stars
Mar 15, 2025
Winnipeg Jets4:1Dallas Stars
Mar 10, 2025
Vancouver Canucks1:4Dallas Stars
Philadelphia Flyers
Philadelphia Flyers
Latest matches
L
L
L
W
L
Victories
1/5 (20%)
Defeats
4/5 (80%)
Mar 20, 2025
Washington Capitals3:2Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 17, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning2:0Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 15, 2025
Carolina Hurricanes5:0Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 13, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning3:4Philadelphia Flyers
Mar 11, 2025
Ottawa Senators5:2Philadelphia Flyers

Dallas Stars vs. Philadelphia Flyers head to head

Dallas Stars

83%

Philadelphia Flyers

17%

Jan 10, 2025

Philadelphia Flyers

1 : 4

Dallas Stars

Jan 19, 2024

Philadelphia Flyers

5 : 1

Dallas Stars

Oct 22, 2023

Dallas Stars

5 : 4

Philadelphia Flyers

Apr 7, 2023

Dallas Stars

4 : 1

Philadelphia Flyers

Nov 13, 2022

Philadelphia Flyers

1 : 5

Dallas Stars

Jan 25, 2022

Philadelphia Flyers

1 : 3

Dallas Stars